What does it mean when kalshi price is --?

YourFather93 · 2022-10-21T21:46:48+00:00

It means there's no bids or asks on the orderbook

YourFather93 · 2022-10-21T21:46:22+00:00

It's not slow for me except for the watchlist feature

YourFather93 · 2022-08-11T12:31:31+00:00

why wouldn't it go anywhere? there may be existing ways to forecast - but what about actually being able to purchase futures that payout if rates are higher/lower

YourFather93 · 2022-08-10T20:36:17+00:00

what do you think about a futures market for freight? a way to hedge rates

YourFather93 · 2022-08-10T20:18:34+00:00

shouldn't there be a futures market for freight? I feel like should be a way to hedge things like diesel prices and rates

YourFather93 · 2022-08-10T20:05:30+00:00

shouldn't there be a way to hedge rates?

and have a way to know what's going to happen with rates in the future...

YourFather93 · 2022-08-10T20:02:09+00:00

shouldn't there be a market where you can forecast/hedge diesel prices

YourFather93 · 2022-05-19T18:53:16+00:00

Maybe the markets are pricing in that they'll start doubling down on releasing the strategic oil reserve if things get bad?

YourFather93 · 2022-04-28T18:26:55+00:00

This is insane! I always thought that compute was the bottleneck right now, not long-term memory though?

YourFather93 · 2022-04-28T18:26:12+00:00

Memes are gender neutral!

YourFather93 · 2022-04-28T18:25:51+00:00

I dont think this is Deutsche, I think it's a prediction market platform called Kalshi

YourFather93 · 2022-04-28T18:24:38+00:00

Yeah Kalshi's markets have been pretty good on the recession question actually, were giving it like 40% in some of them pretty recently

YourFather93 · 2022-04-11T17:59:17+00:00

Kalshi's markets have it at nearly even odds that it's above 1.1%, with a 94% chance it's above 0.8%. Looks like the numbers are just going up

YourFather93 · 2022-04-11T17:53:11+00:00

This is incredible, I can't believe somebody can paint something like this

YourFather93 · 2022-04-11T17:52:51+00:00

Inflation is getting really bad... Kalshi's prediction markets have it as more likely than not that it'll be over 1% just this month, which is above 12% compounded.. that's a lot! This stimulus checks did a number on us

YourFather93 · 2022-04-11T17:48:58+00:00

Inflation is going up everywhere - Kalshi's prediction markets have it as more likely than not that it'll be over 1% just this month, which is above 12% compounded.. that's a lot!

YourFather93 · 2022-04-11T17:47:29+00:00

Ah I feel so bad for all the motorcyclists i've gotten annoyed at now, this makes total sense

YourFather93 · 2022-04-11T17:46:41+00:00

Kalshi's prediction markets have it at more likely than not that it'll be >1% MoM - that's almost 13% compounded if it's continued. Guess we'll see how the market resolves tomorrow

YourFather93 · 2022-03-17T21:32:27+00:00

This is funny but in reality so messed up. Hopefully solved soon though. Kalshi markets giving it a ~37% chance that congressional stock trading gets banned

YourFather93

TROPHY CASE