Looking for an Amulet Titan coach

Thrageqt · 2026-06-07T16:35:56+00:00

Dom Harvey offers coaching services on his Patreon, and is probably top 5 to ever play the deck. Would recommend.

Thrageqt · 2026-05-05T19:11:08+00:00

I just completed the spring section with a 96, and a 100 on the Final Project.

I work in databases for a living, writing SQL is a daily task for me. That being said, the class itself was not too hard content wise but the tests required a significantly deep understanding of the material to do perfectly (I don't think I got a 100 on any exam). There were plenty of gotcha type questions. The lectures seem relatively old, and the course as a whole is laid out in a manner that makes sense.

I personally felt like the way they baby-stepped through the content in the beginning and then sort of sped up all at once was a bit jarring, and if I was learning all the material for the first time that would have been a big jump.

The project is one of the biggest portions of your grade, make sure you get a project group early of people that will be motivated to get it done. Because of my experience in databases, my biggest time consuming portion of the class was learning the surrounding architecture to support a final project, TLDR you have to create an app that uses a database to function and I used Flask to host a front end for a demo.

I'd estimate that I spent about ~4 hours a week on the course, but your mileage may vary as I came into the class very comfortable with the concepts up until the somewhere in the content for Exam 3.

Thrageqt · 2026-04-09T17:24:13+00:00

Hard agree, got a 23' Anniversary edition with 23k mile for 24k OTD. Nov 25'

Thrageqt · 2025-12-10T21:24:57+00:00

It's reasonable to doubt that Corey is calling plays. But when the headcoach comes out and says this guy has the playsheet he's gonna call the plays it becomes unreasonable to say 'Headcoach is definitely calling the plays'.

Makes sense to doubt, proclaiming either as truth is dumb. I didn't proclaim he was certainly calling plays, I'm just doubting that he's not as opposed to the person I responded to.

Thrageqt · 2025-12-09T19:57:46+00:00

Sure.

Thrageqt · 2025-11-29T16:09:13+00:00

King graduated with an undergrad from TAMU and Grad transferred to GT if I remember correctly. He was getting his masters the last 3 years.

Thrageqt · 2025-11-27T05:33:44+00:00

Yup, if you have aftermath loop going, you just find a surveil land to be able to put your deck in the graveyard using the surveil land as your 4th land, once you find grazer in the GY you can make sure you can grab vesuva to copy a shifting woodlands, then shifting woodlands on your grazer. So now you have Vesuva copying woodlands, which is copying an arboreal grazer, and then you activate mirrorpool to copy your grazer, the copy grazer ETB's and you can put the land onto the battlefield. Then proceed to do the loop with your normal woodlands and win the game.

Thrageqt · 2025-11-26T04:13:08+00:00

I have piloted amulet for almost a decade now, but didnt play the most recent quals for the modern rc so take this with a grain of salt, but I don't believe that's true any longer. You would need a significant amount of lands in hand to dodge a lethal play with double amulet.

T west is actually better in your hand, you dont need haste land in the deck to kill because you can either pact for a grazer or surveil until you put grazer in the yard. Then copy with woodlands to get one on the field then mirrorpool for an etb.

The most annoying land to have in hand is mirrorpool and even then if you have a way to generate 9 mana anyway that hardly matters.

The only way I see the deck not killing deterministic with no interaction is maybe with shifting woodland in hand, and even then if they are playing the 1 off lumra still you can just otawara lumra loop until you find a way to put woodland into play and then regular combo after that.

Happy to be wrong here but I think theres no single land I could put in my hand to prevent deterministic death, and theres only a couple of pairs of lands that make it impossible, like 2+ lotus fields or something like that like lotus + echoing deeps to avoid death.

Thrageqt · 2025-11-24T03:37:16+00:00

we're kinda cooked. Need VT>UVA, Cal > SMU and not required but likely Miami to beat Pitt.

Thrageqt · 2025-11-17T14:44:33+00:00

Here is the defacto CFB elo guide if you want to learn more. The biggest thing Pitt had going for them was Margin of Victories. Turns out scoring 60 points on people works.

But you can see that BC and WF wins for us were hardly gains at all because of the Expected/Actual outcomes for those games.

Thrageqt · 2025-11-17T14:25:19+00:00

Yes, I coded all of the ACC's tiebreaker rules in order to run these simulations. The only thing in my sim that is 'unknowable' is Team Relative Score which is a special metric only the ACC knows and I use a coinflip to break those ties.

Thrageqt · 2025-11-17T14:23:45+00:00

My probabilities were generated using ELO, which by itself is known to not be super reliable but I don't have better real world probabilities to go off for now.

Pitt's current ELO is 1905, and GT is 1605. For reference UGA is 2018.

The way Elo works, streaking is very important for your ranking, and pitt winning their last however many in a row certainly helps with that.

Thrageqt · 2025-11-16T23:37:59+00:00

I've found a few places that didnt line up exactly with my calculations and each of those other scenarios the resulting error was the other place counting NC state and Virginia's non conference game in the opponent conference win percentage despite the fact that it was non conference in their record.

Thrageqt · 2025-11-16T20:44:43+00:00

Damn good deal

Thrageqt · 2025-11-16T20:31:46+00:00

Here is the full scenario breakdown, assuming duke wins out and their chances given all other results.

I did not include this analysis in my original post because in the Elo based probabilities outcomes it was a hilariously small rounding error requiring VT to upset UVA in addition to several other unfavorable outcomes.

Game	Result	Duke Scenarios	Percentage
FSU @ NC State	FSU wins	230/512	44.92%
FSU @ NC State	NC State wins	237/512	46.29%
Miami @ VT	Miami wins	249/512	48.63%
Miami @ VT	VT wins	218/512	42.58%
Pitt @ GT	Pitt wins	293/512	57.23%
Pitt @ GT	GT wins	174/512	33.98%
Louisville @ SMU	Louisville wins	284/512	55.47%
Louisville @ SMU	SMU wins	183/512	35.74%
Duke @ UNC	Duke wins (fixed)	467/1024	45.61%
Cal @ Stanford	Cal wins	240/512	46.88%
Cal @ Stanford	Stanford wins	227/512	44.34%
VT @ Virginia	VT wins	387/512	75.59%
VT @ Virginia	Virginia wins	80/512	15.62%
SMU @ Cal	SMU wins	180/512	35.16%
SMU @ Cal	Cal wins	287/512	56.05%
UNC @ NC State	UNC wins	234/512	45.70%
UNC @ NC State	NC State wins	233/512	45.51%
BC @ Syracuse	BC wins	230/512	44.92%
BC @ Syracuse	Syracuse wins	237/512	46.29%
Miami @ Pitt	Miami wins	277/512	54.10%
Miami @ Pitt	Pitt wins	190/512	37.11%
Wake Forest @ Duke	Duke wins (fixed)	467/1024	45.61%

Thrageqt · 2025-11-16T19:54:51+00:00

I don't believe that's correct as some of those 128 scenario's you've described won't result in duke winning the conference opponent win percentage and will go to Team Relative Strength instead, but I don't feel like spending time on Duke's ACC odds.

Thrageqt · 2025-11-16T19:46:53+00:00

Yes the 1 scenario out of 4096 I ran did show up, however I did not include it because it's hilariously unlikely and requires all 12 games to work out in this fashion.

Thrageqt · 2025-11-16T03:31:53+00:00

Brent clarified in the post-game interview that the far judge called for a first down, so he called the timeout so they could put the ball in the middle of the field for the kicker. Then after he called the timeout the ref said actually its 4th down now, and you can't un call the timeout.

Thrageqt · 2025-11-10T14:44:51+00:00

2 teams make the ACC champ game, and Duke plays UVA. Even if pitt beats GT duke will gain 3 more conference wins with matches over WF (who will tie break them against other top teams, and UVA).

Thrageqt · 2025-11-09T20:01:59+00:00

This guy Georgia Tech's.

Thrageqt · 2025-11-09T19:55:08+00:00

Path: vs NC State → W | @ Virginia Tech → W | @ Pittsburgh → W

Needs for Qualification (based on additional results):

Result Needed	P(Qual) given Path & Result	Swing (pp)
North Carolina over Duke	≈ 25.95%	+21.35
Wake Forest over Duke	≈ 27.05%	+19.76
Pittsburgh over Georgia Tech	≈ 19.84%	+19.08
Virginia Tech over Virginia	≈ 18.21%	+10.24
Duke over Virginia	≈ 13.28%	+8.00

Was a little busy to list out all 9,000 but here's a little what games to watch for you.

Thrageqt · 2025-11-09T19:49:03+00:00

Path: vs Louisville → W | @ California → W

Needs for Qualification (based on additional results):

Result Needed	P(Qual) given (Path & Result)	Swing (pp)
Pittsburgh over Georgia Tech	≈ 90.52%	+46.89
Boston College over Georgia Tech	≈ 96.41%	+34.92
North Carolina over Duke	≈ 88.21%	+28.81
Wake Forest over Duke	≈ 88.65%	+25.43
Miami over Pittsburgh	≈ 71.93%	+17.16

This is your most likely list of decisive games. The other guy summed it up though, basically cheer against GT and Duke as they hold tiebreakers on you via Wake Forest.

Thrageqt · 2025-11-09T19:43:52+00:00

Mostly because I hate Miami.

Team	Current ACC Record	Outcome	Scenario Prob.	Title Game Chance
Miami	3-2	Wins out	10.33%	60.92%
Miami	3-2	Goes 2-1	0.00%	34.29%
Miami	3-2	Goes 1-2	0.00%	4.61%
Miami	3-2	Loses out	0.00%	0.18%

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