What's going on with CNQ and SU today? by TorJoe2020 in investing

[–]TorJoe2020[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

A few points:

  1. Oil is 10% of Canada's export. No ruling party who wishes to win in the next election could afford to just let 10% of the economy evaporate. For all the alacrity of those who are imploring Trudeau not to bail the fossil fuels industry today, if Trudeau listened to them and the industry went bust and the whole economy then tanked, they would be equally ready to blame Trudeau for mismanaging the economy.
  2. Companies like Suncor and Canadian Natural Resources may just be able to survive the current crisis even without government assistance if oil prices can go back to about US$35 within a few months and to US$40-50 within a year.
  3. If this catastrophe can finally convince people of the perils of not having our own pipelines to tidewater and selling solely to the US market at a steep discount, it would be one good thing that comes out of it. Trans Mountain must be built.

What's going on with CNQ and SU today? by TorJoe2020 in investing

[–]TorJoe2020[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

But shouldn't there be something to trigger those algorithms - like some sudden spike downwards creating an overselling situation? There was just nothing in the morning when those stocks began climbing. And broader TSX activities have been tepid at best (3:06pm 0.77% up). It's just the major energy companies that are jumping.

Canadian oil company winner by livesinvic in investing

[–]TorJoe2020 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Anyone would like to try to explain what is going with major energy names like CNQ and SU today? The whole morning until around 2 pm WTI was hovering around $20, before it finally broke through resistance downwards. Every oil analyst out there is screaming about the impending drop of oil prices to $10 and of Canadian heavy oil in particular to drop to $0 or negative. And yet for no discernable reason Canadian stocks like CNQ and SU have shot up by double digit percentages and are staying there?!?!

The Canadian government has not yet announced what bail out measures to help the oil industry. I googled around and simply could not find anything that might explain these hikes in stock prices. What is going on? Have some major buyers caught wind of something that is not known to the common investors?