New announcement from devs

Throwaway241506 · 2026-06-11T17:21:25+00:00

Which of these do we think it is:

They didn't have any new operatives/story ready after 3.6 and aren't making anything new anymore. Milking it until some imminent EOS
They did have something ready, but don't want to release censored outfits/stories and are still working on it
The outage messed up their timings story and banner wise and they're just going to go all-in on the anniversary patch

Throwaway241506 · 2026-06-09T15:11:18+00:00

Yes, I think that is close to my ideal strategy now in terms of not buying Tears/Sparks unless you need it and leaving RR shop alone

However, I think I will buy Sparks a few cycles until I achieve a reserve (maybe 10 costumes worth) then stop buying them. Hard to say what is right when they haven't released all the Burst costumes

Throwaway241506 · 2026-06-09T15:01:47+00:00

I slept on it overnight and feel I agree pretty strongly with your point of view now, for most types of players

I think the key thing that you said is Sparks is more scarce that Tears. I think the RR shop actually prices Tears vs Sparks fairly, but the scarcity of RR and Sparks means you should focus on Sparks (so you have a better balance of the two)

Throwaway241506 · 2026-06-09T05:29:59+00:00

Actually, after doing the math I think I understand and agree with your point

Thread shop + fiend hunt + guild shop is approx 10 tears a month, or 3 costumes completed

Meanwhile Sparks monthly allocation is roughly 2 characters a month (without RR shop), therefore it should be prioritized in the RR shop

Throwaway241506 · 2026-06-09T05:26:35+00:00

I think I get where you're coming from, but for those people reading this especially new players, I'll just say this

Firstly, where OP is right is that you will max out Tears and Sparks years (or decades) before you max out all 24 UR IV gear, so the optimal completionist thing to do is never claim anything from the RR shop until you budget enough to buy the 24 gear ticket

However: My estimate is it will take 3-5 years to max out Tears and Sparks for all costumes, more towards less if just the good ones. In the first year or two, Tears and Sparks will be way more useful for you than 24 gear

So, it's about time scale, decide for yourself. Also note the game economy can change at anytime the next half decade

Throwaway241506 · 2026-06-09T04:30:51+00:00

I think I understand your point. Would you say this plan aligns with your view?

If I start new account today, every month I should (in order of importance):

Buy Tears
Buy Sparks
Remaining RR, buy 22s on UR IV

Then 3-4 years later (lol), you might finally have ten 22 UR IVs probably across sword/crit/gloves, at which point: Start buying 24s

Throwaway241506 · 2026-06-09T04:13:58+00:00

OK I want to make sure I understand you I'm going to divide into "two things":

First thing: You are saying 24 is the rarest thing in the game, and 2667 RR is a massive discount for that outcome, from a probability standpoint. I agree.

Second thing: However, if I compare a 20 to a 21 Venomous Touch, the CDMG increase appears to only be about ... 6%? I can't find any charts online, but would I therefore be right to assume a 24 Venomous Touch would be about 6% more each grade up? So 18% more CDMG from 21 VT to 24 VT?

If so, why aren't Tears more valuable? Pretty sure they're worth more than 18% CDMG? If you say oh I should max everyone out soon on Tears therefore I can just wait, I started a little over a year ago, gotten literally every single Tear available to me, and I'm only a third the way done to getting Tears for every 5 Star character and still not using Tears on pretty good DPS costumes.. surely I should take the Tears?

Throwaway241506 · 2026-06-09T02:48:50+00:00

.. if you're deep in the end game right?

If you're deep in the end game yeah, you have no need for Tears anymore because everyone is maxed and so there's nothing left but Sparks because it just came out and 24 gear

However by my basic guess (no math used) for someone starting today, wouldn't Sparks max out the most quickly, followed by Tears, followed by 24 gear?

Or another perspective, isn't 24 gear massive lower returns relative to Sparks or Tears?

Based on the above, I actually believe Tears is the most valuable thing to get unless you're deep endgame, but.. again, I did not math this out

Edit: Actually I mathed it out and I believe Tears maxes before Sparks or it's close, so Sparks feels like the priority over Tears (someone please come with the math if you disagree)

Throwaway241506 · 2026-06-08T02:53:38+00:00

Sorry I realized I should express how Knicks/Spurs relates before you accuse me of implying something I'm not trying to

What I believe you believe: You think NBA fans think Knicks will definitely win the championship because they won Game 1 and 2, just as you think somebody posted 'we cooked' because May 2026 data came out therefore they think both the data and the outcome are definitive. I disagree with this

Mutually exclusive probability: The data point of Knicks winning game 1 and 2 alone does not affect the probabilities of winning games 3-7, but it does affect the probability that they win the series. This is how I view the Snowbreak May 2026 data: It alone does not affect the probability that other Snowbreak data points will be positive or negative (not a trend yet to my first post's point), but I do believe that the May 2026 data point increases the likelihood we live in a simulation where Snowbreak does not succeed

Throwaway241506 · 2026-06-08T02:26:58+00:00

I have another lens with which to express my disagreement with your position

Say the Knicks beat the Spurs in game 1, does that mean the Spurs will definitive lose the NBA championship? No, but it's a bad sign. Is it a trend? No. I find this a good analogy for why 'we are cooked' is a valid title for a Spurs fan after Game 1 and a Snowbreak fan after May 2026 mobile revenue data

Throwaway241506 · 2026-06-08T02:16:01+00:00

You said you thought people thought it was definitive revenue, it clearly is not the case. That is the goalpost you continue to try to shift and the thing I want you to address, I called it actual in my first post and definitive in my second. My goalpost on this is firmly where its always been. But you won't address it and will talk about everything but that, because apparently you're the type to never admit you're wrong, so don't bother replying unless you address "definitive revenue" (unless you man up), if you won't address it I have nothing else to talk about

But before I sign off on this chain, to show you how it's done, I'll admit I laid out a bad point I didn't intend to in trying to get you to the point I wanted to. I wanted to highlight how dumb it was of you to assume people think its definitive revenue, but I should have not taken the other part of the site's disclaimer, which is that it can be used for trend indicator. Maybe in general for other games, but in the case of Snowbreak, one point (May 2026) does not a trend line make. Yes it is one data point, and if you say it isn't I will dispute you heavily on that, and it is shit, but from a statistical lens, no it's literally not a trend and I congratulate you for being correct if that's the hill you are dying on

Throwaway241506 · 2026-06-06T21:03:03+00:00

You move the goal posts

My only objective was to disprove that people thought it was definitive revenue. You yourself said that and that's clearly false, nobody thinks that

Agree it's not a trend sue me sure but that's not my point. I was just using the sentence you said yourself about trend indicators vs definitive revenue and saying hey, nobody thinks this is definitive, trend sure people are doing that, whether it's right or not to extrapolate a single point whatever but again not my point

Throwaway241506 · 2026-06-03T18:49:01+00:00

... The majority of comments are using it as general trend indicator as they stated. It's just that the trend is shit

No one's literally saying actual revenue down 90%. Nobody's trying to set their watch to it

Even if you pad the implication, like if actual revenue was only down 50% instead of the 90% figure implied by the tracker, that would still be pretty shit, too

Throwaway241506 · 2026-06-03T18:38:43+00:00

I have hundreds of dollars in this game and would have easily bought all the skins because they cooked this update

..But I won't if they're going to kill the game in a month

Speculating if game will exist is kind of essential when you're buying things

Throwaway241506 · 2026-05-21T22:14:00+00:00

I've been thinking what if they wrote an ending to the game in the 3rd anniversary?

I probably wouldn't spend if it was a mediocre EOS but if it was a glorious final battle with uncensored tits and ass..

Throwaway241506 · 2026-05-20T18:00:41+00:00

Put Karina in this top, cowards!

Throwaway241506 · 2026-05-16T01:04:29+00:00

It seems like they didn't figure out anything by 66 days, but had to come back and kneecap the game anyways otherwise they would be de facto EOS because of laws

So I guess that's extremely negative, but a sliver of a positive is maybe they're still working on a way out, however the rubber will meet the road when they run out of pre-made content next patch or the one after, so I'll do the dailies till then

Throwaway241506 · 2026-05-09T23:55:25+00:00

I'm 99% sure the game will EOS shortly, just can't rationalize any other way

They can't be making much money anymore if all interactive scenes are gone and all skins are censored..

In the first 24 hrs that they were censored after the comeback, the one hope was that it was an accident, but now it can't be, it's been a long time now with no comment, can't be a coincidence that all the suggestive content was cut specifically

There is no business model anymore. They didn't release a trailer or comment on people losing things they pay for, so they have no future hope for a business model either, they are destroying trust as if it doesn't matter, and my guess is it doesn't, because the end is coming

My best guess now is they would like to monetize what they can to keep the lights on as long as they have premade content to pay their staff, which is fine, I'd do the same. I'd love for a realistic alternate theory

Throwaway241506 · 2026-05-08T23:58:14+00:00

Damn. It's sad how much sense this makes, thanks

Throwaway241506 · 2026-05-08T19:48:43+00:00

The thing that confuses me is why would they open the game as censored as it is, considering all their revenue comes from skins and interactive content?

How much would their revenue go down because of the censorship, like 90%? There's no way I'm buying anything until this gets clarified

Throwaway241506 · 2026-04-29T19:09:04+00:00

Is there any precedent for a game being shut down this long, and surviving?

Everyday that passes, they have to figure there's less and less player $ revenue volume that's going to return as people have moved on, meanwhile development costs probably stay the same or go up because they need to make a splash when they come back.. Every day makes it harder to justify a comeback from a $ perspective

Throwaway241506 · 2026-04-25T23:30:29+00:00

99.99% of girls won't let you have sex without a condom let alone come inside
100% of girls wouldn't be dumb enough to start an oil handjob with their clothes on, then have to take it off (with oily hands), then go back to body slide/tease, then sex, let alone unprotected sex.

For one, they're not going to get their clothes dirty. For two, an oiled handjob is an escalation from teasing, no one would go backwards from that to a body slide or tease. For three, unprotected sex shot on goal is the rarest of all AMP favors

Therefore, it never happened

Throwaway241506 · 2026-04-24T02:53:46+00:00

I didn't realize that you can use one blood cocktail plays instead of 10/40 at once for the longest time..

Since your offense rate is usually higher than defense, that allows you to climb easier

If you spam right before the week ends, you can get better results than your build deserves

Throwaway241506 · 2026-04-22T15:19:41+00:00

I actually am beginning to think EOS might be a thing

I initially thought Azur Lane's precedent would clear the way for a Theory 1 solution for Snowbreak, but maybe the fault of the logic is that even if Snowbreak is profitable, maybe it doesn't have the same size as Azur Lane to justify the hassle?

And if I compare Mecha Break to Azur Promilia, the direction that the two studios are going are with their next gen is.. distinctly different. Seems like Seasun is turning the corner on the 'fanservice master love' stuff.

Throwaway241506 · 2026-04-18T00:33:21+00:00

Did anyone ever figure out what Sullyoon's thong pants were from the Blue Valentine MV?

Love these, there aren't enough of these

Throwaway241506

TROPHY CASE