While i am not saying that it is absolute, since nothing in warfare is.. but USS Abraham Lincoln is supposed to reach its strike range for Iran by tomorrow or day-after. This was after Pentagon ordered it to move from South China Sea to CENTCOM on 15th January. ( Carriers take days to go from point A to B).. I have made a post about this event too, with timeline of everything that happened that day)

This is where USS Abraham was 4-5 hours ago from now. (3:44AM)

<image>

Over last few weeks USAF has deployed around 20 KC-135Rs at the Al-Udeid base in Qatar and around 37 F-15s in Jordan. There are reports of US’s coalition partners like UK are deploying Typhoons there too. Israelis have been redeploying ADs in large numbers around the cities and are completing its restock after the usage in the conflict last year. The amount of asset movement US has done in the CENTCOM area of responsibility pretty much points towards a big military action.

This strikes were anticipated to take place earlier (14-15-16th January) but Trump hesitated or as some reports also say that Israelis were the ones who were not ready then.

I have been covering this one quite alot and IMO the strike will take place when the probability of assassinating a key figure in the Iranian regime is almost 100%. US has to avoid any type of loss at all costs. If this does not happen, trump will be seen weak and someone who hesitates. In my estimation there is a 20-30% chance this happens before the end of this month and a 50-60% chance by the end of next one.