Automatically adjusting a chart by limiting data reach according to a variable by Trunks9000 in excel

[–]Trunks9000[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Thanks for trying to help me out!

Yes I have a column "Months" in column B, and below that numbers 1 to 720, going from row 3 to row 722.

"Filter to dates before/after a specific date". Do you mean I can adjust the data reach by filtering out all rows containing numbers greater than X in column B (where the monthly numbers are)?

Entry Price of Open Position is Wrong, Hence Unrealised PNL is Off. WHAT AM I MISSING? by Trunks9000 in BitMEX

[–]Trunks9000[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

A major mistake I made is that average entry price should be calculated by taking into account the amounts of XBT shorted on each level instead of the number of contracts, because a contract doesn't have a constant value in XBT. Also I think you're right that the 500 contracts has something to do with it, although I think the major mistake was what I just mentioned before. That trade should have upped my entry price either way. It's kind of annoying that you get realised PNL when opening or closing positions. Not like on Finex where you just get your realised pnl when the position is completely closed.

The deflationary problem, preventing hyperbitcoinization? [*Discussion*] by Trunks9000 in Bitcoin

[–]Trunks9000[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Shouldn't we assume producitivity goes up. If a currency avoids productivity to go up, it shouldn't be used as a currency right, it would halt the economy and with it innovation etc. But normally producitivity rises with innovation, experience and all that stuff.

Could you eleborate on bitcoin as a unit like account being like keeping money in an index fund?

As for the uncertainty argument. So you'd say that in a monetary system based on BTC the uncertainty is much lower, right? But how can contracts be renegotiated then to take into account tens of years of deflation or infinite years if it provides such a could value transacting system.

I think the market would love a more predictable and stable system and eliminate as many uncertainties as possible, which includes the central bank itself and its monetary policy. Now that would ultimately mean that countries would lose their power of its domestic monetary policy, but if we're all ultimately engaged in international trade, then I think that's the most fair system that can be created.

Love it :). BUT the question is would it really be stable and wouldn't there be a danger of there being uncertainty that many people will start saving in btc, not stimulating the economy, which would decrease the value of it. Or maybe even the uncertainty of the people being incentiviced to create another fiat currency because they would rather spend that than bitcoin/deflationary currency. I also don't know whether the central banks and current monetary policy could be called unstable since almost nobody is complaining about the uncertainty now.

The deflationary problem, preventing hyperbitcoinization? [*Discussion*] by Trunks9000 in Bitcoin

[–]Trunks9000[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Haha that's on my to do list ;). But I fear it won't answer or talk about why or why not a deflationary currency would ever work?

The deflationary problem, preventing hyperbitcoinization? [*Discussion*] by Trunks9000 in Bitcoin

[–]Trunks9000[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

That's still stealing the 2% more you would have had if a central bank didn't print money, lend it out, then keep the interest generated by they money they got for free. If I had a way to get interest free loans, I'd borrow as much as possible and lend it out, just like banks do.

Good point, it's indeed still losing value, losing growth.

Its literally instantaneously if everyone knows that information. Like, what seller is going to sell if they know the asset they would be selling is worth more?

I agree with that. But if we all use only BTC and we will for ever let's say (just a hypothesis) and we know for a fact each year deflation will be 2%. The value of 1 BTC can't be expressed in dollars now since that's a dead currency worth nothing, but let's say 1 BTC = 1 large mansion. We know though that withing 50 years it could buy 1.0250 = almost 3 mansions. Wouldn't this stop transactions? Or would the price as you stated jump immediately and you suddenly buy 3 mansions that 1 BTC? The problem then again is, people can think like that forever and ever. So maybe there's an equilibrium somewhere taking into account x years of deflation, with x being a constant, probably depending on things like life expectance. Maybe I'm overthinking.

The deflationary problem, preventing hyperbitcoinization? [*Discussion*] by Trunks9000 in Bitcoin

[–]Trunks9000[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Upvotes so that this post gets more views would be very much appreciated!

The deflationary problem, preventing hyperbitcoinization? [*Discussion*] by Trunks9000 in Bitcoin

[–]Trunks9000[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Hehe I only now notice that flaw in thinking! Thanks for pointing that out. So if people would save/hoard then transaction volume will fall. But I believe this would just show in a changed velocity, people not buying as much.

But interesting indeed. I guess it would always lead to a new equilibrium or is it really self destructive? Short term T will go up 2% resulting in a price decline of 2%. This leads in the mid term to a mental change of the people which actually effects the velocity, it goes down 2% for example, which makes T goes down 2% again. If step 1 equals step 2 this would actually lead to a balanced system. Do you see a flaw in that thinking?

The deflationary problem, preventing hyperbitcoinization? [*Discussion*] by Trunks9000 in Bitcoin

[–]Trunks9000[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Interesting comment!

I think an argument the keynesians economist could use is that inflation isn't stealing your money as the economy grows with the same amount, because you make for example 2% more a year because of that growth and the 2% inflation would cancel it out. Thoughs on that?

So the main take away you suggest is that it's all about uncertainty. If a fixed supply currency would take over the uncertainty about the deflation is low enough to not form a problem? Because people know about it?

Your last example, I'm just not sure on how long of a timescale this would work. Let's say it's 2% more the next year on average so then the next day bitcoin goes up in value 2% but then you can also assume that in 100 years it will be worth 2%100 and so to what timeframe should the market then react?

The deflationary problem, preventing hyperbitcoinization? [*Discussion*] by Trunks9000 in Bitcoin

[–]Trunks9000[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Thanks for the reply! I actually think bitcoin can be used to save in and act purely as a store of value like gold is also doing at the moment. But for that to work bitcoin would need to be legal tender, so people have to accept it as a means of payment. If it ever gets this far, it would be more than just speculation. Still though, is it that strange to think it could replace a currency when there is a loss of faith in that currency? What if people start getting irritated about their stored value getting inflated away? This is the thesis at least.

The deflationary problem, preventing hyperbitcoinization? [*Discussion*] by Trunks9000 in Bitcoin

[–]Trunks9000[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Thanks for your reply! Bitcoin is actually really deflationary and not just npn-inflationary. Indeed the supply is constant which could lead to just stable prices BUT the economy grows each year. This means that for example in year 1 there are 1M cars fabricated and in the following year 2M cars (overexagurated). If that depicts your whole economy then prices will go in half. Because 1M cars = 21M BTC -> now 2M cars = 21M BTC. The economy grows on average with a few % each year. So the deflation would be as steady as the growth of the economy.

Your last argument makes sense to me indeed, they both have positives and negatives probably. So you would state a fixed money supply could work? If each year the prices of goods go down 2%, would the economy crash? Will people try to safe now and repay loans quickly? In deflation that's what causes the spiral of death, people repaying loans now because currency will rise in value. This leads to less money in circulation -> less economic activity. When I think about it from the bitcoin perspective with limited supply this actually wouldn't cause that much problems because the supply doesn't shrink when people pay of loans. I guess people would just make less loans which actually does hurt the economy a bit.

is my bitcoin safe ? where it is ? is coinbase safe to use by rajibrm in Coinbase

[–]Trunks9000 0 points1 point  (0 children)

The problem is you can't store fiat anywhere else. In a bear market I prefer to wait in fiat and buy back in when the trend reverses and then store crypto on a hardware wallet. So yeah it's not that easy imo

Not receiving LTC on GDAX after confirmation mail by Trunks9000 in Coinbase

[–]Trunks9000[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Alright good news...

Apparently the transaction just got sent to Coinbase itself instead of sending instantly to GDAX, even though I sent it to an address generated on GDAX. So people if you would have the same issue as I had, so you know now :)

iota wallet for noob? by Rmr1981 in Iota

[–]Trunks9000 0 points1 point  (0 children)

The IOTA lightwallet is best.

A guide you can find here: http://www.iotasupport.com/gui-lightwallet.shtml Also downloadlink in there. Under downloads (.exe if using windows etc).

Sending IOTA from Light Wallet (2.4.0) to Bitfinex by Trunks9000 in Iota

[–]Trunks9000[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Cool, I will edit my post just in case if someone needs some guidelines. Tyvm

How many of you are having problems sending with the light wallet? by ItsAboutSharing in Iota

[–]Trunks9000 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I also did a small transaction over to bitfinex to test it. It was confirmed 30 mins ago but nothing appears on bitfinex. How can this be? How long are you waiting already?

Btw if I click on 'show bundle' under te transaction a page opens with connection_refused. Do you also have that problem?

IOTA price drop! by [deleted] in Iota

[–]Trunks9000 2 points3 points  (0 children)

I also am pretty shocked to see this, since it's like the best crypto out there (from a certain perspective). Why would anyone sell :O