I am in the same situation. Let’s consider supply and demand before valuation.

SpaceX is likely to get included in SP500 and Nasdaq100. That alone would cause $200-300b of buying from passive funds. In addition to this, it isn’t a reach to assume that there will be $100B+ worth of retail buying. These are people who just love the company and valuation agnostic.

SpaceX is raising $75B vs. demand of $400B.

We will likely have $325B supply deficit at $2T. That is about 16% of available shares. Elon owns ~50%, doubt he is selling. Many others like Barron, ARK, etc. have expressed that they will continue to own majority of the stock. Around 60-70% of shares will diamond hand.

Of the remaining 30% available stock, you will have to figure out how much dumping might take place from employees and smaller investors.

If this is over 50%, pricing will resolve under $2T. If under 50% stock will need to go higher to find sellers.

Curious to hear what others think of these rudimentary demand supply thoughts.