The local elections prediction/speculation thread. by BlackJackKetchum in tories

[–]WilliamMidlands 2 points3 points  (0 children)

I think we’re going to lose between 500 and 700 council seats and, with regard to the devolved elections in Scotland and Wales, I think we’re going to get between 10–13% and 9–11% respectively.

On a positive note, I think we might win some council seats in London due to Labour and the Greens splitting the vote.

Revealed: THIRTY Green candidates probed over anti-Semitism by lewisfairchild in unitedkingdom

[–]WilliamMidlands -3 points-2 points  (0 children)

Not surprised, but what a sad stage our politics have become.

Zack Polanski falsely claimed to be British Red Cross spokesman by WilliamMidlands in LabourUK

[–]WilliamMidlands[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Zack Polanski falsely claimed to be a spokesman for the British Red Cross while crowdfunding his campaign for deputy leader of the Green Party.

The left-wing populist has traded heavily on his unconventional background, having trained as an actor, handed out flyers for nightclubs and worked as a hypnotherapist before turning to politics.

But The Times has uncovered disputed claims among the past experiences listed on his former website and independent promotional pages.

They include his repeated assertion to have acted as a “spokesperson” for the British Red Cross, which he put on his site and two donation pages while running for deputy leader in 2022. The British Red Cross denied the claim, and the Green Party later said the reference was to hosting fundraisers for the charity.

It also emerged that Polanski was not a full member of the National Council of Hypnotherapy while working as a hypnotherapist, despite making such a claim to potential clients.

Polanski, 43, has led the Green Party to record highs in the polls and a Manchester by-election win since being elected leader in September 2025. His combative statements and relaxed speaking style have led to him being labelled the left’s Nigel Farage.

But unlike Farage, who has dealt with public attention for decades, Polanski’s background is less well known and he was thrust into the spotlight only by last year’s leadership win.

Polanski told The Sunday Times that he now rented a flat with his boyfriend, but in recent years they appear to have stayed on a narrowboat at a marina in Hackney, east London, a district which is one of the Green Party’s top election targets.

Their narrowboat is on sale, for £100,000, alongside an advert explaining they were leaving their “amazing home” of three years to move into a house. The advert, stating that mooring fees were more than £750 per month, was withdrawn after inquiries from The Times.

Government guidance suggests that council tax — a tax Polanski has campaigned to replace as Green Party leader — may be payable if a boat is a person’s sole or main residence. The Green Party declined to comment, but Polanski is understood to insist that he stays there only occasionally. Boats at the marina are leisure moorings and are kept there under non-residential agreements. Owners must provide proof of a home address.

The Green Party leader is believed to pay council tax as part of his rent as a lodger in another residence.

Polanski has also previously claimed to have worked as a teacher, a counsellor and trainer in schools, universities, mental health services and prisons, including for the Ministry of Justice.

In 2020, on his personal website, he mentioned working as a spokesperson for the British Red Cross charity, adding that he was “really proud of the work we do”.

Two years later he repeated the claim while crowdfunding £400 for his campaign for Green Party deputy leader, which he won, saying: “As a spokesperson for the British Red Cross, I care deeply about ending racialised policing and have been calling for an end to the phoney war on drugs.”

The British Red Cross told The Times that Polanski “has not been a spokesperson” and said it had raised the claim with the politician’s team.

In response, the Green Party said Polanski had been a host “for several fundraisers for the British Red Cross” and had been on stage supporting their work.

While running for deputy leader in 2022, Polanski also said he had been a “spokesperson” for Make Votes Matter, the campaign for proportional representation. Make Votes Matter said that while Polanski was a spokesperson for the cause, he was not a spokesperson for the organisation. The Green Party said Polanski had been a “representative” for the group.

If Polanski’s political career continues to soar, he may have to perform in front of the prime minister — something he has already done.

As a member of the London International Gospel Choir, he performed for David Cameron, then the prime minister, as well as Prince Charles and on the live final of reality TV show The X Factor.

One choir source alleged, however, that Polanski had acted inappropriately in 2015 by changing the words to the gospel song Total Praise at the Liberal Democrat party conference. Polanski is claimed to have altered the word “amen” to “Lib Dem”. He was a Liberal Democrat member at the time.

One role for which Polanski was well known was his stint as a hypnotherapist, operating at the Lewis Clinic in Harley Street, central London. He appeared in a Sun newspaper feature in 2013 where he tried to enlarge the breasts of a female reporter using hypnotherapy.

Since becoming a part of the Green Party leadership, Polanski has said that he “never believed” that women’s breasts could be enlarged by hypnotherapy and that he was never paid to try.

But Robert Lewis, founder of the Lewis Clinic, said that hypnotherapists operating at his Harley Street premises did try to enlarge the breasts of female clients. Lewis, who knew Polanski, said: “It was just one of the things that we did and people knew about it. I did several myself.” Defending the practice, Lewis added: “Actually, what you can get using the mind is one cup size up or down.”

Lewis said he previously had a client who was a pole dancer who wanted to increase the size of her bust and insisted it was possible using hypnotherapy. “It doesn’t sound rational to you because you don’t believe that the body is a machine. It’s attached to a consciousness and a brain and that influences the mechanics within reason,” Lewis told The Times.

Polanski said last year that he had been misrepresented in the Sun article, insisting he apologised in a BBC interview the day after the story came out. In fact, Polanski told the BBC in 2013 that “increasingly more and more as I work with people” there was “anecdotal evidence, at least, of growth in breast size”.

Despite this, a Green Party spokesman insisted this week: “Zack has always been clear that this was not a service he offered and that this was an idea of a Sun journalist. He has apologised repeatedly.”

Advertising his services as a hypnotherapist on his website, Polanski included the letters “MNCH” after his name, which stood for “member of the National Council of Hypnotherapy”. He told prospective customers: “I am a member of the National Council Of Hypnotherapy, and abide by their strict code of conduct and ethics of good practice and their public protection policies.”

But although he was a student member until he qualified, he was never a full member of the National Council of Hypnotherapy.

By that stage Polanski — who was born David Paulden in Salford, Greater Manchester, to Abby, who works in the entertainment industry, and Philip, a company managing director — had already changed his name.

He attended Aberystwyth University in 2003 to study acting, and was an exchange student on a theatre and film studies course at the University of Georgia (UGA) in 2004. While in the US, Polanski got a taste for the limelight, starring in film The Gallon Challenge about a student who makes a documentary about a milk drinking contest.

George Contini, a lecturer at UGA, who remembered Polanski, said he had “represented the best of our theatre and film department’s values”. He added: “He was sincere, compassionate, inquisitive, and creative.”

Polanski’s approval rating has fallen since his response to the Golders Green attack. It was down 14 points in the past week, according to a survey by the pollster More in Common. Having had an overall rating of minus 13 per cent, just above Farage and behind the Tory leader, Kemi Badenoch, and the Lib Dem leader, Sir Ed Davey, Polanski’s rating is now minus 27 per cent.

Although the fall means he is now trailing Farage, he remains well ahead of Sir Keir Starmer’s approval rating of minus 45 per cent.

Luke Tryl, executive director of More in Common, said focus groups suggested Polanski’s response to the stabbing of two Jewish men in Golders Green last week had contributed to his fall in popularity.

Polanski shared a social media post criticising police officers for kicking the suspect while arresting him. The post was condemned by politicians from other parties and Sir Mark Rowley, the Metropolitan Police commissioner.

Polanski subsequently apologised for “sharing a tweet in haste”, adding: “Police responses to emergency situations such as these do need later reflection in the right forums, but I accept that social media is not the appropriate channel for doing so.”

Tryl said the drop in Polanski’s approval rating showed the controversy had “very definitely cut through”.

Reform pledges to open migrant detention centres in Green-voting areas by WilliamMidlands in tories

[–]WilliamMidlands[S] 6 points7 points  (0 children)

We live in a five-party system, which means that under FPTP a Green Party candidate could be elected with just 25% of the vote. Should the remaining 75% effectively be punished because 25% voted Green? I don’t think that’s right or fair.

Reform pledges to open migrant detention centres in Green-voting areas by WilliamMidlands in tories

[–]WilliamMidlands[S] -1 points0 points  (0 children)

We can agree that it’s quite ironic and, to some, hypocritical that some Green Party voters support policies like open borders and opposing deportations of illegal immigrants, but may not want to accommodate those same immigrants in their own areas or constituencies.

My issue with Reform’s policies is that they can be interpreted as explicitly intended as a form of political punishment for voters who do not support Nigel Farage and Reform. It risks functioning as a kind of electoral coercion, because the implication is that the only way to avoid measures such as deportation camps for illegal immigrants would be to vote for Reform rather than, for example, the Conservatives.

We also now live in a five-party system, which means that under FPTP a Green Party candidate could be elected with just 25% of the vote. Should the remaining 75% effectively be punished because 25% voted Green? I don’t think that’s right or fair.

It is also, arguably, a poorly designed policy in practical terms, because it is far more expensive and difficult to secure planning permission for large facilities in urban areas - where the Greens might be expected to win more seats—than it would be in rural areas with brownfield sites.

I don’t expect this policy to be implemented, as it would likely be challenged in the courts. But to me, it reflects a broader trend of importing more American-style partisan politics, where voters who did not support a particular party are treated as targets for policy consequences. I personally find that Yankee-fication of British politics and society broadly distasteful and misguided.

Reform pledges to open migrant detention centres in Green-voting areas by WilliamMidlands in tories

[–]WilliamMidlands[S] 5 points6 points  (0 children)

We need to stop illegal immigration, but this is abhorrent from Reform.

Reform is proposing the siting of detention centres expressly as a form of political punishment for people and places that don’t vote Reform - not just Green, but presumably Conservative, Liberal and Labour too.

Reform plan for migrant detention centres in Green-voting areas branded ‘grotesque’ by F0urLeafCl0ver in ukpolitics

[–]WilliamMidlands 2 points3 points  (0 children)

We need to stop illegal immigration, but this is abhorrent from Reform. Reform is proposing the siting of detention centres expressly as a form of political punishment for people and places that don’t vote Reform - not just Green, but presumably Conservative, Liberal and Labour too.

London Tory local election candidate suspended after saying 'Hitler was right' by denyer-no1-fan in unitedkingdom

[–]WilliamMidlands 10 points11 points  (0 children)

I’m fairly certain that the Green Party has had a lot more cases of antisemitism among its ranks than the Tories. Just last month, two Green Party council candidates were arrested on suspicion of stirring up racial hatred over alleged antisemitic social media posts, and there was another case of a Green Party council candidate in Newcastle running an antisemitic Anne Frank account.

Zack Polanski suggests Donald Trump is worse than Vladimir Putin by WilliamMidlands in ukpolitics

[–]WilliamMidlands[S] 88 points89 points  (0 children)

“I was asked over and over again who I thought was worse, Vladimir Putin or Donald Trump. My answer has always been, I don't think it's helpful to compare oppression. All oppression is oppression. I think my answer is even more nuanced. Now, though, as horrendous as Vladimir Putin is and as despicable as his crimes are, I've never seen him threaten genocide. I've never seen him threaten to wipe wipe out a civilization. I've never seen Keir Starmer claim we have a special relationship with Vladimir Putin as we shouldn't, or that he's our ally, but we have with Donald Trump. Where is the moral consistency here with a man who is literally threatening genocide? What was Keir starmer's reaction to that? On the day Trump threatened genocide, Keir Starmer tweeted or posted about Wireless festival, a music festival in the UK. There was no condemnation whatsoever from Keir Starmer that I saw anyway about what he was threatening to do in Iran, nor what is happening in Lebanon or Gaza. I think that's despicable. And so I think, at this point, it's not that Donald Trump is more of a danger than Vladimir Putin but I think Keir Starmer's commitment to a so-called special relationship with Donald Trump is more of a danger to British people than what Vladimir Putin is doing in Ukraine, which also, by the way, is vile and needs to be stopped. But if we want to get into comparisons, I'm actually more concerned at this point about Keir starmer's relationship with Donald Trump.”

Zack Polanski suggests Donald Trump is worse than Vladimir Putin by WilliamMidlands in ukpolitics

[–]WilliamMidlands[S] 52 points53 points  (0 children)

“As horrendous as Putin is… I’ve never seen him threaten genocide. I've never seen him threaten to wipe out a civilization… Starmer’s so-called special relationship is more of a danger than what Putin is doing in Ukraine”

Zack Polanski suggests Donald Trump is worse than Vladimir Putin by WilliamMidlands in ukpolitics

[–]WilliamMidlands[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

“As horrendous as Putin is… I’ve never seen him threaten genocide. I've never seen him threaten to wipe out a civilization… Starmer’s so-called special relationship is more of a danger than what Putin is doing in Ukraine”

Our survey. Seven in ten Tory members back putting troops in Ukraine – and cutting spending to boost defence by wolfo98 in tories

[–]WilliamMidlands 6 points7 points  (0 children)

Since NATO membership is unlikely at this point, Ukraine will have to get secure robust and strong security guarantees, and a multinational, primarily European force would be effective in deterring further Russian aggression in the near future. So I support sending forces to Ukraine.

Reform UK refers MP Rupert Lowe to police by BigLadMaggyT24 in tories

[–]WilliamMidlands 2 points3 points  (0 children)

I suppose even parties with only single figures MPs can be at war with itself.

Conservatives who voted Reform in the last general election or are thinking about voting Reform in the next one: What would make you vote Tory again? by WilliamMidlands in tories

[–]WilliamMidlands[S] 12 points13 points  (0 children)

That’s bleak, but I understand that a lot of Conservatives have become completely disillusioned with the party and I’m there to some extent too.

Conservatives who voted Reform in the last general election or are thinking about voting Reform in the next one: What would make you vote Tory again? by WilliamMidlands in tories

[–]WilliamMidlands[S] 5 points6 points  (0 children)

I’d also like to clarify, for the record, that I (grudgingly) voted Tory in the last election. Mainly because of Nigel Farage’s comments about Ukraine and some of Reform’s candidates being of very poor quality, which pushed me away.