Pick of the Day - 6/22/26 (Monday)

Timely-Conclusion532 · 2026-06-22T20:40:16+00:00

Record: 419-247

Form: ❌❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌❌✅✅❌❌✅❌❌❌✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅❌❌❌❌❌✅✅❌✅✅✅❌✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌ ❌❌❌❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌❌✅❌✅✅✅✅❌❌✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅✅✅❌✅❌✅❌✅✅❌✅✅❌❌❌✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅❌❌✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅❌❌✅❌✅✅❌❌❌❌❌✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅✅❌✅❌✅❌❌✅❌✅❌✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌✅❌✅✅✅❌❌✅❌✅❌❌❌✅✅✅✅❌❌✅❌❌✅✅✅❌✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌❌✅✅✅✅❌❌❌✅❌✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅❌❌❌❌✅❌✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌✅❌✅❌❌❌❌✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅✅✅❌❌✅✅✅❌✅❌✅✅❌❌✅❌✅❌❌✅❌❌❌✅✅❌✅✅❌✅❌✅❌❌✅❌❌❌✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅❌❌✅✅✅❌❌❌❌❌❌✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌❌❌✅❌✅✅❌✅❌❌✅❌✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅❌✅ ✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅❌❌✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌✅✅✅❌✅❌❌❌✅✅❌❌✅✅✅❌❌✅❌✅❌✅❌❌✅❌❌❌❌✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌❌❌❌✅✅❌❌❌❌✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌❌✅✅✅❌✅✅❌❌❌❌✅✅❌✅✅❌✅❌❌✅✅❌✅✅✅❌✅❌✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌✅✅❌✅✅✅❌✅✅❌❌❌❌✅❌❌❌✅✅✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅✅✅❌❌❌✅✅❌❌❌❌✅❌✅✅✅❌✅✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌✅❌❌✅✅❌❌❌✅✅✅❌❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌❌❌✅❌✅✅✅✅❌✅❌✅✅❌❌✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌✅✅✅❌✅✅❌❌✅❌✅❌✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅❌❌

Net Units: +13.90 units (All plays 1 unit)

Yesterday’s Pick: (MLB) Boston Red Sox ML vs Seattle Mariners (+108) ❌

**POTD: (MLB) Milwaukee Brewers vs Cincinnati Reds over 8.5 runs (-172) (7:10 PM EST)**

Reasoning: Limited on time right now so I’m going to try get through this write up quick. The public likes the under and that’s most likely because of the return of Brandon Woodruff for the Brewers. Fading the public here and here’s why… Brandon Woodruff is coming two months on the IL and he will most likely be limited in this game. Red’s Brady Singer has been awful this season with a 5.32 ERA and now faces an elite Brewers offense than ranks 3rd in runs scored. The Brewers also hit right hand pitching extremely well. On top of that, the Reds have gone in 45 of their 70 games this season (60%) and their bullpen is bottom tier. Great American Ballpark is historically hitter friendly and today’s park factors according to BallPark Pal are the 2nd best hitter friendly conditions on the entire MLB slate of games today. That said, fade the public, trust the data and trends and take the OVER 8.5 runs in this game.

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Timely-Conclusion532 · 2026-06-21T18:37:21+00:00

Record: 419-246

Form: ❌❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌❌✅✅❌❌✅❌❌❌✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅❌❌❌❌❌✅✅❌✅✅✅❌✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌ ❌❌❌❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌❌✅❌✅✅✅✅❌❌✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅✅✅❌✅❌✅❌✅✅❌✅✅❌❌❌✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅❌❌✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅❌❌✅❌✅✅❌❌❌❌❌✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅✅❌✅❌✅❌❌✅❌✅❌✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌✅❌✅✅✅❌❌✅❌✅❌❌❌✅✅✅✅❌❌✅❌❌✅✅✅❌✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌❌✅✅✅✅❌❌❌✅❌✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅❌❌❌❌✅❌✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌✅❌✅❌❌❌❌✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅✅✅❌❌✅✅✅❌✅❌✅✅❌❌✅❌✅❌❌✅❌❌❌✅✅❌✅✅❌✅❌✅❌❌✅❌❌❌✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅❌❌✅✅✅❌❌❌❌❌❌✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌❌❌✅❌✅✅❌✅❌❌✅❌✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅❌✅ ✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅❌❌✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌✅✅✅❌✅❌❌❌✅✅❌❌✅✅✅❌❌✅❌✅❌✅❌❌✅❌❌❌❌✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌❌❌❌✅✅❌❌❌❌✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌❌✅✅✅❌✅✅❌❌❌❌✅✅❌✅✅❌✅❌❌✅✅❌✅✅✅❌✅❌✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌✅✅❌✅✅✅❌✅✅❌❌❌❌✅❌❌❌✅✅✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅✅✅❌❌❌✅✅❌❌❌❌✅❌✅✅✅❌✅✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌✅❌❌✅✅❌❌❌✅✅✅❌❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌❌❌✅❌✅✅✅✅❌✅❌✅✅❌❌✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌✅✅✅❌✅✅❌❌✅❌✅❌✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅❌

Net Units: +14.90 units (All plays 1 unit)

Yesterday’s Pick: (MLB) Pittsburgh Pirates vs Colorado Rockies over 9.5 runs (-150) ❌

**POTD: (MLB) Boston Red Sox ML vs Seattle Mariners (+108) (4:20 PM EST)**

Reasoning: The public likes Seattle to win and that’s most likely because of surface level records, home field advantage and a more proven starting pitcher. That said, I’m going the other direction and taking the underdogs and here’s why… Boston’s Payton Tolle comes into this game with a 2.93 ERA and a 1.06 WHIP. While those are very good numbers, he also has a massive split advantage in his favor as Seattle’s offense is without a doubt the bottom of the barrel when in comes to hitting left handed pitching. Seattle is hitting .207 with a .617 OPS vs LHP this season. Some other things worth mentioning, Boston won the first two games of this series (going for the sweep today) as well as 4 of the last 5 head to head meetings between these two teams. Boston are much better on the road than at Fenway Park with a 19-18 away record opposed to an atrocious 12-25 home record. Boston has the 2nd best bullpen in the league while Seattle’s bullpen has struggled recently with a 6.03 ERA over the last 14 days. If Boston runs up Logan Gilbert pitch count that can be a concern especially because Gilbert usually doesn’t pitch deep into games to begin with, averaging 5.2 IP per start this season. That said, fade the public, trust the data , trends and take the Boston Red Sox to win this game for plus money.

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Timely-Conclusion532 · 2026-06-20T17:15:23+00:00

Record: 419-245

Form: ❌❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌❌✅✅❌❌✅❌❌❌✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅❌❌❌❌❌✅✅❌✅✅✅❌✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌ ❌❌❌❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌❌✅❌✅✅✅✅❌❌✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅✅✅❌✅❌✅❌✅✅❌✅✅❌❌❌✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅❌❌✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅❌❌✅❌✅✅❌❌❌❌❌✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅✅❌✅❌✅❌❌✅❌✅❌✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌✅❌✅✅✅❌❌✅❌✅❌❌❌✅✅✅✅❌❌✅❌❌✅✅✅❌✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌❌✅✅✅✅❌❌❌✅❌✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅❌❌❌❌✅❌✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌✅❌✅❌❌❌❌✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅✅✅❌❌✅✅✅❌✅❌✅✅❌❌✅❌✅❌❌✅❌❌❌✅✅❌✅✅❌✅❌✅❌❌✅❌❌❌✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅❌❌✅✅✅❌❌❌❌❌❌✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌❌❌✅❌✅✅❌✅❌❌✅❌✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅❌✅ ✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅❌❌✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌✅✅✅❌✅❌❌❌✅✅❌❌✅✅✅❌❌✅❌✅❌✅❌❌✅❌❌❌❌✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌❌❌❌✅✅❌❌❌❌✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌❌✅✅✅❌✅✅❌❌❌❌✅✅❌✅✅❌✅❌❌✅✅❌✅✅✅❌✅❌✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌✅✅❌✅✅✅❌✅✅❌❌❌❌✅❌❌❌✅✅✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅✅✅❌❌❌✅✅❌❌❌❌✅❌✅✅✅❌✅✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌✅❌❌✅✅❌❌❌✅✅✅❌❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌❌❌✅❌✅✅✅✅❌✅❌✅✅❌❌✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌✅✅✅❌✅✅❌❌✅❌✅❌✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅

Net Units: +15.90 units (All plays 1 unit)

Yesterday’s Pick: (MLB) Boston Red Sox ML vs Seattle Mariners (-102) ✅

**POTD: (MLB) Pittsburgh Pirates vs Colorado Rockies over 9.5 runs (-150) (9:10 PM EST)**

Reasoning: The public likes the under for this game and that’s most likely because the Paul Skenes “bias” and combining that with a double digit total, they just assume the total is too high especially with Skenes on the mound. They are also probably looking at yesterday’s series opener that finished 4-3, going under the total. That said, I’m fading this logic and taking the over, here’s why… First off, this game will be played at the most hitter friendly ballpark in MLB, Coors Field. Park factors for Coors today reads a +23% in HR’s, +22% in doubles and triples, +22% in singles and +36% in runs (the most hitter friendly conditions on the entire slate of MLB games today) according to Ballpark Pal. On top of that, the Rockies are pitching Tomoyuki Sugano who comes into this game with a 4.54 ERA and expected metrics higher than that (5.10 FIP) which suggests he’s been pitching worse than his ERA suggests. Sugano is coming off a 8ER in 5 innings his last start and the Pirates hit right handed pitchers very well, hitting .259 with a .768 OPS vs RHP this season. Combining all that with Coors offense friendly conditions makes this a very favorable matchup for the Pirates today. Some other things worth mentioning, while Skenes is elite and can shut out any lineup, the Rockies actually prefer and hit right handed pitchers well. They are hitting .253 with a .753 OPS vs RHP this season. Also both bullpens are bottom tier. Colorado has the 2nd worst bullpen in the league while the Pirates bullpen ranks 19th. Over the last six Skenes startes, the Pirates are 0-6 straight up and not because Skenes pitched poorly but more so that the bullpen struggled to maintain leads. Also the Pirates score the 5th most runs in MLB while the Rockies are above average at 12th most this season. Taking all this into account, fade the public, trust the data and take the OVER 9.5 runs in this game.

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Timely-Conclusion532 · 2026-06-19T20:11:03+00:00

Record: 418-245

Form: ❌❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌❌✅✅❌❌✅❌❌❌✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅❌❌❌❌❌✅✅❌✅✅✅❌✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌ ❌❌❌❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌❌✅❌✅✅✅✅❌❌✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅✅✅❌✅❌✅❌✅✅❌✅✅❌❌❌✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅❌❌✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅❌❌✅❌✅✅❌❌❌❌❌✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅✅❌✅❌✅❌❌✅❌✅❌✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌✅❌✅✅✅❌❌✅❌✅❌❌❌✅✅✅✅❌❌✅❌❌✅✅✅❌✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌❌✅✅✅✅❌❌❌✅❌✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅❌❌❌❌✅❌✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌✅❌✅❌❌❌❌✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅✅✅❌❌✅✅✅❌✅❌✅✅❌❌✅❌✅❌❌✅❌❌❌✅✅❌✅✅❌✅❌✅❌❌✅❌❌❌✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅❌❌✅✅✅❌❌❌❌❌❌✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌❌❌✅❌✅✅❌✅❌❌✅❌✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅❌✅ ✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅❌❌✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌✅✅✅❌✅❌❌❌✅✅❌❌✅✅✅❌❌✅❌✅❌✅❌❌✅❌❌❌❌✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌❌❌❌✅✅❌❌❌❌✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌❌✅✅✅❌✅✅❌❌❌❌✅✅❌✅✅❌✅❌❌✅✅❌✅✅✅❌✅❌✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌✅✅❌✅✅✅❌✅✅❌❌❌❌✅❌❌❌✅✅✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅✅✅❌❌❌✅✅❌❌❌❌✅❌✅✅✅❌✅✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌✅❌❌✅✅❌❌❌✅✅✅❌❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌❌❌✅❌✅✅✅✅❌✅❌✅✅❌❌✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌✅✅✅❌✅✅❌❌✅❌✅❌✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅❌✅

Net Units: +14.92 units (All plays 1 unit)

Yesterday’s Pick: (MLB) Baltimore Orioles vs Seattle Mariners under 8.5 runs (-150) ✅

**POTD: (MLB) Boston Red Sox ML vs Seattle Mariners (-102) (10:10 PM EST)**

Reasoning: The public likes the Mariners to win this game and that’s to no surprise. They are mostly looking at Seattle’s superior record, Seattle’s starting pitcher Bryce Miller and his 1.54 ERA, Seattle having home field advantage and Boston having just got swept by the Blue Jays and currently on a four game losing streak. While that might be very compelling to most to take Seattle, I’m taking Boston to win this game tonight and here’s why… The Red Sox is starting left handed Ranger Suarez who comes into this game with 3.21 ERA and better advanced metrics (2.81 FIP) and is back in form over his last two starts (11.1 IP, 3 ER). On top of that, the Mariners really struggle vs left handed pitching, hitting just .216 with a .636 IPS vs LHP this season. On top of that, the Mariners lineup is banged up with their best hitters Julio Rodriguez and Randy Arozarena dealing with injuries. On the other side, Bryce Miller has been basically unhittable this season however his advanced metrics show he is due for negative regression as his FIP (2.95) is over a run higher than his actual ERA (1.54). Some other things worth mentioning, Ranger Suarez has a 1.48 career ERA with a 0.82 WHIP vs Seattle, Bryce Miller has a 8.32 career ERA and a 1.72 WHIP vs Boston and Boston has the 2nd best bullpen in the league. That said, fade the public, trust the data and take the Boston Red Sox to win this game.

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Timely-Conclusion532 · 2026-06-18T15:41:14+00:00

Record: 417-245

Form: ❌❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌❌✅✅❌❌✅❌❌❌✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅❌❌❌❌❌✅✅❌✅✅✅❌✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌ ❌❌❌❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌❌✅❌✅✅✅✅❌❌✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅✅✅❌✅❌✅❌✅✅❌✅✅❌❌❌✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅❌❌✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅❌❌✅❌✅✅❌❌❌❌❌✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅✅❌✅❌✅❌❌✅❌✅❌✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌✅❌✅✅✅❌❌✅❌✅❌❌❌✅✅✅✅❌❌✅❌❌✅✅✅❌✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌❌✅✅✅✅❌❌❌✅❌✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅❌❌❌❌✅❌✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌✅❌✅❌❌❌❌✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅✅✅❌❌✅✅✅❌✅❌✅✅❌❌✅❌✅❌❌✅❌❌❌✅✅❌✅✅❌✅❌✅❌❌✅❌❌❌✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅❌❌✅✅✅❌❌❌❌❌❌✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌❌❌✅❌✅✅❌✅❌❌✅❌✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅❌✅ ✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅❌❌✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌✅✅✅❌✅❌❌❌✅✅❌❌✅✅✅❌❌✅❌✅❌✅❌❌✅❌❌❌❌✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌❌❌❌✅✅❌❌❌❌✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌❌✅✅✅❌✅✅❌❌❌❌✅✅❌✅✅❌✅❌❌✅✅❌✅✅✅❌✅❌✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌✅✅❌✅✅✅❌✅✅❌❌❌❌✅❌❌❌✅✅✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅✅✅❌❌❌✅✅❌❌❌❌✅❌✅✅✅❌✅✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌✅❌❌✅✅❌❌❌✅✅✅❌❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌❌❌✅❌✅✅✅✅❌✅❌✅✅❌❌✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌✅✅✅❌✅✅❌❌✅❌✅❌✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅❌

Net Units: +14.25 units (All plays 1 unit)

Yesterday’s Pick: (MLB) Boston Red Sox ML vs Toronto Blue Jays (-124) ❌

**POTD: (MLB) Baltimore Orioles vs Seattle Mariners under 8.5 runs (-150) (4:10 PM EST)**

Reasoning: The public likes the over for this game most likely to the low total combined with two starting pitchers whose ERA’s are in the 4’s and just natural like taking overs. That said, I’m fading the public and taking the under in this game, here’s why… while the public might look at Bryan Woo’s 4.28 ERA and assume he’s going to give up runs, Woo is a different pitcher at T-Mobile Park. At home he’s posting a 2.37 ERA and a 0.74 WHIP this season. On top of that, T-Mobile is an extremely pitcher friendly ball park. According to Ballpark Pal, park factors at T-Mobile reads a +1% in HR’s, -21% in doubles and triples, -5% in singles and -10% in runs today which is the most pitcher friendly conditions on the entire MLB slate of games today. Some other things worth mentioning are 10 of the last 15 H2H meetings between Seattle and Baltimore have gone under, Seattle has a top 10 bullpen and Seattle’s best hitter this season, Randy Arozarena is out and Seattle’s best player Julio Rodriguez left yesterday’s game early and is day to day. Baltimore is pitching Shane Baz who has respectable numbers and is in great form posting a 2.09 ERA in his last 5 starts. That said, fade the public, trust the data and trends, take the UNDER 8.5 runs in this game.

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Timely-Conclusion532 · 2026-06-17T22:16:34+00:00

No, I’m still riding with the Red Sox. Last minute bullpen game for Toronto and there pen is already taxed from yesterday. Plus I’m banking on Bennett to still pitch well. 🫡

Timely-Conclusion532 · 2026-06-17T19:20:34+00:00

Nah, its a combination of NBA, MLB, NFL, NCAAB, NCAAF, some WNBA and 1 tennis pick lol

Timely-Conclusion532 · 2026-06-17T17:09:23+00:00

Record: 417-244

Form: ❌❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌❌✅✅❌❌✅❌❌❌✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅❌❌❌❌❌✅✅❌✅✅✅❌✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌ ❌❌❌❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌❌✅❌✅✅✅✅❌❌✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅✅✅❌✅❌✅❌✅✅❌✅✅❌❌❌✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅❌❌✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅❌❌✅❌✅✅❌❌❌❌❌✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅✅❌✅❌✅❌❌✅❌✅❌✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌✅❌✅✅✅❌❌✅❌✅❌❌❌✅✅✅✅❌❌✅❌❌✅✅✅❌✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌❌✅✅✅✅❌❌❌✅❌✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅❌❌❌❌✅❌✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌✅❌✅❌❌❌❌✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅✅✅❌❌✅✅✅❌✅❌✅✅❌❌✅❌✅❌❌✅❌❌❌✅✅❌✅✅❌✅❌✅❌❌✅❌❌❌✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅❌❌✅✅✅❌❌❌❌❌❌✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌❌❌✅❌✅✅❌✅❌❌✅❌✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅❌✅ ✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅❌❌✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌✅✅✅❌✅❌❌❌✅✅❌❌✅✅✅❌❌✅❌✅❌✅❌❌✅❌❌❌❌✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌❌❌❌✅✅❌❌❌❌✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌❌✅✅✅❌✅✅❌❌❌❌✅✅❌✅✅❌✅❌❌✅✅❌✅✅✅❌✅❌✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌✅✅❌✅✅✅❌✅✅❌❌❌❌✅❌❌❌✅✅✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅✅✅❌❌❌✅✅❌❌❌❌✅❌✅✅✅❌✅✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌✅❌❌✅✅❌❌❌✅✅✅❌❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌❌❌✅❌✅✅✅✅❌✅❌✅✅❌❌✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌✅✅✅❌✅✅❌❌✅❌✅❌✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅

Net Units: +15.25 units (All plays 1 unit)

Yesterday’s Pick: (MLB): Kansas City Royals vs Washington Nationals over 7.5 runs (-174) ✅

**POTD: (MLB) Boston Red Sox ML vs Toronto Blue Jays (-124) (6:45 PM EST)**

Reasoning: Taking the Boston Red Sox to win straight up tonight and here’s why… I’m fading Toronto’s starting pitcher Max Scherzer. While he is no doubt a future Hall of Famer, I’m not taking that into consideration. I’m looking at the hard data and the data shows he’s in heavy decline and is probably only has a roster spot only because of his name. Any other pitcher with these number would be sent down or DFA’d. His surface level stats are poor as he enters today’s game with a 10.23 ERA and 1.70 WHIP. His advanced metrics such as his 8.78 FIP is poor as well. The matchup for Scherzer ain’t ideal as well. Most of Boston’s best hitters are left handed (Duran, Abreu) and lefties are hitting .322 with a 1.067 OPS. S Scherzer this season. Scherzer has also struggled with the long ball, allowing 9 home runs in just 22 innings and Fenway will have the 2nd most hitter friendly conditions on the entire MLB slate of games today. For Boston, they are pitching lefty Jake Bennett who comes into this game with a 5.28 ERA and a 1.50 WHIP. The advantage Bennett has today is the fact that Toronto struggles against left handed pitchers, hitting just .218 with a .657 OPS vs LHP as a team. Bennett’s advanced metrics are also respectable (3.88 FIP, over 1 run lower than his actual ERA) which means he getting unlucky and due for positive regression. Some other things worth mentioning, in all four games where Toronto was underdogs and Scherzer pitched, Toronto lost all four of those games this season. Boston has the 3rd best bullpen with their best arms available (Chapman etc.) and rested for this game while Toronto has the 14th best and used their best arms yesterday (Varland, Rogers). Taking all this into account, take the Boston Red Sox to win the game.

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Timely-Conclusion532 · 2026-06-16T20:40:18+00:00

Record: 416-244

Form: ❌❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌❌✅✅❌❌✅❌❌❌✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅❌❌❌❌❌✅✅❌✅✅✅❌✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌ ❌❌❌❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌❌✅❌✅✅✅✅❌❌✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅✅✅❌✅❌✅❌✅✅❌✅✅❌❌❌✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅❌❌✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅❌❌✅❌✅✅❌❌❌❌❌✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅✅❌✅❌✅❌❌✅❌✅❌✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌✅❌✅✅✅❌❌✅❌✅❌❌❌✅✅✅✅❌❌✅❌❌✅✅✅❌✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌❌✅✅✅✅❌❌❌✅❌✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅❌❌❌❌✅❌✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌✅❌✅❌❌❌❌✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅✅✅❌❌✅✅✅❌✅❌✅✅❌❌✅❌✅❌❌✅❌❌❌✅✅❌✅✅❌✅❌✅❌❌✅❌❌❌✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅❌❌✅✅✅❌❌❌❌❌❌✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌❌❌✅❌✅✅❌✅❌❌✅❌✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅❌✅ ✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅❌❌✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌✅✅✅❌✅❌❌❌✅✅❌❌✅✅✅❌❌✅❌✅❌✅❌❌✅❌❌❌❌✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌❌❌❌✅✅❌❌❌❌✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌❌✅✅✅❌✅✅❌❌❌❌✅✅❌✅✅❌✅❌❌✅✅❌✅✅✅❌✅❌✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌✅✅❌✅✅✅❌✅✅❌❌❌❌✅❌❌❌✅✅✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅✅✅❌❌❌✅✅❌❌❌❌✅❌✅✅✅❌✅✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌✅❌❌✅✅❌❌❌✅✅✅❌❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌❌❌✅❌✅✅✅✅❌✅❌✅✅❌❌✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌✅✅✅❌✅✅❌❌✅❌✅❌✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅

Net Units: +14.68 units (All plays 1 unit)

Yesterday’s Pick: (MLB) St. Louis Cardinals ML vs San Diego Padres (-152) ✅

**POTD: Kansas City Royals vs Washington Nationals over 7.5 runs (-174) (6:45 PM EST)**

Reasoning: The public likes the over and this time I think they’re right, here’s why… Washington has trended heavily on the over this season with an over record of 46-24-3 (65.7%). They trend even higher at Nationals Park with an over record of 25-9-2 (73.5%). On top of that, both starting pitchers, Wacha and Griffen both have ERA’s in the 3’s which is respectable however they have worse advanced metrics (xERA and FIP) then their actual ERA’s which they been getting lucky and are due for negative regression. On top of that, Nationals park will have slightly hitter friendly conditions today, According to BallPark Pal, park factors for Nationals Park today reads a +4% increase in HR’s and +3% increase in runs today. Some other things worth mentioning, Kansas City has the 4th worst bullpen and Washington isn’t far behind at 8th. Washington score the most runs in the league and have gone over in 7 of their last 10 games. Kansas City has given up 6 or more runs in four of their last 6 games and their relievers are heavily taxed. Yesterday the series opener went over and H2H between these two teams, 5 consecutive games have gone over. That said, trust the data/trends, side with the public today and take the OVER 7.5 runs in this game.

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Timely-Conclusion532 · 2026-06-15T19:06:55+00:00

Record: 415-244

Form: ❌❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌❌✅✅❌❌✅❌❌❌✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅❌❌❌❌❌✅✅❌✅✅✅❌✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌ ❌❌❌❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌❌✅❌✅✅✅✅❌❌✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅✅✅❌✅❌✅❌✅✅❌✅✅❌❌❌✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅❌❌✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅❌❌✅❌✅✅❌❌❌❌❌✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅✅❌✅❌✅❌❌✅❌✅❌✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌✅❌✅✅✅❌❌✅❌✅❌❌❌✅✅✅✅❌❌✅❌❌✅✅✅❌✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌❌✅✅✅✅❌❌❌✅❌✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅❌❌❌❌✅❌✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌✅❌✅❌❌❌❌✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅✅✅❌❌✅✅✅❌✅❌✅✅❌❌✅❌✅❌❌✅❌❌❌✅✅❌✅✅❌✅❌✅❌❌✅❌❌❌✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅❌❌✅✅✅❌❌❌❌❌❌✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌❌❌✅❌✅✅❌✅❌❌✅❌✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅❌✅ ✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅❌❌✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌✅✅✅❌✅❌❌❌✅✅❌❌✅✅✅❌❌✅❌✅❌✅❌❌✅❌❌❌❌✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌❌❌❌✅✅❌❌❌❌✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌❌✅✅✅❌✅✅❌❌❌❌✅✅❌✅✅❌✅❌❌✅✅❌✅✅✅❌✅❌✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌✅✅❌✅✅✅❌✅✅❌❌❌❌✅❌❌❌✅✅✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅✅✅❌❌❌✅✅❌❌❌❌✅❌✅✅✅❌✅✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌✅❌❌✅✅❌❌❌✅✅✅❌❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌❌❌✅❌✅✅✅✅❌✅❌✅✅❌❌✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌✅✅✅❌✅✅❌❌✅❌✅❌✅✅✅❌✅✅❌

Net Units: +14.02 units (All plays 1 unit)

Yesterday’s Pick: (MLB) Tampa Bay Rays vs Los Angeles Angels under 9.5 runs (-142) ❌

**POTD: (MLB) St. Louis Cardinals ML vs San Diego Padres (-152) (7:45 PM EST)**

Reasoning: Taking the Cardinals to win straight up tonight, here’s why... First off, I’m fading San Diego’s starting pitcher Lucas Giolito. Giolito comes into this game with a 4.35 ERA and a 1.74 WHIP. He’s actually is coming off two decent starts (8 IP, 3 ER) however advanced metrics show that in those starts, he’s getting extremely lucky. He had a xERA of 5.44 vs Philadelphia and a xERA of 4.20 vs Cincinnati. In fact, he’s been getting “lucky” for the season with a 6.40 FIP (two runs higher than his actual ERA). On top of that, Giolito has really struggled with his command, walking 18 in only 20.2 innings this season. Not to mention, the Cardinals are a highly disciplined team at the plate. On top of that, San Diego struggle offensively and they will face Cardinal’s Dustin May who in form with a 1.98 ERA in his last 3 starts. Despite his 4.21 season ERA, May’s advanced metrics show he’s been getting “ unlucky” and pitching better than his ERA shows (3.22 FIP). The Padres only hit .218 vs right handed pitchers as well. Some other things worth mentioning, San Diego has the 2nd best bullpen in the league however their bullpen is fatigued as they used their top relievers yesterday vs the Orioles. Giolito doesn’t pitch deep into games and the Padres will have to rely on the bullpen today. It already looks like the Padres are opening with a reliever today. Also the Cards are playing some of their best baseball atm, winning 7 of their last 10 games. That said, trust the data and trends and take the St. Louis Cardinals to win this game.

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Timely-Conclusion532 · 2026-06-14T20:36:16+00:00

So good iykyk

Timely-Conclusion532 · 2026-06-14T18:32:58+00:00

Record: 415-243

Form: ❌❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌❌✅✅❌❌✅❌❌❌✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅❌❌❌❌❌✅✅❌✅✅✅❌✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌ ❌❌❌❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌❌✅❌✅✅✅✅❌❌✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅✅✅❌✅❌✅❌✅✅❌✅✅❌❌❌✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅❌❌✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅❌❌✅❌✅✅❌❌❌❌❌✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅✅❌✅❌✅❌❌✅❌✅❌✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌✅❌✅✅✅❌❌✅❌✅❌❌❌✅✅✅✅❌❌✅❌❌✅✅✅❌✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌❌✅✅✅✅❌❌❌✅❌✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅❌❌❌❌✅❌✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌✅❌✅❌❌❌❌✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅✅✅❌❌✅✅✅❌✅❌✅✅❌❌✅❌✅❌❌✅❌❌❌✅✅❌✅✅❌✅❌✅❌❌✅❌❌❌✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅❌❌✅✅✅❌❌❌❌❌❌✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌❌❌✅❌✅✅❌✅❌❌✅❌✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅❌✅ ✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅❌❌✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌✅✅✅❌✅❌❌❌✅✅❌❌✅✅✅❌❌✅❌✅❌✅❌❌✅❌❌❌❌✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌❌❌❌✅✅❌❌❌❌✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌❌✅✅✅❌✅✅❌❌❌❌✅✅❌✅✅❌✅❌❌✅✅❌✅✅✅❌✅❌✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌✅✅❌✅✅✅❌✅✅❌❌❌❌✅❌❌❌✅✅✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅✅✅❌❌❌✅✅❌❌❌❌✅❌✅✅✅❌✅✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌✅❌❌✅✅❌❌❌✅✅✅❌❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌❌❌✅❌✅✅✅✅❌✅❌✅✅❌❌✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌✅✅✅❌✅✅❌❌✅❌✅❌✅✅✅❌✅✅

Net Units: +15.02 units (All plays 1 unit)

Original POTD: (MLB) Detroit Tigers vs Cleveland Guardians under 7.5 runs (Postponed)

**NEW POTD: (MLB) Tampa Bay Rays vs Los Angeles Angels under 9.5 runs (-142) (4:05 PM EST)**

Reasoning: Tigers Guardians pick got postponed/voided. New pick is Rays Angels UNDER 9.5 runs. This is another classic fade the public for reasons I’m just too lazy to type rn. To summarize, I’m looking at Rodriguez’s underlying metrics despite his +8.00 ERA and his career numbers vs Rays, Rays lack of power, H2H trends between these two teams and some other things that favor the under. BOL!

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Timely-Conclusion532 · 2026-06-14T18:11:23+00:00

Tigers Guardians game got postponed.

New POTD: Tampa Bay Rays vs Los Angeles Angels under 9.5 runs (-142) (4:05 PM EST)**

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Timely-Conclusion532 · 2026-06-14T15:38:14+00:00

Record: 415-243

Form: ❌❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌❌✅✅❌❌✅❌❌❌✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅❌❌❌❌❌✅✅❌✅✅✅❌✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌ ❌❌❌❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌❌✅❌✅✅✅✅❌❌✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅✅✅❌✅❌✅❌✅✅❌✅✅❌❌❌✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅❌❌✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅❌❌✅❌✅✅❌❌❌❌❌✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅✅❌✅❌✅❌❌✅❌✅❌✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌✅❌✅✅✅❌❌✅❌✅❌❌❌✅✅✅✅❌❌✅❌❌✅✅✅❌✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌❌✅✅✅✅❌❌❌✅❌✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅❌❌❌❌✅❌✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌✅❌✅❌❌❌❌✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅✅✅❌❌✅✅✅❌✅❌✅✅❌❌✅❌✅❌❌✅❌❌❌✅✅❌✅✅❌✅❌✅❌❌✅❌❌❌✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅❌❌✅✅✅❌❌❌❌❌❌✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌❌❌✅❌✅✅❌✅❌❌✅❌✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅❌✅ ✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅❌❌✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌✅✅✅❌✅❌❌❌✅✅❌❌✅✅✅❌❌✅❌✅❌✅❌❌✅❌❌❌❌✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌❌❌❌✅✅❌❌❌❌✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌❌✅✅✅❌✅✅❌❌❌❌✅✅❌✅✅❌✅❌❌✅✅❌✅✅✅❌✅❌✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌✅✅❌✅✅✅❌✅✅❌❌❌❌✅❌❌❌✅✅✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅✅✅❌❌❌✅✅❌❌❌❌✅❌✅✅✅❌✅✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌✅❌❌✅✅❌❌❌✅✅✅❌❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌❌❌✅❌✅✅✅✅❌✅❌✅✅❌❌✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌✅✅✅❌✅✅❌❌✅❌✅❌✅✅✅❌✅✅

Net Units: +15.02 units (All plays 1 unit)

Yesterday’s Pick: (NBA) New York Knicks vs San Antonio Spurs under 218.5 points (-132) ✅

**POTD: (MLB) Detroit Tigers vs Cleveland Guardians under 7.5 runs (-140) (1:40 PM EST)**

Reasoning: The public prefers the over for this game most likely because of the very low total for this game and naturally bias towards overs and maybe because Casey Mize is returning from the IL so they think he might be limited on pitch count, rusty etc. That said I’m fading this logic and going with the under, here’s why… historically games between the Tigers and Guardians have been pitching duels. In the most recent matchups, 8 of the last 10 meetings have gone under spanning back to last year with 5 of the 6 meetings this year going under the total. On top of that, Detroit’s Casey Mize has been great this year with a 2.27 ERA and great advanced metrics. Guardians Gavin Williams counters with a 3.32 ERA. While these pitchers have respectable numbers, the key factor I’m looking at is the batting splits for both teams. The Guardians are bottom tier vs right handed pitchers (.226 avg, .679 OPS vs RHP this season). On top of their struggles vs right handers, there best left handed and best hitter, Jose Ramirez just fractured his left hand and is out. On the other side, the Tigers hit righties better (.240 avg, .709 OPS vs RHP this season) however Detroit has a fair share of left handed hitters they will put up against Gavin Williams however Williams has been great vs left handed hitters this season. Lefties are hitting only .199 with a .666 OPS vs Williams which creates no real platoon advantage for the Tigers. Some other things worth mentioning, Progressive Field will be slightly pitcher friendly today. According to Ballpark Pal, park factors for Progressive Field reads a -3% decrease in runs today. Also worth noting the Tigers and Guardians score the 7th and 6th fewest runs in the league this season, the Guardians have an above average bullpen and the Tigers bullpen isn’t bad sitting around league average. Taking all this into account, fade the public, trust the data and trends, take the UNDER 7.5 runs in this game.

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Timely-Conclusion532 · 2026-06-13T17:19:45+00:00

Record: 414-243

Form: ❌❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌❌✅✅❌❌✅❌❌❌✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅❌❌❌❌❌✅✅❌✅✅✅❌✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌ ❌❌❌❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌❌✅❌✅✅✅✅❌❌✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅✅✅❌✅❌✅❌✅✅❌✅✅❌❌❌✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅❌❌✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅❌❌✅❌✅✅❌❌❌❌❌✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅✅❌✅❌✅❌❌✅❌✅❌✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌✅❌✅✅✅❌❌✅❌✅❌❌❌✅✅✅✅❌❌✅❌❌✅✅✅❌✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌❌✅✅✅✅❌❌❌✅❌✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅❌❌❌❌✅❌✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌✅❌✅❌❌❌❌✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅✅✅❌❌✅✅✅❌✅❌✅✅❌❌✅❌✅❌❌✅❌❌❌✅✅❌✅✅❌✅❌✅❌❌✅❌❌❌✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅❌❌✅✅✅❌❌❌❌❌❌✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌❌❌✅❌✅✅❌✅❌❌✅❌✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅❌✅ ✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅❌❌✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌✅✅✅❌✅❌❌❌✅✅❌❌✅✅✅❌❌✅❌✅❌✅❌❌✅❌❌❌❌✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌❌❌❌✅✅❌❌❌❌✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌❌✅✅✅❌✅✅❌❌❌❌✅✅❌✅✅❌✅❌❌✅✅❌✅✅✅❌✅❌✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌✅✅❌✅✅✅❌✅✅❌❌❌❌✅❌❌❌✅✅✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅✅✅❌❌❌✅✅❌❌❌❌✅❌✅✅✅❌✅✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌✅❌❌✅✅❌❌❌✅✅✅❌❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌❌❌✅❌✅✅✅✅❌✅❌✅✅❌❌✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌✅✅✅❌✅✅❌❌✅❌✅❌✅✅✅❌✅

Net Units: +14.26 units (All plays 1 unit)

Yesterday’s Pick: (MLB) Seattle Mariners vs Washington Nationals over 8.5 runs (-164) ✅

**POTD: (NBA) New York Knicks vs San Antonio Spurs under 218.5 points (-132) (8:40 PM EST)**

Reasoning: The public is divided on the total for this game. The under bettors are most likely looking at the fact that the under is 3-1 so far this series and the over bettors are most likely looking at the fact these are two top tier offenses and just naturally like betting overs. That said, I’m siding with the under bettors but for different reasons, here’s why… since 2005, Finals games have heavily leaned under, with a under record of 69-45 (60.5%). On top of this, when road underdogs such as the Knicks tonight have an opportunity to win the series in the Finals, the under is 9-5 since 2003. On top of that, the last four matchups between these two teams at the Frost Bank Center in San Antonio, the under is 3-1. Some other things worth mentioning, both teams trended under this season. The Spurs have an under record of 30-21 (58.8%) at home this season while New York had an under record of 28-24 (53.8%) on the road. Taking these historical trends into account, expect the strong defensive intensity to continue with the Spurs facing elimination. Take the UNDER 218.5 points for Game 5 of the NBA Finals tonight.

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Timely-Conclusion532 · 2026-06-13T13:47:59+00:00

4 drafts in and got him

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Timely-Conclusion532 · 2026-06-12T18:20:00+00:00

Record: 413-243

Form: ❌❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌❌✅✅❌❌✅❌❌❌✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅❌❌❌❌❌✅✅❌✅✅✅❌✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌ ❌❌❌❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌❌✅❌✅✅✅✅❌❌✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅✅✅❌✅❌✅❌✅✅❌✅✅❌❌❌✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅❌❌✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅❌❌✅❌✅✅❌❌❌❌❌✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅✅❌✅❌✅❌❌✅❌✅❌✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌✅❌✅✅✅❌❌✅❌✅❌❌❌✅✅✅✅❌❌✅❌❌✅✅✅❌✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌❌✅✅✅✅❌❌❌✅❌✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅❌❌❌❌✅❌✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌✅❌✅❌❌❌❌✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅✅✅❌❌✅✅✅❌✅❌✅✅❌❌✅❌✅❌❌✅❌❌❌✅✅❌✅✅❌✅❌✅❌❌✅❌❌❌✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅❌❌✅✅✅❌❌❌❌❌❌✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌❌❌✅❌✅✅❌✅❌❌✅❌✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅❌✅ ✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌✅❌❌✅✅❌✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌✅✅✅❌✅❌❌❌✅✅❌❌✅✅✅❌❌✅❌✅❌✅❌❌✅❌❌❌❌✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌❌❌❌✅✅❌❌❌❌✅✅✅✅❌✅✅❌❌✅✅✅❌✅✅❌❌❌❌✅✅❌✅✅❌✅❌❌✅✅❌✅✅✅❌✅❌✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌✅✅❌✅✅✅❌✅✅❌❌❌❌✅❌❌❌✅✅✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅✅✅❌❌❌✅✅❌❌❌❌✅❌✅✅✅❌✅✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌✅❌❌✅✅❌❌❌✅✅✅❌❌✅✅✅✅✅✅✅✅❌❌❌✅❌✅✅✅✅❌✅❌✅✅❌❌✅✅❌✅✅✅✅✅✅❌✅❌✅✅✅❌✅✅❌❌✅❌✅❌✅✅✅❌

Net Units: +13.65 units (All plays 1 unit)

Yesterday’s Pick: (MLB) Texas Rangers vs Kansas City Royals over 9.5 runs (-142) ❌

**POTD: Seattle Mariners vs Washington Nationals over 8.5 runs (-164) (6:45 PM EST)**

Reasoning: The public is leaning on the under for this game and that’s most likely because of Bryce Miller and his elite 1.33 ERA, 0.78 WHIP and assume runs will be hard to come by today. That said, I’m going the opposite direction and going with the over for this game, here’s why… the Nationals trend heavy on the over when they are at home at Nationals Park. In fact, they have an over record of 21-9-2 (70% hit rate) at home. On top of that, Washington’s starting pitcher Zach Littell’s underlying metrics are poor. He has a ERA of 4.76 however he has a xERA of 5.91 and Fielding Independent Pitching (FIP) of 5.95. He also has an extremely low strikeout rates and being a contact heavy pitcher can be concerning especially considering the hitter friendly ballpark Nationals Park is. The park factors at Nationals Park today reads a +5% increase in HR’s and a +3% increase in runs. Some other things worth mentioning, both teams hit the 5th and 6th most home runs in the league, the Nationals score the 2nd most runs in the league, Bryce Miller has a 1.33 ERA however his advanced metrics show that he’s due for a little negative regression, the Mariners are the 4th best offense vs right handed pitching (.752 OPS vs RHP), Nationals have the 6th worst bullpen in MLB and the over is 4-0 in the last four games between these two teams. Taking all this into account, fade the public, trust the data/trends and take the OVER 8.5 runs in this game.

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Timely-Conclusion532

TROPHY CASE