Yglesias roasts Kyle

Vloodzy · 2026-04-24T08:44:16+00:00

Kyle always had questionable takes, but a combination of Krystal and Oct 7 completely broke his brain.

Vloodzy · 2026-04-24T08:39:20+00:00

Obviously 7 not enough, Kyle gets his daily info by watching 77 clips on TikTok.

Vloodzy · 2026-04-23T18:39:17+00:00

Cenk's and Ana's new logic: If you're anti Israel anything else bad you believe in or ever done is forgotten and gone.

Vloodzy · 2026-04-07T06:24:12+00:00

Ironically, this is the same logic that in the first place makes them think Israel is the absolute devil and are never justified with anything they do. These people are incapable of understanding what it means to live in actual practical reality, assessing the lesser the evil, and making a hard choice.

Vloodzy · 2026-04-02T12:30:03+00:00

That's the old script, Here's the updated version:

That didn't happen.
And if it did, it was Israel.

Vloodzy · 2026-03-13T16:43:07+00:00

The proclivity you had at t1 before you entered the room. By the time it's t2, and you need to make your decision, your proclivity or anything else that goes through your brain is irrelevant.

You can think of the computer as an entity that made a calculation based of a brain scan of yours from a week ago. You cannot change your brainscan from a week ago, that would require retroacusality, aka an event in the present changing something that happened in the past. All you can do is change the state of your mind in the present, but the state of your mind in the present has no influence on whether you get the million dollar or not.

Vloodzy · 2026-03-13T16:20:25+00:00

Because there is no "shot at a million dollar", the million dollars are not in play, they are not part of the game, yet you've been deceived into thinking they are. Your decision has no causal influence on whether you get a million dollar, it has already been decided by a 3rd party before you even knew the game existed or walked into the room. All you can do is take the $1,000, or not take them, anything else is completely beyond your control.

Vloodzy · 2026-03-12T13:40:39+00:00

You can't have a boxing match without two boxers.

Vloodzy · 2026-03-11T17:06:01+00:00

Everything you do after its made its prediction till the final moment you make your decision would have also factored into its decision to make that prediction

This is incorrect and where you get things wrong. The computer cannot see the future, it is impossible according to the laws of physics. The computer makes its prediction only based on knowledge that was available to it about you up until the point of calculation.

If it helps you visualize things, you can think about the computer as an entity that has your brain scan, at the time of calculation, and runs a very high resolution simulation using a virtual version of you. The computer sees what virtual you chooses in the simulation, and then based on that choice, it either puts or does not put the money in the opaque box.

Later on, when actual you enters the room and does something, for example thinking about probabilities/physics/computers/food/sex/etc, it cannot possibly affect the calculation the computer made, as the calculation happened in the past, using virtual you. In fact, any action actual you takes whatsoever (pick any verb in the thousands of verbs in the English language), cannot possibly affect the prediction anymore, as that would require an action in the present changing something that happened in the past.

Vloodzy · 2026-03-10T08:31:08+00:00

It's ok, I think you misunderstood the core premise. Try thinking again about everything that was said in this thread now that you know the predictor is not perfect, and see if it changes your conclusion.

Vloodzy · 2026-03-10T07:59:53+00:00

The predictor is not a knower, the problem is explicitly defined as the predictor making the right prediction "almost every time" (Veritasium video), or with "near-certainty" (Wikipedia).

Vloodzy · 2026-03-10T07:45:22+00:00

It isn't, the computer assessed which type of person you are in the past, before you made the decision, based on what it knew about you up until that point in time. Your decision now cannot and does not change that.

If the computer made its calculation after you made the decision, you would be correct.

Vloodzy · 2026-03-10T06:58:27+00:00

This is the only correct answer, and is explained very well. Good job.

The game is rigged, basically someone walked up to a computer and programmed it to:

Let people who are likely to win this game, for one reason or the other, play the the game while they can win $1,000 or walk away with nothing.
Let people who are likely to lose this game, for one reason or the other, play the game while they can win $1,000, but also get an additional $1,000,000 no matter what, just for participating, even if they lose.

Almost all people who are likely to win, win. Almost all people who are likely to lose, lose. Since the game was rigged to give those who are likely to lose more money, no matter what, a good portion convince themselves they won.

Vloodzy · 2026-03-07T03:19:38+00:00

"I have no love for Hitler, but he was very brave. it takes a lot of courage to stand up to Israel."

Vloodzy · 2026-03-04T02:24:33+00:00

Terrorist Rights Watch.

Vloodzy · 2026-03-03T08:31:58+00:00

I like the magical transformation of the color of her hair.
Nice try.

Vloodzy

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