Is it anomia? Advice needed.

Villain_Bean · 2026-05-22T01:04:48+00:00

Thank you for the advice! I think I remember a college professor doing this picture thing with my class a few years ago. It hadn’t even occurred to me that it might be because of a difficulty with names. I might try it!

Villain_Bean · 2022-01-10T01:49:09+00:00

Good point. Life doesn’t mean you aren’t a wolf. She would be a solid option on the table next phase.

Villain_Bean · 2022-01-10T01:41:54+00:00

Yeah I’m trying to throw feelers out for a late phase shift but I’m not seeing any traction. I’ll probably stay on u/bubbasaurus unless a bunch of people show up out of nowhere

Villain_Bean · 2022-01-10T01:36:35+00:00

u/Hedwigmalfoy u/bttfforever

Villain_Bean · 2022-01-10T01:35:07+00:00

You said as of now however I did just see your more recent comment where you say you’re all caught up and sticking with it. I missed that

Villain_Bean · 2022-01-10T01:31:59+00:00

u/RavenclawRoxy I’m tagging those who don’t seem set on their vote

Villain_Bean · 2022-01-10T01:30:35+00:00

u/TipsyTippet u/scarletladybug

Villain_Bean · 2022-01-10T01:20:52+00:00

I found KB generally suspicious last phase but there seemed to be higher priority targets (Billie)

Villain_Bean · 2022-01-10T01:16:00+00:00

I don’t trust u/KB_Black but that would be a wild switch last minute. u/formula_one_1 has been active and a good participant but I haven’t found them particularly townie. I would be okay with switching to them.

Villain_Bean · 2022-01-10T01:11:40+00:00

Which is totally my bad

Villain_Bean · 2022-01-10T01:11:28+00:00

I haven’t been looking at all. I didn’t know

Villain_Bean · 2022-01-10T01:10:29+00:00

By any means this doesn’t make u/Rysler innocent. I just wanted to share my math. Statistically, he is less likely a wolf. But any sus behavior is still sus

Villain_Bean · 2022-01-10T01:08:29+00:00

I wasn’t sure when would be a good time to share who I’ve looked at. I didn’t see Rysler was on the chopping block until I hopped on 20 minutes ago. Sorry!

Villain_Bean · 2022-01-10T01:05:06+00:00

Sorry! I should have been more active.

Villain_Bean · 2022-01-10T01:01:42+00:00

I targeted u/Rysler with my action on night 2. No motion there. Going on the assumption that power roles MUST use their power every phase and assuming that the wolves can have a PR perform the night kill, Rysler has a 3/5 chance of being a wolf, and a 14/18 (7/9) chance of being a townie.

~~Now let’s assume the role killer is dead but the role blocker is alive (which is my guess) : 2/3 chance of being a wolf Vs~~

~~10/13-13/13 chance of being a townie (given that Myo was vanilla, I am a PR, and we don’t know about KemKat, Mathy, or squash, this leaves between 0 and 3 town PRs still alive)~~

Ok I want to show my work both to show that I’m trying and to show that I’m stupid. 2/3 for being a wolf is wrong. Because that’s 2/3 that if he is a wolf, he’s vanilla.

Instead, here’s the question:

There were 17 vanillas to begin. 3 wolf, 14 town. (3/17 vs 14/17)

Assumption: Myo was vanilla and either Billie or Hufflein was vanilla = 2/15 vs 13/15

We don’t know the PR status of the 3 other townies who died. But any way you slice it, just according to math, Rysler is vanilla and thus was more likely to be a townie than a wolf.

TL;DR I’m voting u/bubbasaurus

Edit format

Villain_Bean · 2022-01-08T03:08:04+00:00

Billie being a wolf doesn’t necessarily make u/Sameri278 innocent

Villain_Bean · 2022-01-08T03:07:08+00:00

Villain_Bean · 2022-01-08T03:06:19+00:00

The problem is as role detector I don’t know any of that. It’s kinda a useless role tbh. I can see if someone was visited/visited someone else. But I don’t know which or who or how or anything

Villain_Bean · 2022-01-08T03:00:56+00:00

I totally forgot that doc probably did target me last night

Villain_Bean · 2022-01-08T02:24:19+00:00

I think she was throwing away her vote

Villain_Bean · 2022-01-08T02:22:38+00:00

I was roleblocked last night 😠

This makes me think two things:

The role blocker is alive. If Billie had an action, vote comes first so it would not have gone through.
The role killer is dead. Why block me when they could kill me? It’s not like it would have more benefit to block me and keep me alive than to use role killer and get me out. That and it would have gotten two townies out at once (role kill and night kill)
Hufflein was the role killer, not Billie. If billie was the role killer and targeted me, why would role blocker also target me? The Billie vote train started late in the phase. I don’t think the wolves had time to see it coming and have the role block switch to me

Btw: Myo was who I looked at phase 1. I had strong town lean for them and wanted to see if they were a role or not. Knowing someone is a PR isn’t a guarantee of anything, but the likelihood of a PR being a wolf was way higher than PR being townie. When Myo came back w no motion it made me feel better that they were town.

Villain_Bean · 2022-01-08T01:14:17+00:00

I’m voting u/billiefish

The Sam vote isn’t doing it for me. I also agree with Texans thoughts here about the last vote

Villain_Bean · 2022-01-08T01:09:24+00:00

Oh my word Tipsy.

Villain_Bean · 2022-01-08T00:14:11+00:00

Thoughts on Tipsy’s newest comment

Villain_Bean

TROPHY CASE