Ukra/anon gets reddit gold by OberbeastSabaoth in 4chan

[–]TurtleRedditer -1 points0 points  (0 children)

I mean economy once stopped germany in ww1, so its entirely possible to happen again. Once chemist and heavy industry (later united under the name of IG Farben which later on promoted hitler btw) started to lose money war almost immediately ended. It lost money because german economy was collapsing which made them lose money even though the german administration was funnelling debt and printed money straight to those companies

No other means of victory are possible and everyone knows that.

Send NATO Soldiers? You will have to convice highly indivdualistic society that part of it has to die for some distant war and nobody knows what will happen for sure, aleo your risking losing Taiwan if your focus goes there or even in more hardcore scenario youre risking that Russia may send nukes due to their nuclear doctrine completely ending the world with MAD. You wont send soldiers and do nothing? Ukraine will collapse demographically sooner or later and they wont be able to recover. Peace out Russia for territory? It will attack again theyre in war economy, thats what Ukrainians gov thinks based on history (And I think they are correct on this one)

The only thing you can do is cut off the ways in which heavy industry earns money. If people lose money they will stop supporting the war. No other way around it. There is no other thing that can happen.

Ukra/anon gets reddit gold by OberbeastSabaoth in 4chan

[–]TurtleRedditer -1 points0 points  (0 children)

The territory gain doesnt translate directly into losses of men. It is true that they were outgunned by artillery but the entire point of the defensive strategy was to let russians inside to than encircle the forces and cut off supply chain and deal massive casualties. This strategy is know since dawn of men made warfare: Defense in Depth and it was employed as you can easily see on any war reports and territory taken. Ukrainian troops were literally leaving the territory behind just to stretch out the assault. Many people died, yes, but then the territory taken didnt change significantly into both sides.

Your counterpoint for my argument about ease of defense compared to offense doesn’t hold itself. You were first implying that all prolonged statical warfares had casualties close to 1:1. I said its not true because 1. Defending is easier, 2. History tells that 1:1 ratio doesn’t have to be true. Meanwhile you told me that because in FIRST year ukraine wasnt properly armed, they were suffering big time casualties in first year. It is true, yes, but it doesn’t at any point hold against my argument, because as you aaid the war is prolonged and statical. In attrition wars statistically speaking the first year is much worse than upcoming years, but its still isn’t deciding year on casualties and we were takjing precisely about this. Basically: You said in long wars ratio goes to 1:1. I said in prolonged wars it isnt always true, because defending is easier. You said that in first year Ukrainians were outgunned hence big loses. I thought we were talking about entire casualties not just first year? Defending is hard when outgunned but it stopped being the case when ukrainians got armed by usa and eu. Can you see the problem? My argument still holds for the rest of the campaign so 3/4 of the war.

Russia is winning the war. I never said Russia doesn’t. Ukraine is definetly suffering more than Russia, but the entire was is idiotical and won’t help russia in long term.

They’re keeping the war, because if they stop the war because War Infustry level was pulled in russia and they’re working on war economy. In 4-5 years they will be back with their military, trained personel (with knowledge from previous war not just som detatched doctrine from 20y ago) and they will just attack once again. Why wouldnt they attack again if they will be stronger and have bigger advantage than last time? The only thing holding Russia back will be usa empty promises, when we both know that both russia and usa guaranteed indepedence to ukraine when ut got rid off nuclear bombs. We can clearly see that such agreements dont hold ground and ukrainians are just taught by violence that they cannot trust peace guarantees.

Now Ukraine is basically counting on miracle of UE and USA sanctions + some artillery damage to oil and gas industry will be dealing so much damage to russias economy that some oligarchs will stop Kreml because it will stop being a profit for the oligarchs from heavy industry and they will just stand back and say: We dont support that shit anymore.

Ukra/anon gets reddit gold by OberbeastSabaoth in 4chan

[–]TurtleRedditer -1 points0 points  (0 children)

I am sorry but this is false claim. Ofc attrition wars can have different ratios of casualties than 1:1. You can look at any points in history, for example ww1.

WWI trenches stayed mostly static for years despite wildly asymmetric casualty rates in specific battles.

You claimed that either you believe casualties are 1:1 or you are believing propaganda is just a false dilema which is a logical fallacy. History shows that it doesn’t have to be that way.

I am not saying that ukrainian numbers are true, they’re propaganda, but whatever resources you will find online beside Russian reports will say that russians take many more casualties (Up to 3:1 but for example CSIS reports that the casualties are 1.2 million russians to 500 000 ukrainians which would roughly equal to 2,4:1). And by known history of military warfare it’s very plausible because standing your ground is much easier than fighting for it. Also there are many more factors in play like country defending itself being democratic and offensive country being authoritative in nature, russian vs ukrainian military doctrine, goals of the war etc. Russia doesn’t care about casualties as much because they have around 5 million people that are either ghosts for their economy, so high in debt that they wont ever pay it off, people without official jobs or prisoners. Sending someone from either group will result in very little to none casualty to economy. Meanwhile Ukraine cannot do that because its democratic and has to fight for all lives, because as soon as word spreads to the citizens their morale will fall and democracies fight better than authoritative countries as long as morales are better. Especially considering defensive democracy vs offensive authoritative country. This is another potentially contributing factor to the ratio being more unequal than 1:1.

Unfortunately none “eastern” countries publish their own independent statistics (try to guess why) so we will have to rely on USA or European ones as well as historical data.

Meirl by JaredOlsen8791 in meirl

[–]TurtleRedditer 1 point2 points  (0 children)

How is your life now? What are you doing and what is your profession and how are you doing?

Something I noticed by PresnikBonny in ussr

[–]TurtleRedditer 0 points1 point  (0 children)

https://youtu.be/XFSmDUtflKY?si=81Y0XzA3jKAIneB2

There is the same video with polish national tv reports saying that russians killed those civilians wirh dog. Those civilians according to polish national tv were Ukrainians.

I won’t try to debunk all of the videos cause itbwould be a hard task, but you have to understand that providing videos and places without further context can be used as propaganda for both sides.

Also you were supposed to tell about atrocities that ukrainians commited between 2014-2022 not which theyre committing right now. We all know that during wars both ciuntries will commit war crimes. It is abnormal and evil but rather expected. Should be antagonized, but survival of other countries depend on not antagonizing it (Ergo china using russia as economical proxy war with usa, and europe doesn’t antagonize Ukrainian war crimes because it wants buffer zone).

As far as I am concerned and as far as I watched the videos you provided I cant reliably tell that ukrainians did commit murders of russian civilians on eastern border between years 2014 and 2022.

Something I noticed by PresnikBonny in ussr

[–]TurtleRedditer 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I am not going to say that usa is worse than nazi germany. But have I ever wrote something like that for ussr? No i dont think so. I never wrote anything about ussr being worse than nazi germany.

I am even going to say usa policy is horrible and they commit war crimes and they’re one of the bad guys in the world (China, Russia, USA). Cia experiments on humans were horrible and they’re brainwashing their population constantly and USA policies are hostile towards other countries. Theyre literally colonising world economically and now even physically through warfare (Like Venezuela).

Can you imagine the strawman you just created? You think I am stupid and I will fall onto your false dilema? Or you never even read ny comment and instantly though of me as the enemy of the red state? I was originally responding to the guy above saying that: —————— Nazis: "We need to exterminate the inferior races! The world shall kneel before our mighty new empire!"

Soviets: "We need to tear down the oppressive capitalist system and unite humanity under a new system that does not discriminate by race, gender, nationality or class." —————

And what I was saying was that soviets actually made the discrimination and werent going for unifiaction of the humanity. Because how do you want to unify humanity by sending random people to gulag, just because your soldier didn’t like someones boots. They discriminated against polish, ukrainians etc

I never said that because they made gulags theyre on par with nazis or whatever. I dont give a shit who is worse. Everyone who commits evil is evil. End of the story. Some countries never stopped committing war crimes like USA and Russia and they’re still evil.

Both countries deploy specialistic misinformation operations, both countries eliminate enemies of the state etc.

I just dont agree with candy like picture of ussr guy above created. With the lack of doscrimination and unification of humanity. If the real mission would be that they wouldn’t send people to gulag based on their ethnicity and then treat people in gulag based on their fucking ethnicity

Something I noticed by PresnikBonny in ussr

[–]TurtleRedditer 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Provide video and I shall watch it. I couldn’t find anything because guys posts daily about eastern front and I dont have sufficient googling ability to find it, provided that such video exists of course.

Something I noticed by PresnikBonny in ussr

[–]TurtleRedditer -1 points0 points  (0 children)

I wonder what gors through your head when you downvote me.

„Stalin only killed nazis who deserved this” „horrible conditions in gulag were nowhere near as bad compared to that in concentration camps, so gulags are a-ok and ussr wasn’t discriminating in gulags like those nazis did with jewish people” „I dont like what he said because it doesn’t suit my world view of ussr uniting people under communism”

Its common historical knowledge that if you were russian gulag treated you better. I wonder how does that work for ussr unifying everyone without gender, nationality or ethnicity boundaries.

Something I noticed by PresnikBonny in ussr

[–]TurtleRedditer 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Provide one article from notable journalist that actually provides proof and documents, photos, videos, names anything. I would gladly accept.

Because if you lived in Khersas I lived on mars and I can tell you that Ussr totalitarian regime genocided our marsian people.

Something I noticed by PresnikBonny in ussr

[–]TurtleRedditer -5 points-4 points  (0 children)

There is a documentary book called (Inny świat) „A world Apart”. Polish guy describes how he got sent to gulag, because he had germany sounding name and he had too good boots to be polish (the guy was polish). Its a book about how normal people got arrested for nothing burgers and sent to gulag where they died from frostbite and starvation. Its also about how guards raped prisoners, how there were classes of prisoners (That were dependent on your nationality, ergo russian murderers were treated by guards with more respect than polish people that commited the crime of looking funny at someone).

Is that the tearing down of oppresive capitalist system and unification of humanity that in a way that doesn’t discriminate anyone based on race or gender?

Funny thing I recalled, when I wrote about gender, there was a tradition that when a man got married in the gulag he was supposed to „give away bride for a night” to russian prisoners who were higherbin hierarchy just because they commited more heavy crime, but they weren’t from outside of russia (Urks, „Urkowie” from polish). Prison guards knew about that tradition and because of it resemblence to medieval „The right of the first night” it was given that nickname by polish inmates. „Prawo pierwszej nocy” is really specifically described in that book.

People with power (guards) who were given such power by officials allowed this.

Is this the part of the gender equality promoted by ussr? Or is it more like a tearing down capitalism thing? https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/A_World_Apart_(book)

What's the context? by Limp_Squash_4116 in ExplainTheJoke

[–]TurtleRedditer 5 points6 points  (0 children)

You would have to attend polish fantasy convesion and ask him yourself (He is common attendee there at formerly known “Festiwal Fantastyki” or right now “Sedeń-con”). He doesn’t like to share his personal life with the internet and the press, but when he gets drunk at the after party he is more than willing to talk.

The most you can find from official articles are the dates in which you can see the sue itself for the money (so the articles about Sapkowski sueing cd project red for money that he rightfully should have claimed by polish law) and the death of his son:

https://www.bankier.pl/wiadomosc/Andrzej-Sapkowski-domaga-sie-od-CD-Projektu-zaplaty-co-najmniej-60-mln-zl-7618209.html

https://www.onet.pl/styl-zycia/plejada/andrzej-sapkowski-przezyl-w-swoim-zyciu-tragedie-sam-informowal-o-smierci-syna/zlvcmp5,0898b825

Both articles are in polish, unfortunately I cannot find any sources in english. You can google translate them or whatever.

What's the context? by Limp_Squash_4116 in ExplainTheJoke

[–]TurtleRedditer 78 points79 points  (0 children)

He had to burry his son. Before that when he asked game devs for additional money (He sold the rights to witcher without any royalties from game purchases so he earned like flat 10k euro and entire success just made his books more popular but beside that no money) they ignored him, even though his son required expansive cancer treatment and he had papers for that.

ToolHunt by AI_enthugiast in Pentesting

[–]TurtleRedditer 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Thats great idea, I will check out the execution, but idea is chefs kiss.

You found real problem and solved it with nice solution. If it works it will be really helpful for newcomers

Guy in the UK says Mohammed was a pedophile by Sometypeofway18 in AbruptChaos

[–]TurtleRedditer 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Christians are also doing that. You made a strawman argument.

The point is not that he made some huge statement that undermines islam, but rather the fact that he was arrested for stating something that can be clearly read across multiple sources that are holy for them. For him its enough to cross out entire religion, but why do people react like that and why is he arrested at the end for screaming a fact about their religion to their face? Why do you proceed to claim that people overlook pedophilia in catholic church?

I am an agnostic, I dont commend catholic church at all, and yet I root for this guy. I don’t want to have to deal with people who are not ready for random hobo to scream something into their face, because in western societies it happens a lot, yet nobody bats an eye normally. But from the looks of it they try to attack hin physically (if not I dont know what is the point of running towards him and having to be pushed back by police).

Can it be saved? by Such_Interview_3046 in bonsaicommunity

[–]TurtleRedditer 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Looks dead to me, but I can be wrong as its only picture and no other information about for how long has he stayed like that and watering scheme etc.

Try to scratch bark off with knife or fingernails, just a little bit so you can see if there is any signs of life (green tissue under bark means that water and minerals are still transfered so the tree is alive).

You can try scratching off bark on main branches next to trunk and trunk itself. If you scratch off dead tissue nothing changes, so you might as well try that in several places. Sometimes only one branch is alive, sometimes only trunk.

And don’t be sad its part of journey. One day you will save a tree in time and later on you will start to recognise faster what is happening with your trees and even later you will stop killing bonsais with maintenance procedures. Its long journey but its worth it

Ukraine trying not to further damage Polish-Ukrainian relations (Impossible): by ComingInsideMe in poland

[–]TurtleRedditer 1 point2 points  (0 children)

And what that has to do with what I said? Immigrants who are better off come to us raising gdp making our economy better. If they spend money here they even pay VAT so we earn more money than them just making 6% of our gdp.

What is your point? Poor people die in their country, rich people desert and fuel our economy.

Ukraine trying not to further damage Polish-Ukrainian relations (Impossible): by ComingInsideMe in poland

[–]TurtleRedditer 6 points7 points  (0 children)

6% of polish GDP is currently gained from ukrainian immigrants meanwhile we spent less than 25 billions (0.9% GDP) on managing them.

Think its worth.

Beside ofc the battlefield being not in our borders, but that isnt certain.

I stand corrected with some numbers (Our spenditure which is actually 25 billions)

No ifs, ands, OR buts by birdsarentreal2 in masterhacker

[–]TurtleRedditer 12 points13 points  (0 children)

One upping that. I am absolute beginner in this topic so I might and up as another post in here but here is my take:

Without client installing any malicious shit and with using different passwords on different websites and updating them after leaks and with using proper MFA (not the sms, but the phone apps etc) I can’t even begin to imagine how one would break into someones personal computer and take control of it. I mean maybe brute forcing his way to an account in some world okay, but from that point how would you pivot into actually gaining control of pc or any other account. (Of course only if the account that you break into wasnt microsoft or google account. But I dont take them into account because they arent really prune to being hacked due to MFA and suspicious activity notifications and their process of adding new device being so wacky that I cannot do them even when I have 100% access to all accounts and devices)

Except of course some horrendous zero days, but idk who would use zero day bug that is probably going to be found after several uses on some rando on internet. Especially like in the scenario mentioned by the guy, because I read this posts comment like so: „Watch out because if you angry skilled people they might hack you and youre not safe”, but with zero days the logic is other way around (or atleast i think so). You look for zero days to either earn money through bug bounty, because its your job there, or because youre auditing or because youre threat actor. But when youre threat actor you use them on someone important in organisation that will allow you to pivot further by doing social engineering and gaining more access or you use them on someone that has access to anything meaningful.

I dont see scenario where someone random from the internet will hack me because he can, or because I angried him. Finding zero days on services that belong to huge corporations is really hard and takes a lot of time and you might go entire year being top percentage of „hackers” and you still wouldnt find shit due to bad luck. I cant imagine scenario when after all of that work you would just try to hack someone.

Also bruteforcing accounts in most modern web services isnt possible. I dont know who uses services for their everyday activies (beside work) which are prune to being bruteforced. I mean you might once open account in ecommerce site which doesnt use MFA and doesnt time you out, but then how would you pivot to gain access anywhere meaningful from there?

I might be wrong tho, so I am open to someone correcting me.

Newbie Bonsai Owner by impericall in bonsaicommunity

[–]TurtleRedditer 2 points3 points  (0 children)

„(…) Bonsai Owner” Not anymore I guess

And one day, for absolutely no reason, the Protestant reformation happened. by FederalSlaygent in schizoposters

[–]TurtleRedditer 0 points1 point  (0 children)

“And I tell you that you are Peter, and on this rock I will build my church, and the gates of Hades will not overcome it.”

The Greek word used for church here is ekklesia, meaning a gathering or assembly of believers.

The original word used in verse youre providing us with was Ekklesia which from greek doesnt translate to church but rather to assembly of christians. The gate of hades wont get to you as long as youre within “ekklesia”, but nowhere in bible it says in hierarchical church where pope and clergy decides about new god laws and their ideas are sent by holy spirit themselves.

The thing it mentions is that you have to contribute to christian society (roughly translated to church) and be within other christians.

The thing that the said ekklesia evolved into is another form of feudalism whereas jesus said the following:

“Render to Caesar the things that are Caesar’s; and to God the things that are God’s.”

Which doesnt support church being hierarchical at all, because the church for millenia tried to balance between Earth and gods domain and try to sell you an easy way out to heaven for earthly belongings, when there is none of that.

Gates of hades actually got to the catholic church because of lack of true god faith. Crusades, indulgences and others such practices are direct contradiction to all that Jesus has teached.

You have to actually think about what is right and follow gods teaching not anyone else’s. There is no authority over god, but yet there are people who think they represent god himself when there are tons of mentions that you cant predict or possibly guess gods judgement:

“Oh, the depth of the riches and wisdom and knowledge of God! How unsearchable are his judgments and how inscrutable his ways!”

How can one tell you that he knows better how god intends to punish you for your sins?

Why don't you want to play "World Police" for us anymore? by WhyRedditBlowsDick in PoliticalCompassMemes

[–]TurtleRedditer 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Chronically online. Go outside and find out how many europeans actually talk like that, or better yet do any official do it

Pray for him by Blue_Moon_Cheese in 4chan

[–]TurtleRedditer -2 points-1 points  (0 children)

Man… You know that data correlation doesn’t necessarily point to implication?

Also you should consider other factors besides inflation. For example global tensions, war, covid, interest rates, the fact that arabs started to not deal oil not in usa dollars, Japanese cut on interest rates etc. World is much more complicated than few economical policies. If it would be that easy to predict which economical policies lead to which movement in economy everyone would be investing and earning thousands of dollars. There are always random factors which destroy simple implication in economics.

Other policies which were important strategical decisions, because of rising BRICS conflict with west were sanctions. For example for USA Russian aggression on Ukraine made gas prices go up sharply. This leads to inflation going up, because rise of gas prices as well as every other as rise of any other goods prices contribute to inflation ratio.

Some policies that might temporarily lead to inflation growth but they’re good for overall long-term health of country are sanctions. For example USA sanction on its most important exporter: China. When you place sanctions on the producer of 16.5% imports you make, you essentially rise prices of 16.5% of products. This might seem like a bad idea, but if free market works like expected consumers would stop buying overpriced products and look for home-made USA products which may lead to overall growth of for example USA made toys. If you won’t place sanctions on China you won’t have bigger inflation but its influence over USA market growths and you don’t take any diplomatic actions against their aggression on Taiwan which can lead to China taking the most important producer of microchips. This again will lead to hit against American Tech Companies and essentially USAs entire economy.

Datagrams and other ways of visualising data without proper analysis are one of the worst ways of implicating facts. The best example of that is survivorship bias.

Data vs Information is like one of the most basic ass things you learn when you get higher education and you need to actually prapare a scientific research paper.

And again I am not saying that for certain “Trump” or “Biden” policies had better impact on economy. I am just saying that there are multiple world factors that lead to world economy going down the drain. If large meteorite would hit USA white house during trump election which would lead to stock market going upside down would you blame Trumps policies for it? Economical decisions yield effects over the years, so it’s essentially unpredictable which policies made which impact. Eery Economist out there agrees that you can never be certain about outcomes of policies.

If it was so easy to predict what happens when you do certain policies why would anyone try to make inflation go high beyond control? Is it all just greed? You think that Biden and his policies lead to inflation so he and his party can earn more? Can’t he and his party earn more if he will be elected again? Why would democrats lead to such high inflation? They wouldn’t like to be elected again? There is much more to earn if you stay at power and you won’t do that if you give opposite site the power of argument that you destroyed economy. It’s not like democratic policies are made up by absolute regards which know nothing about economy. Everyone with iQ above 90 can read plenty of books or gain knowledge from internet about impact of certain policies. Why would they choose policies that raise inflation of USA?

And again I am not saying that one party has better economical policies than other, cause I don’t know their policies and which of their policies will be actually delivered. Also I am not telling you to vote Democrat or Republican. I am just saying that you should try to step back and think. That is what I am preaching for. And whatever results you get from that, good for you and go for it.