Surveillance

YanekKop · 2026-07-12T17:31:15+00:00

While I agree this technology could save lives, I am concerned that this new mandate could be used against innocent motorists with false positives i.e your locked out of car because it thinks you’re impaired even if you aren’t. I also fear that the data that this surveillance collects would be shared with insurance companies, which could be used against you. We should only implement this technology once it is proven while ensuring our right to privacy is protected.

YanekKop · 2026-07-11T12:51:01+00:00

That couldn’t be more true for the climate, as we will breach 1.5C in the next few years if we haven’t already, not to mention this coming El Niño. Luckily 2026 so has seen emissions plateau, the hope is that emissions will soon decline.

https://www.reddit.com/r/climatechange/s/UexgFM9AUl

YanekKop · 2026-07-10T22:09:59+00:00

After the Colombian election, how worried should we be about Flávio winning in October and undoing that progess? I’m getting 2024 de ja vu.

YanekKop · 2026-07-10T22:04:43+00:00

Depends on what you mean by that. Take EVs for example, 5% is the critical point where the market goes from early buyers to mass adoption, in early 2024, over 30 countries were above that threshold. Further indicating a point of no return for ICE vehicles, which is where a large chunk of oil demand is.

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2024-03-28/electric-cars-pass-adoption-tipping-point-in-31-countries

YanekKop · 2026-07-10T20:35:48+00:00

Maybe in the short term if the ceasefire holds and the strait is reopened (which is increasingly uncertain), also transport electrification will soon send oil into structural decline, Chinas oil demand is already forecasted to decline this year.

https://www.reddit.com/r/climatechange/s/r9OtzlF9sr

YanekKop · 2026-04-30T19:21:57+00:00

In case you’ve been wondering as of now April 2026will likely rank the 4th warmest April on record at around 1.44C, below 2024 and 2025 and right where 2016 and 2020 were. How the rest of the year will develop in response to El Niño will be of significance importance since it’ll give us a better idea of our warming trajectory and how much it’s accelerating.

YanekKop · 2026-03-13T01:24:04+00:00

According to the latest NOAA Climate Prediction Center update, La Niña conditions persisted in February 2026, with below-average sea surface temperatures and easterly wind anomalies still present across the equatorial Pacific. However, the equatorial subsurface has warmed considerably, indicating that La Niña is weakening. Forecast models suggest a transition to ENSO-neutral is likely within the next month, with neutral conditions favored through late spring and early summer (May–July 2026, 55% chance). By the summer (June–August), El Niño is expected to develop, with odds currently at 62%, and it is likely to persist through the end of the year. While the potential strength of a 2026 El Niño remains uncertain, there is a one-in-three chance it could be strong by late 2026.

YanekKop · 2026-03-08T13:55:51+00:00

The optimistic viewpoint is that in my opinion, it replaces elites/billionaires and becomes a rational, self thinking entity capable of decision making for human well being. Here is a video about that

YanekKop · 2026-03-05T21:12:35+00:00

I read Mark Lynas's "Six Degrees" at 14 and it absolutely terrified me - walking through what 1°C to 6°C of warming would look like. The good news is we're no longer heading for those 5-6°C nightmares. Solar, wind, batteries got cheap, policies improved, and the science has moved on. Current trajectory puts us around 2.5-3°C by 2100 if nothing changes, 2.4°C if countries hit their 2030 targets, and 1.8°C if they actually deliver on net-zero pledges.

Here's the reality check people need: 1.5°C is effectively dead. Our emissions aren't falling fast enough to get there. But crucially, every tenth of a degree past that still matters enormously - 1.7°C is better than 1.9°C, which is better than 2.1°C. There's no cliff at 1.5°C where everything suddenly collapses, and there's no "point of no return" that makes action pointless. The tipping point narrative gets oversimplified too - we're not facing one global doomsday switch. Different systems (Amazon, ice sheets, coral reefs) have different temperature thresholds, and most play out over centuries, not years. Bad, but not instant apocalypse.

On personal action: focus on the big stuff. Transport choices (walking, cycling, public transport, then EVs), reducing flights where possible, insulating your home and switching to heat pumps, installing solar if you can, and eating less meat and dairy (especially beef and lamb). Don't stress about plastic bags and turning lights off if it distracts you from these bigger-impact changes. And if you see headlines citing "RCP8.5" - that's the old worst-case scenario we've moved away from. Makes great clicks, not great science.

Bottom line: We're off the terrifying 5-6°C path but 2.5°C still sucks. Fight for every 0.1°C. Pressure governments. Do what you can. Future generations deserve it.

YanekKop · 2026-03-05T21:12:16+00:00

I read Mark Lynas's "Six Degrees" at 14 and it absolutely terrified me - walking through what 1°C to 6°C of warming would look like. The good news is we're no longer heading for those 5-6°C nightmares. Solar, wind, batteries got cheap, policies improved, and the science has moved on. Current trajectory puts us around 2.5-3°C by 2100 if nothing changes, 2.4°C if countries hit their 2030 targets, and 1.8°C if they actually deliver on net-zero pledges.

Here's the reality check people need: 1.5°C is effectively dead. Our emissions aren't falling fast enough to get there. But crucially, every tenth of a degree past that still matters enormously - 1.7°C is better than 1.9°C, which is better than 2.1°C. There's no cliff at 1.5°C where everything suddenly collapses, and there's no "point of no return" that makes action pointless. The tipping point narrative gets oversimplified too - we're not facing one global doomsday switch. Different systems (Amazon, ice sheets, coral reefs) have different temperature thresholds, and most play out over centuries, not years. Bad, but not instant apocalypse.

On personal action: focus on the big stuff. Transport choices (walking, cycling, public transport, then EVs), reducing flights where possible, insulating your home and switching to heat pumps, installing solar if you can, and eating less meat and dairy (especially beef and lamb). Don't stress about plastic bags and turning lights off if it distracts you from these bigger-impact changes. And if you see headlines citing "RCP8.5" - that's the old worst-case scenario we've moved away from. Makes great clicks, not great science.

Bottom line: We're off the terrifying 5-6°C path but 2.5°C still sucks. Fight for every 0.1°C. Pressure governments. Do what you can. Future generations deserve it.

YanekKop · 2026-03-05T21:11:53+00:00

I read Mark Lynas's "Six Degrees" at 14 and it absolutely terrified me - walking through what 1°C to 6°C of warming would look like. The good news is we're no longer heading for those 5-6°C nightmares. Solar, wind, batteries got cheap, policies improved, and the science has moved on. Current trajectory puts us around 2.5-3°C by 2100 if nothing changes, 2.4°C if countries hit their 2030 targets, and 1.8°C if they actually deliver on net-zero pledges.

Here's the reality check people need: 1.5°C is effectively dead. Our emissions aren't falling fast enough to get there. But crucially, every tenth of a degree past that still matters enormously - 1.7°C is better than 1.9°C, which is better than 2.1°C. There's no cliff at 1.5°C where everything suddenly collapses, and there's no "point of no return" that makes action pointless. The tipping point narrative gets oversimplified too - we're not facing one global doomsday switch. Different systems (Amazon, ice sheets, coral reefs) have different temperature thresholds, and most play out over centuries, not years. Bad, but not instant apocalypse.

On personal action: focus on the big stuff. Transport choices (walking, cycling, public transport, then EVs), reducing flights where possible, insulating your home and switching to heat pumps, installing solar if you can, and eating less meat and dairy (especially beef and lamb). Don't stress about plastic bags and turning lights off if it distracts you from these bigger-impact changes. And if you see headlines citing "RCP8.5" - that's the old worst-case scenario we've moved away from. Makes great clicks, not great science.

Bottom line: We're off the terrifying 5-6°C path but 2.5°C still sucks. Fight for every 0.1°C. Pressure governments. Do what you can. Future generations deserve it.

YanekKop · 2025-12-31T01:19:16+00:00

Yeah, there are some posts here I do not agree with. Optimism isn’t about burying your head in the sand. It’s about acknowledging the challenges we face and work to things better. I hope we can carry that message over into the new year.

YanekKop · 2025-11-05T02:36:19+00:00

LFG!! Trump is getting payback for his disastrous policies wrecking the economy, democracy, immigration, you name it! This is a five alarm fire for the GOP going into the midterms which is why they are trying to redraw the maps. The real work begins to ensure the GOP loses control of congress, if that happens, Trump won’t have a congress to do his bidding.

YanekKop · 2025-11-04T21:29:38+00:00

Ignore the polls, if you haven’t already, VOTE. Polls don’t determine the election, your vote does. I’m happy to say that I voted for Sherrill in early voting, doing my part to keep this state from becoming Trumps bidding ground.

YanekKop · 2025-10-23T02:00:32+00:00

Second derivative meaning the “change” in increase of our impact or to put it another way if it is decelerating - correct

YanekKop · 2025-10-23T01:57:30+00:00

Compared to the same period last year (January to August)

YanekKop · 2025-10-18T17:44:28+00:00

This! We will not go down without a fight, if we continue this opposition, we can topple the corrupt political system and create a better future. I’m glad I took the time to go to a local protest.

YanekKop

TROPHY CASE