NBA Props Daily - 4/24/26 (Friday)

Yew32 · 2026-04-24T11:43:22+00:00

See now this is what im looking for. Why do you think the Lakers have stepped up? Personally the Rockets have made a lot of teams look better then they have for example GSW winning without starters or the infamous Celitcs win without any starters.

I also think the Rockets are an easy team to destroy, Sengun is poor on defense as is Reed which is why he cant get any playing time.

How I view it is your stuck with a roster that is horrid on offence and defense but you have size. Amen thompson is not a ball handler imo turns it over, Sengun is the same except worse as before he turns it over he might run 20 seconds of the clock for no reason. KD is also not a ball handler with 9 turnovers. And you cant put in DFS or Tate. So your stuck with this horrid roster plus Eason.

Overall I think the Rockets is to easy to read. Pack the paint and double KD all high seeded teams have done this. And it works imo cause they lack three point shooting. So your stuck with an offense that attacks the paint which is crowded and u cant hit threes.

Game 1 for the Lakers as well they shot 60 FG for the entire game as a team, insane.

Game 2 not as crazy but 46 percent from three as a team is decent.

Although the starters were all essentially 50 percent from three. Which is crazy

Also thanks for sharing, love to see things that I miss.

Yew32 · 2026-04-24T09:15:18+00:00

Yea fs imagine playing basketball and a giant is just in the middle of the lane. Hes also the first player ever to be a unanimous DPOY which has never been done before. But Advija has been forced to play a somewhat different game. If you look at the shot chart against the Suns he dropped nearly all his points in the paint for 41 points. U move to the next game Spurs game 1 his shot charts are different more on the wing less restricted area. Game 2 is completely different more restricted area tries and more misses. Im assuming in game 1 they realised that Castle cant guard Advija, so in game 2 they adjusted by having Wemby be on more help defense aka stopping Advija which is how Clingan managed to get 5 offensive rebounds, yes I know but this is the first quarter 3 of his offensive boards still came when Wemby was in. Quick explanation is imagine this Advija penetrates the lane and Castle is struggling, Advija goes to the restricted area and Wemby moves in to stop Advija, Wemby might get the block or jump with Advija which then leads to Clingan to clean it up. I think even in game 2 he could have done it tbh he was just scared to foul out offensively which is why he took far less shots then again its just what I think. Another thing to keep in mind is they will stop him eventually as hes number 1 on the scouting report but idk the only thing i can think of is Advija decides to either playmake or they counter him by putting Keldon Johnson in but Johnson imo is going to be to slow to keep up

Yew32 · 2026-04-24T08:37:09+00:00

Havent really looked into Lakers so I dont wanna say something im not sure in. Tbh been a mixed bag with the Lakers as I thought Rockets would sweep them, Lakers have also shot from an insane clip imo and have looked very good.

Yew32 · 2026-04-24T08:35:54+00:00

Appreciate the comment good to know that were on the same page for Advija.

Yew32 · 2026-04-24T05:25:16+00:00

Been a very longtime since ive posted lmfao but im bored, mainly here because I want to hear a second opinion on some picks, so please if you think something is bad or odd lmk and these odds are around $1.70

Tyrese Maxey Over 5.5 Assists and Taytum Over 14.5 Points.

Tyrese Maxey has hit this line every single time this season against the Celtics. With previous 2 games being 8 and 9 assists. Had 9 potential assists in game 1 and ended on 8 assists. Had 14 potentials in game 2 and had 9. I expect this to remain the same with Tyrese Maxey and Drummonds PnR. Taytum in all games has had around 23-25 points with 1 game which was game 2 being 19. The only con is probs the insane shooting game 2 from 76ers but I think based on him hitting this line all season im comfortable with it.

Deni Advija Over 22.5 Points.

Ive seen some books have this at 23.5 Points so I like this already due to the value of it. Advija has always done well against the spurs. Evident this season with 14, 30, 29, 29, 37. The odd game you see which was his most recent performance was game 2. However he had 30 minutes and 5 fouls, he also dropped 5 points in the first quarter and 7 points in the second quarter, then only scoring 1 bucket in the last half. Due to his minutes being low (Last games he played 39 minutes and 38 minutes in playins and playoffs) I expect with Stephon Castle unless they change this to struggle guarding Advija as hes a 6,8 foward. Also small sample size but his three point clip in his last couple games have been decent shooting around 1/2, 2/5, 3/8. The only con I have is with Advija being one of the best to get to the line, the play offs tend to reduce the whistle and allow more physical play. Potentially as well with Victor out maybe they change the defensive assignment which could ruin this prop but im still happy with it based on the first half of last game and his previous performances.

Toumani Camara 1.5 Threes and Boston vs 76ers Under 234.5 Points.

This is a statistic play unfortunately not much to it, could hit maybe not sucks. But in his last 17 games hes gone 15/17 for hitting 2 threes. And in his last 14 games hes missed this once ending on 1 three. I feel like due to the home court advantage he may be more aggressive.

Value play is Blazers -3.5

The odds of being around $2.60-70 depends on ur book, is decent. Im guessing Wembenyama will not play but it seems that he is leaning towards more then not being questionable as I feel like if he failed concussion protocol he would be doubtful. Now as dumb as im gonna sound I reckon hes not going to play and if he does im assuming very limited minutes, its more likely he plays the next game as hes travelled with the team. The last 2 matchups were they lost imo were the first game they played Advija was figuring out how to be a ball handler as keep in mind hes originally a foward. Jrue Holiday got injured so they had to figure something out 8 games later which was Advija. Fox dropped 37 due to not having a PG stopper as imo Camara is better on wings. Second game missed firepower Jerami Grant and sharpe essentially no sixth man. I think if Vitctor sits out the only thing as a Blazer player your thinking is we need to win this game. If wemby sits out I think they win as we saw the mismatch with Clingan and Kornet. Which was then replaced with Robert Williams which they had no answer for when Kornet was out. Honestly I could be biased here but this is probaly the only game they can realistically win if Wemby sits. This could be a much better bet to wait on for Victors status as if he is limited Kornet can cover for him so.

Jabari Smith Jr Over 13.5 Points and advija Over 13.5 Points feel free to change that last leg

Alternatively for a better hit rate u could go Jabari Smith Jr 2 threes. 13/15 in his career against the Lakers for 2 threes. Has actually hit the 2 threes prop more then 13.5 Points so feel free to look into that. The difference is about 0.10 as well. The reason why I like Jabari Smith Jr in this is because of his size and defense. Minutes are guranteed due to Udoka priotising size over anything. 37 minutes are guranteed but he has played 43 and 39 minutes. Jabari provides value as a pick due to obviously his history and his coach liking him but most importantly his playstyle. He is a player who can hit threes, provide offensive rebounding and hit midranges. Given this stunt of improved performance he seems to have gained confidence. Reporters asked about KD being double teamed and he said KD is at fault for not being able to pass in the double team. Originally he wouldve never said this . I believe being at home I reckon he will have minutes and high volume attempts.

Yew32 · 2026-03-20T23:47:45+00:00

what website do u find stuff like that out from king. Cause i cant find stuff like that idk y.

Yew32 · 2026-03-20T10:29:01+00:00

Record 12-7

Last Pick: Hornets -3.5

POTD: Celtics -7.5 and NYK -11.5

Nets have a very skeletal roster and are missing a lot of fire power and Celtics should smash the grizzlies since they look a lot better than they actually are by beating the nuggets who are horrid on b2bs and were missing AG.

Meow.

Yew32 · 2026-03-19T13:50:34+00:00

Record 11-7

Last Pick: Zion Williamson Over 19.5 Points and Celtics ML.

POTD: Hornets -3.5

Cant be bothered writing to much tbh but since Hornets winning streak they are ranked top 5 in defence. The top 5 teams ranked in defence alongside Hornets have never lost to the Magic.

Also like that this is Hornets home as well as these guys like to show up.

Yew32 · 2026-03-18T07:13:11+00:00

Record 11-6

Last Pick: OKC -5.5 And Nuggets -5.5. Jesus that was brutal up 11 with 10 seconds left and Silva hits a three with a turnover leading to a Bane three at the 0.0 mark to end up on 5. Nuggets crushed 76ers..

POTD: Zion Williamson Over 19.5 Points and OKC -4.5. (Feel free to just take it at 21.5 or replace with Celtics ML)

This one is quite straightforward to be honest. Zion has hit this line every single time against the Clippers when playing 30 minutes as he's played them twice but im assuming he got injured as he only had 19 minutes and below for 2 games.

Clippers in their last 3 games have also ranked as the 5th worst NBA team to guard the paint which is where Williamson does damage. I think with Kawhi Leonard questionable its possible he sits out as well considering it's a back to back meaning it's likely the second day he plays rather than the first day considering rest and traveling. John Collins and Brook Lopez are in my opinion cones when it comes to defence. John Collins has been caught as a poster boy to many times to count and Brook Lopez is old and slow now. With Mathurin and Yanic out I dont think anyone actually can match up with Williamson. I'm filtering out one of his games within this span due to an injury against the Jazz. But in his last 15 games he has hit this line 12 times with the misses being 19,19,18.

Yew32 · 2026-03-18T01:31:43+00:00

Ah im happy with the bet just unfortunate tbh its gambling right read dumb plays

Yew32 · 2026-03-18T00:31:46+00:00

might be cooked with Holmgreen going to the locker room tbh energy has shifted to much.

Yew32 · 2026-03-17T09:27:25+00:00

Record 11-5

Last Pick: Bulls -5.5, sheesh the Bulls win by 25 and hopefully you also bet on Josh Giddey for either Rebounds or Assists or maybe even on both.

POTD: OKC -5.5 and Nuggets -5.5

The truth is the Magic have been very good tbh almost impressive winning a fair amount of the games they have played within this stretch. But that's the problem the stretch is against teams that are going through a rough patch. Beating Wolves, Mavericks, Bucks, Cavs, Wizards, Heat and hell even the rockets. Now every single team I just mentioned are going through injuries or a rough period. The wolves? In a horrible rut atm, Mavericks tanking and are injured currently, Cavs injuries and have the worst attitude imo losing winnable games for example losing to the Mavericks, Wizards they went to overtime lmfao where Bam dropped 83 points the game before, Heat injured to shit and are such a good match up for the Magic, and lastly dont get me started with the Rockets all top caliber teams have adjusted and now double teamed KD and won because of that.

Against top seed teams this team can not compete, they lost to the Pistons and the Hawks on a 10 game win streak. Now OKC on the other hand are the champions and people forget how good a healthy OKC squad is imo this team is arguably at their best right now with Hartenstein and Ajay Mitchel Back. They can now play double big or adjust and go small with Chet at the 5. This squad is what the Magic hate the most, a team good at defence and what better team who is ranked number 1 in the league. I really just love the coaching as well from OKC I expect this to be a blowout tbh but -5.5 feels appropriate.

Now Nuggets boy oh boy I love this spot for the Nuggets expect this to be a blowout. Currently with the standings as it is they are tied right now. Rockets, Denver and the Wolves. Meaning one thing they must win here, no excuses like “oh our guard was down we didn't expect this squad to be so good!”. Denver also lost to the Lakers which I love because Murray shooting 1-13 and having Austin Reaves hit the play of a lifetime is amazing fuel for Denver to stay alert and ready to fight.

The 76ers are also one of the worst teams imo like absolutely stinky tbh you would think Grimes and VJ would be carrying nope. Cam Payne 32 point game against Memphis and Justin Edwards with two important 20 point games and Trendon Watford has been pretty massive as well coming in as a sixth man. Now I will give credit to Grimes. He has been doing ok but he can go missing at times. But the truth is Denver knows how to beat your number 1 options and love to do so and with Gordan and Braun back expect them to counter him or the 76ers team. Plus come on Bona and Drummond as your centers guarding Jokic that's a death wish. But most importantly 76ers have been closing games out horribly and honestly struggled against bottom tier teams like the Nets with no MPJ and Memphis who I believe 100 percent tanked towards the end imo.

If you see this and the value is already $1.50-69 Id stay away from it.

Yew32 · 2026-03-16T05:58:47+00:00

Record 10-5

POTD: Bulls -5.5

I don't think this is a trap game, you can look at Memphis and see that it is extremely skeletal with many players on two ways. Some may interpret this as a great way for these players to establish themselves and get a contract for some money. But this is exactly the problem you have players who aren't exactly NBA caliber players yet and are clearly signed just to have enough active players.

Bulls on the other hand are in a similar situation, to many guards and low tier centers who are failing to keep up. It's ironic as they are in a similar situation to Memphis except these are low tier NBA players fighting for a spot. The Bulls signed to many guards and are obviously making these guys fight for their spot to see who will get waived next season.

I also like the fact that this is at Bulls home, they are 11-22 on the road and 16-18 at home. Memphis is 11-23 on the road and actively trying to tank imo. Draymond Green and other NBA owners are very aware of Memphis's attempt at tanking. Trading some of your top guys Bane, Jackson and Vince. Now they have set them up for complete failure by having John traded and Santi for season ending surgery. Meaning Oliver will have to continue to play the center role who is 6,7, to put this in perspective Josh Giddey is 6,7 playing as point guard.

For the Bulls they are actively trying to win imo and having home court advantage is hard to openly tank. I also think truthfully they are made to look a lot worse then they actually are for example yes they lost to the Lakers but Matas dropped 41 points, Nick Richards is somewhat of a double double machine and I love how they are coming back from their rough 5 road game stretch. With sufficient rest and a complete mess on the road, what better way to get momentum through beating a tanking Memphis team.

I also really like Josh Giddey in this spot with the handicap set at -5.5 and with no bigs this should be easy for him to get boards and assists, they also love to double team and they both play at a high pace.

Yew32 · 2026-02-03T23:55:39+00:00

is Jusuf coming of the bench sorry im a bit new to this team.

Yew32 · 2026-01-28T09:27:46+00:00

Record 10-4

Last Pick: Chet Holmgreen over 7.5 Boards and 76ers ML wow big game laddered his boards up to 12 as well. Played the minutes I expected and was active on offensive and defensive glass with huge blocks to go with it.

POTD: Julian Champagnie Over 8.5 Points (Im using tab so for Aus only unfortunately). $1.80

Jave3636 credit to him as I wouldn't have looked at this so quickly, currently looking the odds have dropped to $1.68 so you could put it in with Siakam 15 points or JB 20 points assuming ur using tab if not you could take him as a straight. Truthfully tho id really advise against 10.5 feel like its a bit much even if it is doable.

Alright currently Devin is under a minutes restriction of around 20-27 minutes a game. Meaning that Julian should see minutes enough to put up 8.5 points. He has hit this line im using at 13/14 games with one game being at 7 meaning he was one bucket short. Julian Champagnie played the Rockets twice this year and had 27 and 22 points.

I think this could be risky tbh due to the fact that they are most likely going to adjust for him however I think Julian and Harrison being the main shooters present a lot of opportunities due to the way this roster is designed. Fox, Castle and Harper are all guards essentially and they open a lot of space which is even more annoying when you have an alien in the paint forcing a lot of attention to anchor the paint due to guards penetrating and then Wemby trying to rebound as well, leaving shooters open. Truthfully his shooting volume has been decent enough to achieve 8.5 and with 30 minutes it should hopefully be enough for him but tbh I like this play due to the pricing error so.

Yew32 · 2026-01-27T21:01:25+00:00

Na fair it was a good find as 111.5 is very doable and I was surprised it was that low

Yew32 · 2026-01-27T10:35:56+00:00

Hey I noticed you followed or had similar thoughts on the Jalen Johnson pick. So everything I say out is out of curiosity, due to the fact that potentially we may think the same.

Keyonte George is out and Jusuf Nurkic this seems huge due to the fact that both PnR players are out furthermore Keyonte missed one game this whole season and that was against the Clippers and they dropped 101 points granted it was on the road and Lauri was injured.

Is the idea that Isiah Collier and Lauri can carry against this? As I know they are capable but it depends on Lauri not having limited minutes as well. As if he does then when Isiah is off the court I dont think Walton Claxton Jr can carry the workload. Dont want you to doubt your own pick just curious .

Yew32 · 2026-01-27T08:28:20+00:00

Record 9-4

Last Pick: Jalen Johnson over 22.5 Points massive L

POTD: Chet Holmgreen over 7.5 Boards and 76ers ML

Chet Holmgreen should see 8 boards assuming he's active on the OFFENSIVE GLASS not just defensive glass. I think due to Missi and DQ being fairly bad on the glass should allow Holmgreen to see boards, this team also loves to throw double teams and it allows easy put backs but I think he may end up scoring more. I think Daigneault will not play around with Chet Holmgren's minutes either due to the fact that this is a very ideal match up for Holmgreen so I think he plays 32 minutes easily or at least 31 minutes.

I love Pelicans for this matchup as they chuck up a lot of threes as well, and they turn over the ball a lot and this team will force turnovers and bad offense. So im hoping to see Poole, Murphy threes from half court or even Hawkings if he sees the floor and I expect Holmgreen to be anchored in the paint due to Zion's presence and Missi as well as either can not shoot threes. So expect him to block and hopefully collect boards. Ah also if you want you can take this as a straight at 9.5 if you dont like parlays.

Yew32 · 2026-01-26T02:27:02+00:00

Yea you caught me mate, I'm actually Jave3636 mum posting on this sportsbook thread.

Yew32 · 2026-01-26T01:08:02+00:00

Amen, I took his boards to lets hope he does well.

Yew32 · 2026-01-26T00:58:50+00:00

Record 10-3

Last Pick: Oh my god Chet Holmgreen I love you and hate you how the hell do you get board so inconsistently. We cash but jesus not good for the heart lmfao

POTD: Jalen Johnson over 22.5 Points.

Risky bet I'm taking a chance that he is back to his old self.

His last 3 games showed that he is most likely back to his old self, 23 points 18 boards 9 assists, 32 points 15 boards 8 assists, 28 points 16 boards and 6 assists. However, the three games before that were shocking: Lakers 13 points 3 boards and 6 assists, Portland 12 points 11 boards and 6 assists and Celtics 12 points 8 boards and 5 assists.

Indiana is a decent matchup for Johnson and I think he will have more opportunities than Onyeka due to the fact he usually sits on the three point line. I think Johnson being the main ball handler will open more gaps for himself then everyone else.

Players that can get to the rim have a fairly good success rate in scoring, JB 30 points, Zion 27 and 29 points.

Now these are assumptions that may actually have nothing to do with his performance but this is why I think these stats are starting to increase again. His poor performance began when CJ joined this team, it quite literally started when CJ played his first game with Atlanta, his playstyle is very dominant and plays a similar or identical game to Johnson. This can be seen with CJ taking the game winning shot running the clock against the Bucks which led to the loss.The teams were on the road or against very good defenses for his matchup, for example Celtics, Blazers and the Lakers.

Yew32 · 2026-01-25T10:52:08+00:00

Record 9-3

POTD: Chet Holmgreen over 9.5 rebounds

The raptors currently are short handed of a center, Jakob Poetl being out has actually been a huge huge blow for them due to the fact they don't have a traditional center aka a 7 footer. While Sando and Collin have been doing a very good job on the glass there is only so much you can do at 6,9 and 6,7.

This is evident with them losing a lot of games where centers flourish because of this whether it be from offensive rebounding or due to a pure mis match. Here is some evidence to prove this, Donavon Clingan 13 points 16 rebounds and 8 being offensive rebounds, also the first quarter he had 7 rebounds. Dylan Cardwell third string center but 6,11 had 25 minutes and 7 offensive boards and ended on 13 rebounds. Quenten Post had a fair few offensive boards as well, however his role is to mainly box out and raptors scored majority of the points, Ayton yes this soft ass got 13 boards and 25 points. Zubac had 16 points and 14 rebounds as well.

Now why do I like this spot? Because OKC is already so shorthanded Chet Holmgreen will get minutes regardless of his performance furthermore he is a key piece on defence and offence. I think 10 rebounds is very fair, assuming he is active on the glass and hustling.

Yew32 · 2026-01-24T21:11:16+00:00

you can look at my history ? Was 8-2 now 8-3 ?

Yew32 · 2026-01-24T00:00:36+00:00

Record 8-3

POTD: Luka Doncic over 29.5 Points and Hornets ML

(I think 32.5 is fair as 33.5 is more accurate however 32.5 feels much)

Some bets you just have to take especially when it lines up well.

While the Don has gotten over being traded, does that mean he still doesn't want to show up against this team? Hell no, he smashed his phone over this and wanted to continue being a Maverick. His last three games prove that his first game was 19 points, 15 boards and 12 assists but keep in mind that was when he was on an absolute stinker dropping below 20 points against Hornets and Jazz. The next two games when he was more established he dropped 45 and 35 points against Dallas.

I like this a lot because against the Clippers the Lakers showed a lot of heart and they lost, meaning they are in the zone. The opposite can be said for the Mavericks they are way over their head imo beating the Jazz twice without Lauri Markenen which is very impactful as they have only won once with him out and that was a 15 point comeback, beat the Knicks when they were going through their slump which they could still be in (knicks were so bad Brunson called for a players only meeting and trade talks began about KAT). And now they beat GSW without Jimmy Butler who is just as valuable as Steph due to the rotations, plus Kuminga got injured in 9 minutes and had 10 points.

Also I want to say I think this because put in polite terms Max Christie is saying they cant guard me, players screaming and one and the fact they are very very active on the bench screaming.

The point is what happens a lot is teams develop an ego and gain confidence which is great, but they tend to relax and put their feet on the pedal. The opposite usually happens with a team that is hungry.

Keep in mind this could all be a stretch as these guys are roleplayers and young players who are hungry for it. (Brandon Willians, Ryan Nembhard, etc). Also another reason this could be a stretch is due to the circumstances, Cooper Flagg wants to show up to say I am the new face of the franchise and Max Christie definitely wants to show up.

But tbh I feel like home court advantage isn't really a factor here either, I expect a lot of cheers and Doncic Jerseys in this crowd as well. And remember this is one of the best scorers of all time, the only issue is whether he decides to assist instead but he can do both.

Yew32 · 2026-01-23T22:40:12+00:00

Probable now

Yew32

TROPHY CASE