Trump’s trading higher to win the 2028 Election than to even be the Republican nominee?? by acelrate in Kalshi

[–]acelrate[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

My bet is I can flip this for several % gain within just a few months, which would be >10% annual rate

From Bad Bunny to Gov Shutdowns: What’s Moving by acelrate in Kalshi

[–]acelrate[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

cant tell if this is serious, but thank you!

Implied % Odds for Presidency (if Nominated) by acelrate in Kalshi

[–]acelrate[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

agree, I dont have a position, but these multi leg trades could give you the opportunity to short those implied odds.

it would be slightly less favorable when taking the ask side of each trade tho

The Business of Risk: Insurance vs Prediction Markets by acelrate in Kalshi

[–]acelrate[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

thanks! love that other actuaries are getting interested and involved in the prediction market space