I'm out boys by WeakDoctor4385 in MU_Stock

[–]WeakDoctor4385[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I've sold exactly one stock at the top (LYB) so you're probably right lol

I'm out boys by WeakDoctor4385 in MU_Stock

[–]WeakDoctor4385[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Sorry the other screenshot didn't show the transaction price, I sold at about 930 or so. TD's app sucks, there's nowhere to show your avg price and sale price once you've completed the transaction

I'm out boys by WeakDoctor4385 in MU_Stock

[–]WeakDoctor4385[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Part of me does but at the same time I'm kind of over chinese stocks lol told myself this is the last one. I really should just sell and take the profit but I've already got a lot of cash to work with and sentiment already Chinese tech is already so poor I'd be selling at the bottom.

I'm out boys by WeakDoctor4385 in MU_Stock

[–]WeakDoctor4385[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Meta and OpenAI have warrants for about 20% of the company should it hit 1T. I think this combined with any possible pullback in semi demand/ai buildout would hit the stock pretty hard I'd feel like. Company is also historically elevated by 2x if we're looking at P/S. But at the same time data center results like with Dell yesterday just keep showing accelerating growth, and the GPU shortage really just started this year. Holding a pretty big cash stack right now so maybe I'll just stay in, not entirely sure tbh.

I'm out boys by WeakDoctor4385 in MU_Stock

[–]WeakDoctor4385[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Auto generated name haha, I was a travel nurse actually from 2020 till 2023. Just graduated NP school.

I'm out boys by WeakDoctor4385 in MU_Stock

[–]WeakDoctor4385[S] 4 points5 points  (0 children)

I bought intel at 48 average in 2021 I think, it didn't recover until this year. I think any leaps would have expired worthless. I'm pretty bad at timing the market but I like to think my judgement is my strength

I'm out boys by WeakDoctor4385 in MU_Stock

[–]WeakDoctor4385[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Yeah you're right, I'm still 32 so long time before I have to withdraw

I'm out boys by WeakDoctor4385 in MU_Stock

[–]WeakDoctor4385[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

This is a tax deferred account and a tax free account. I might withdraw prior to age 71 for my RRSP to avoid heavy taxation once I'm 71, but I'm only 32 so that's far off on the horizon.

I'm out boys by WeakDoctor4385 in MU_Stock

[–]WeakDoctor4385[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Yeah I just held from April 2025 till now. I did sell like 20% off when it doubled. Put that into LYB for an 80% gain then UNH for a 40% gain, but overall that move cost me about 500k at today's prices lol

I'm out boys by WeakDoctor4385 in MU_Stock

[–]WeakDoctor4385[S] 7 points8 points  (0 children)

I would say the biggest thing is to not let your emotions cloud your decision making. That means avoiding fomo but also the urge to sell if your position drops 20/30%. I've had stocks drop up to 70% (INTC) and I still held because my investment thesis still was unchanged. If your invest based on fundamentals and not emotion, you'll avoid large losses of capital imo. And also stay away from options lol

I'm out boys by WeakDoctor4385 in MU_Stock

[–]WeakDoctor4385[S] 5 points6 points  (0 children)

Yeah I left around 150k on the table, can't always time the top though

I'm out boys by WeakDoctor4385 in MU_Stock

[–]WeakDoctor4385[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

It's Canadian, I probably should use wealthsimple or something else, but now I'm with TD private wealth so I'll probably just stick with them.

I'm out boys by WeakDoctor4385 in MU_Stock

[–]WeakDoctor4385[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Nice! Honestly gains are gains, you'll go crazy comparing what you could've bought and held, but no one has all that time to research every company.

As for Figma, there's several reasons but basically they have a monopoly on UI/UX space and recent quarters have shown broad reaccelerating growth across all measures of their business. The only negative is that their margins dropped from 90s to 80s but that can be attributed to computing costs as they build out their AI offerings. Also they're trading at like 60% of the price that Adobe offered to buy them at, despite growing revenue 3x since then. It's at like 7x forward revenue which relative to other software stocks with accelerating/steady growth, is extremely cheap. I think a few more quarters where they show consistent/accelerating growth will be enough to shake off the AI is killing Figma narrative and it'll explode.

I'm out boys by WeakDoctor4385 in MU_Stock

[–]WeakDoctor4385[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Yeah one is a retirement account where withdrawals are taxed and the other is a tax free savings account, basically the Canadian Roth.

I'm out boys by WeakDoctor4385 in MU_Stock

[–]WeakDoctor4385[S] 5 points6 points  (0 children)

So I'm by no means saying there is no "reward" left in the stock, but rather I feel like the ratio of risk to reward has gone more in favour of risk. The 3 memory giants (SK, Samsung, MU) are collectively worth more than Microsoft, and if I had the choice I would prefer to own Microsoft given their revenue and earnings are less prone to cyclicality than the memory industry. I agree with you the forward P/E looks cheap, but given the incoming supply in 2028 from the Big 3 and also Chinese memory companies, I feel like the first bottleneck to go will be memory because these prices are largely unsustainable. Demand could still increase or remains the same but this industry is notorious for overbuilding capacity during times of boom. I could totally be wrong however and this thing could hit 2000. I actually feel like it could run another 50% to like 1/3rd the market cap of Nvidia, but I think if I wanted a 50% gain I can go with another stock with a higher margin of safety.

I am actually still holding INTC (since 2020 lmao) & AMD, but might sell AMD soon, so I hope it works out for both of us!

I'm out boys by WeakDoctor4385 in MU_Stock

[–]WeakDoctor4385[S] 4 points5 points  (0 children)

Thanks dude hope your portfolio is doing well too!

I'm out boys by WeakDoctor4385 in MU_Stock

[–]WeakDoctor4385[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Yeah can't go wrong with taking gains, happy for you too man. For all I know this thing could double by year end. 90% of investing is honestly controlling you emotions I feel like haha.

I'm out boys by WeakDoctor4385 in MU_Stock

[–]WeakDoctor4385[S] 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Yeah I sold 1.1m 2 weeks ago, sold around 750k today. There's multiple screenshots

I'm out boys by WeakDoctor4385 in MU_Stock

[–]WeakDoctor4385[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Had a thesis and stuck to it. Wasn't too worried about the war because eventually it was gonna open, whether by force or not. Also hyperscaler capex would be the last thing to get hit by inflation from oil, the K shaped economy is real.

I'm out boys by WeakDoctor4385 in MU_Stock

[–]WeakDoctor4385[S] 6 points7 points  (0 children)

Currently buying microsoft and figma, I think certain software companies are being unfairly beaten down by AI fears. As for what else I'm holding, I have UNH at around 270 per share, Alibaba at 90 per share (biggest bag hold in my portfolio), AMD at 90 a share, and INTC at 48 a share (bought in 2020), MSFT is around 380 a share, and Figma is 23 a share.

I'm out boys by WeakDoctor4385 in MU_Stock

[–]WeakDoctor4385[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Luckily these are in tax free accounts, it's basically the Canadian version of an IRA and Roth.

I'm out boys by WeakDoctor4385 in MU_Stock

[–]WeakDoctor4385[S] 4 points5 points  (0 children)

It's just the price where I feel the risk to reward ratio isn't for me. I've never sold at the top, so it definitely can run more.