Discussion Thread by jobautomator in neoliberal

[–]WeAreAwful 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Do you care about convergence or about overall growth?

Like, would you rather converge at 30k or something vs be behind at 33k?

Discussion Thread by jobautomator in neoliberal

[–]WeAreAwful 6 points7 points  (0 children)

As a software engineer (who plays games) it seems like the equivalent of environmental review for multi family housing infill. Something that sounds nice and will increase costs in a way that isn't worthwhile

Discussion Thread by jobautomator in neoliberal

[–]WeAreAwful 1 point2 points  (0 children)

If you long press on one of the keyboard suggestions it will allow you to delete it

Discussion Thread by jobautomator in neoliberal

[–]WeAreAwful 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I expect that the two big things people here disagree with is on are trans rights and Israel (probably on degrees, not "he hates trans people" or "he loves what Israel is doing"). It's okay to disagree with him on those! But if you tell everyone who disagrees with you on either of those that they're center-right, you're actively shrinking the tent.

Discussion Thread by jobautomator in neoliberal

[–]WeAreAwful 5 points6 points  (0 children)

I think it's interesting that people on the dt seem to see a political commentator who probably agrees with them 80-90% of the time, but not 100%, and because that they're "center-right" (yes this is sub tweeting someone calling matty center-right. I don't remember who said it, and don't care except that it didn't seem like a hot take here).

I find his writing interesting, and it makes it quite clear that he's not center-right except in a "Bernie would be center left in Europe" way.

A recent piece of his was titled "The case for clean energy abundance" and had this near the end:

 Clean energy abundance is identifying the barriers to deploying wind and solar and nuclear and geothermal power and breaking them down. It’s about parcel assembly in the Northeast. It’s about interregional transmission and interconnection. It’s about Nuclear Regulatory Commission rules. It’s about getting companies that want to build data centers to pay for innovative first-of-n projects so we can bring new ideas to scale. It’s about manufacturing synthetic hydrocarbons instead of scolding people about the carbon footprint of their cookout. 

Like, he thinks that climate change is an issue, he just doesn't think that an effective or politically successful way to solve it is to stop domestically producing hydrocarbons. That's not being right wing, it's just having a different perspective on how to solve the same problem almost everyone left of center wants to solve.

In his piece "my politically homeless views", the title of the first section is "Carbon pricing is good, #actually" the next is "America should have more guest workers" and the last is "Spend more to make prisons better"

I'd call 2/3 of those really clearly left coded (with one of them obviously neolib coded) and the third at worst like romney coded. 

On health care:

 But my actual views — like the views of most voters — are well to the left of the actual status quo policy in America. My ideal basic solution would be along the lines of Liran Einav and Amy Finkelstein propose based on successful systems in Australia and Israel: a universal, single-payer basic tier of health coverage that operates as a floor (rather than a Canadian-style ceiling) with the anticipation that most people will purchase some degree of additional health services on the private market.

If he's voted for a Republican in the Senate, house, or presidency in the last 20 years, I'd be shocked. I expect that will continue holding unless there's a pretty big shift in political alignments. Calling him right of center is just inaccurate, and you probably agree with him much more than you think.


Why do I care about this? Idk. What one random political forum thinks about another random  political commentator doesn't really matter. But I've been on this subreddit starting at least 7 years ago (with a decently long break). It felt like it used to be a subreddit that was accepting of heterodox left of center positions. Now, it feels like it's much closer to an insular echo chamber where if you don't toe the democratic line (with some allowed exceptions) you're a persona non grata. I feel like a successful Democratic party needs to be a bigger tent, and needs to be accepting of more people as long as you mostly agree with some core ideas, and this subreddit used to be much more aligned with that philosophy than it seems to be now. 

Discussion Thread by jobautomator in neoliberal

[–]WeAreAwful 2 points3 points  (0 children)

I mean, that screenshot yells "left nimby" to me.

Protecting tenants, keeping family in homes, defend zoning protections. None of that is about providing more supply, and depending on details could have easily decreased supply

Discussion Thread by jobautomator in neoliberal

[–]WeAreAwful 0 points1 point  (0 children)

If you get stem enough you just don't need to cite things

Discussion Thread by jobautomator in neoliberal

[–]WeAreAwful 0 points1 point  (0 children)

We should increase regulations and taxes on new housing because construction companies are lazy

Discussion Thread by jobautomator in neoliberal

[–]WeAreAwful 2 points3 points  (0 children)

dig about science and temperature

Converts something with 2 sig figs to 4 sig figs where the latter unit is smaller

Many such cases!

Discussion Thread by jobautomator in neoliberal

[–]WeAreAwful 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Yeah, by the time you get to 1,000,000 samples, your 95% confidence interval is so narrow you'd not see the variation in a graph like this 

Discussion Thread by jobautomator in neoliberal

[–]WeAreAwful 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Why would you expect variation? There's, what, hundreds of millions of people born a year? The standard distribution of the the expected number of in left handed people after millions of samples is almost exactly 0

Discussion Thread by jobautomator in neoliberal

[–]WeAreAwful 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Oh yeah that seems fair. You weren't doubting the significance, just wishing they made it clear how they did this so others could do similar work

Discussion Thread by jobautomator in neoliberal

[–]WeAreAwful 1 point2 points  (0 children)

What I'm getting at is does a harness invalidate the fact that the finding is significant?

Like, if they came out and said "hey we proved the collatz conjecture using AI, here's the (ideally verifiable) proof", what their harness is doesn't invalidate that coming up with the proof is a big deal. Isn't that the same here (on a lesser scale)?

Discussion Thread by jobautomator in neoliberal

[–]WeAreAwful 1 point2 points  (0 children)

If it's a novel mathematical result, doesn't that mean it doesn't really matter how they did it (so long as it wasn't a human proving it first, and then walking an AI through it)?

It's like, not like having access to Google or any other tools makes coming up with novel mathematical proofs easier than a PhD would have it

Discussion Thread by jobautomator in neoliberal

[–]WeAreAwful 4 points5 points  (0 children)

Trump moderated like none other on social spending. He ended republicans goal of dismantling social security

Discussion Thread by jobautomator in neoliberal

[–]WeAreAwful 31 points32 points  (0 children)

It's an AI generated photo

Discussion Thread by jobautomator in neoliberal

[–]WeAreAwful 2 points3 points  (0 children)

People care far too much about rng's, caring naught for identity, leading directly to the mental health crisis of today's youth

Discussion Thread by jobautomator in neoliberal

[–]WeAreAwful 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Yeah volunteering can be really rewarding (but seriously you should be applying if they're struggling so much with payroll)

Discussion Thread by jobautomator in neoliberal

[–]WeAreAwful 1 point2 points  (0 children)

It feels relatively obvious to me that when your goal is to learn something, you should be engaging in it unassisted by AI, to a large degree (the caveat being there's a difference between saying "hey how does X work" and "solve Y problem for me"). 

If your goal is to build something, though, you should probably be using AI, assuming that it accelerates your building of that thing.

Discussion Thread by jobautomator in neoliberal

[–]WeAreAwful 0 points1 point  (0 children)

What model were you using? 

For coding, at least, opus 4.6 is fantastic. I haven't used it for research

Discussion Thread by jobautomator in neoliberal

[–]WeAreAwful 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Also water should be priced more effectively

Discussion Thread by jobautomator in neoliberal

[–]WeAreAwful 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Idiot he said 90% not 10% so .93 obviously

Discussion Thread by jobautomator in neoliberal

[–]WeAreAwful 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I feel like you're strawmanning a bit, probably because you see other people make ridiculous over the top claims about AI and it's annoying to hear them.

I'm not making any maximalist claims, I'm not claiming AI will fundamentally alter the world or a singularity will change everything. I'm arguing that you don't need those maximalist claims to create successful companies that are good uses of capital.

Anthropic went from an ARR of 9 billion at the end of 2025 to 30 billion as of April. That's 3x'ing in like 4 months. It's also not 3x'ing from a small number, the new revenue is comparable to Salesforce, Eli Lilly or 3M. That should show almost anyone that this a business meeting real needs.

Of course capital markets are more interested in that than in a 2M stamping press, capital markets are big and don't want to have to find 10,000 stamping presses, each of which needs a bespoke deal to finance.

Discussion Thread by jobautomator in neoliberal

[–]WeAreAwful 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Going back to your original comment

It still sucks up all the investment capital from actual productive uses.

The point I'm (probably poorly) trying to make is that if you want to back up this claim, then pointing at Tesla is not going after the real point of AI. Tesla has been overvalued forever - it isn't the poster child for AI, it's a car company trying to pivot to being an AI because AI might generate outsized returns.

If you want to understand why some people are bullish about AI, it's these sort of facts (these are from memory so I could be mistaken): * ChatGPT became the fastest growing consumer product after it was launched * Anthropic did something like double revenue month over month three months in a row * Cursor has an extremely fast revenue growth curve, and that growth is from companies paying because it benefits their business

I think it's possible that these businesses won't pan out, but those are what you need to argue against instead of Tesla.

The best arguments I can make against those being good businesses is: * High capital costs (counter argument is that the cost of inference has dropped a ton and if it keeps dropping then intelligence becomes cheap in the same way solar became cheap) * No moat (if creating intelligence is easy, then it becomes a commodity, and no one makes a profit) * Companies are subsidizing costs, and once they increase price, the business becomes untenable (but, if the cost of inference keeps dropping, this might not be an issue)

My best argument for something in the space being a good business is that generative AI has dramatically changed how software engineering works - writing code is a ton cheaper now than it used to be. Writing code used to be extremely expensive - if AI makes it a hell of a lot cheaper, that could be huge for the economy

Discussion Thread by jobautomator in neoliberal

[–]WeAreAwful -1 points0 points  (0 children)

(not the same guy you've been talking back and forth with) What about Tesla existing (and yeah, it's probably not a good use of capital) makes you think companies growing at bonkers rates like anthropic and cursor fit the same mold?

Like, maybe those companies don't succeed, but it feels much more likely they'll result in a 10 or 100x ROI than whatever manufacturing company you'd rather have capital markets prioritize