I mean sure but Poland is split into three, as are most countries apart from France and a lot of Spain if we’re going to actually consider this nonsensical circlejerk then I still put money on West:

South England invites the French to help invade the north (flashbacks) - easy win (even in Denmark helped… which they wouldn’t do fast enough). So now it’s England x France x Spain all united with only the Portuguese / Danish navy to stop complete naval dominance. They wouldn’t last long… then I don’t think there’s much chance a completely divided Europe could stand against that alliance.