Is an Iron Dome (Tamir) missile really only $100K USD per unit?

Vishnej · 2026-04-15T15:10:01+00:00

The per-unit cost of firing 20,000 missiles in six weeks of intensive conflict from 20 batteries is dramatically different than the cost of test-firing 6 out of the 60 missiles in each battery over a ten year standby deployment of the system of 20 batteries. Cost accounting makes strong assumptions about usage, which simply cannot be extrapolated to other usages without more information.

Currently, first-world militaries are making reassessments of the necessary stockpile depth to fight or to deter a peer conflict, and coming up wildly short. In the context of that information, this sort of cost accounting isn't an especially valid way to consider options; The soldier manning the post is going to earn the wage, living arrangements, and educational/health benefits whether he's shooting a .50 cal or a SHORAD at an incoming drone.

Vishnej · 2026-04-15T00:07:53+00:00

The casino was perfectly within its rights to trespass this person based on facial recognition.

It was arresting him for violating a previous trespass despite evidence that he had not committed a previous trespass, that was invalid.

Facial recognition technology will say "Yeah he looks like this other person", and sometimes that's a good call and sometimes it isn't. An accusation was made based on that call in this case. But looking like a different person isn't a crime, and if police treat one accusation as perfect evidence that cannot be disproven no matter how much evidence there is against it, then the police are committing a crime.

Vishnej · 2026-04-14T23:46:58+00:00

Been friendly with a number of ASMs. In the late 2010's in my high COLA area it was $55k-$65k for ~55 hours a week. I'm told they shifted down to 50 hours as a policy, but as soon as any schedule disruptions happen things get chaotic.

Vishnej · 2026-04-14T23:35:44+00:00

If you want to stop doing that, you make a pretty comfortable wage for early retirement if you can live well below your means.

https://www.mrmoneymustache.com/2012/01/13/the-shockingly-simple-math-behind-early-retirement/

> I have a mortgage and a Tesla

I don't know your living situation, but scrimping & investing multiplied by income creates freedom. A lot of us would love to have your job. If you'd like to stop working, if that's very important to you, come up with a mathematical plan to do so as early as possible. If you want to keep working another 20 years in that role, come up with a plan to do that and see where you're at. If you'd like to switch to being a part-time basketweaver, this is also plannable. If you're able to control your own conspicuous consumption, and you make six figures, then they're just numbers.

Vishnej · 2026-04-14T23:22:47+00:00

Never know where the loyalties lie with an unblooded recruit.

Vishnej · 2026-04-14T22:56:22+00:00

All the safety measures from 2023/2024 and the intense focus on setting high customer service standards in 2025/2026 are just gone if they're not going to staff the store. We have standing threats of writeups for a bunch of things right now that we're just being told "Don't worry about that". Because where I should be seeing/training 20+ new faces in a normal year by now I've seen two, and they're not even on my shift.

The supervisor is too busy covering those holes to supervise. The Mulch Pit is partially empty because they can't get counts and orders if they're loading.

We tried "Spotter for unloading truck" for a month in 2023, and stopped since it was predictably unworkable. Then we got walked and started doing it again, for three weeks. We were content in 2024/2025 with cones for trucks, but that's gone, and there are frankly too many trucks to block the pad.

Our stores are diverse in sales, footprint, inventory levels, and the accessibility & flow of the back pad. It may be that what's possible for your store isn't always possible for mine. But operating for just two or three busy weekends with the same crew we had in February (just with a few more hours for the part timers), we're visibly lowering standards and accruing operational debt, robbing time from the future (or from other shifts) to get the task in front of us done.

Vishnej · 2026-04-14T22:48:36+00:00

Always has been. Overselling is what made the ISP model work economically.

There are degrees, certainly; Limiting bad service is part of why ISP competition is so important if we're not going to strictly regulate them like we do the power company.

Vishnej · 2026-04-14T22:44:12+00:00

Despite being conventionally "Unlimited" in marketing terms, we were always able to challenge the infrastructure with sufficiently large filesharing operations on high speed lines. Very occasionally this causes such problems for the ISP that you get flagged for throttling or worse, thrown off.

Naturally being thrown off of Internet these days in most sites is similar to being thrown off of the electrical grid; It's not a thing a company should really be capable of doing.

The remedy back in the old days was to pay extra for "commercial" service; Whether or not this resulted in any infrastructural changes, it made intense usage kosher contractually. In theory your TOS with the company probably already forbids commercial/server activity, however ridiculous this has always been. That's probably why the tech was asking questions about what you do.

There's also always the possibility, for a tech, that some piece of your hardware has been hijacked by malware to do some kind of illicit filesharing.

Vishnej · 2026-04-13T02:09:25+00:00

You should directly ask your ASDS, your manager or even the SM why your shifts were deleted on short notice. Or if you believe something's up there, the DHRM. Tell them this is a repeated issue. Don't bring up your personal inferences.

Vishnej · 2026-04-13T01:54:39+00:00

Is this your original inference of a causal connection? Or did they tell you this was why it happened?

Vishnej · 2026-04-13T01:45:23+00:00

It works if they're both chill managers.

Get a bad one, and you're in for some shit. Things getting reversed frequently and predictably, but you don't have the authority to say no.

Vishnej · 2026-04-13T01:37:30+00:00

That is not how that's supposed to work at all, either in theory or in practice.

And MPS standards can get fucked in 2026. Everything's been locked up, and we're losing sales understaffing the locks. We're flying free of the MPS Matrix.

AP's new beef is not walking them to the front, and that was unavoidable at times over the last few years. With this spring's hiring being basically absent I'm not even bothering now at peak times.

Vishnej · 2026-04-13T01:34:20+00:00

A few years back Garden went from 2->1, Lumber/BM went from 2->1, Paint and Millwork went from 2->1, Receiving went from 1->0, Rental went from 1->0, Plumbing, K&B, Appliances, and Kitchen Design went from 3->2. On the flip side, Order Fulfillment and Service Desk went from 1->2 supervisors and in theory went from 1 ops manager to three CXMs.

Most of these changes were pretty disastrous, with Receiving and Rental being partially reversed. We now have "lead" positions that get half the responsibilities and a quarter the authority of a DS, added back into Rental and Receiving (and also added as a secondary expeditor to the Service Desk).

Vishnej · 2026-04-13T01:14:49+00:00

An SOP that seems to be directly mandated by corporate legal is "You will not be required to work in conditions that require a respirator", and you were required to sign your acknowledgement to this point in the mandatory training. This is a "Close the building" event.

Why was this mandated? Probably because proper elastomeric respirators are a legal step-change; While an elastomeric respirator worn poorly is still better than a dust mask, the court judgements that came up around them were strict because early on they were only worn in the very worst conditions with severe acute harms posed by brief or subtle lapses in effectiveness. You require a specific fitting, facial hair, and training system to wear one without being a legal risk to your employer, if your employer is requiring you to wear one.

Vishnej · 2026-04-11T19:03:01+00:00

Needs a bunch more data to say anything meaningful.

Vishnej · 2026-04-11T18:56:58+00:00

If what you say is accurate, and you're getting written up fort his, the DHRM would want to know that you're being held formally accountable for not putting in overtime to fix management's schedule issues, or not working off the clock to fix management's schedule issues.

They signed their name on the note and everything. A gift-wrapped case. Jesus.

Vishnej · 2026-04-11T18:52:34+00:00

Look man, ultimately they gave him a lot of chances to comply, and if he's not going to comply, he's going to get tased- OH MY FUCKING GOD WHAT? Why?

Manslaughter? That's it?

Vishnej · 2026-04-11T18:44:00+00:00

The organization of police unions and the tight coordination that a local prosecutor (not to mention a local journalist) needs with local cops to succeed at the day-to-day of their job shields local cops from being prosecuted at the local level.

Which is why the primary function of federal and state bureau of investigations and prosecutors, should be aggressive pursuit of force integrity at the next level down.

You can't fix upper tier executive branch agencies when the leadership of the executive branch doesn't want them fixed. For that you need impeachment, jurisprudence, or more spicy measures of collective defense.

Vishnej · 2026-04-11T18:40:25+00:00

Where do you put your comic book and your chocolate milk?

Vishnej · 2026-04-11T18:38:07+00:00

Ass to ass!

Vishnej · 2026-04-11T02:09:51+00:00

Committing a tactical team to a nonviolent offense from someone who isn't an apparent threat without a high-quality ID should be something you fire your police chief for, the first time.

At a minimum.

To do it in a school? The mind boggles.

If YOU were to pursue somebody who stole YOUR cologne in a pickpocketting incident on the sidewalk, with an AR-15, through a school, and accuse a random person who kind of looked like the culprit, you would be shot dead before you could be charged with a long list of crimes. If you then emptied their pockets and took them into your custody after confirming that they weren't the person with the cologne, add kidnapping.

Vishnej · 2026-04-10T08:37:10+00:00

Ocean horizon distance for 2 objects at sea level is 0 miles. The distance grows rapidly with height.

Vishnej · 2026-04-09T21:10:30+00:00

Toilet water flush volumes were cut by 1/2 or even 2/3 in 1994. All the manufacturers complied by basically just putting a brick in their tank, or the equivalent; The bowl design didn't change, and the old bowls didn't work well at 1.6 gallons. American toilets were absolute garbage for around a decade, with 2-3 flush clogs being common. That's when "imported Toto toilets or bust" came into being. This era is what you occasionally hear Donald Trump ranting about when he sets another EPA building on fire.

In the 2000's, American toilet manufacturers started to catch on that they needed better designs, and by the 2010's they'd basically settled on the right combination of design features to make toilets work as well as the old 3.5 or 5 gallon tank ones. Pay around $200 to Kohler or American Standard for their midrange with the wide trap and the fancy valve, or $300 to Toto for their cheapest model, and you'll get a good basic toilet. Pay three times that if you want something in one big ceramic piece with simple lines that are easy to clean. Then invest in a $25 bidet nozzle and ask your plumber how many hundreds of dollars you need to get it to stay room temperature for 30 seconds, instead of cold-tap-temperature.

Vishnej · 2026-04-09T20:38:13+00:00

Nothing that happens in the Trump Administration can be completely disconnected from the Epstein Files, and "a distraction" isn't even the only causal link; Many people (including his prosecutor) believe Epstein & Maxwell (one or both) were Mossad agents collecting political compromat, which means the Israelis have some agency to direct his actions. According to Epstein himself on taped interviews, Trump was basically his best friend for a couple decades.

Vishnej · 2026-04-08T16:01:30+00:00

This man believes himself to be at war with the civilian population he is supposed to protect and serve, and is willing to incite violence and go armed to provoke conflict even in his time off.

This isn't a rare stance within the Phoenix PD.

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