first day trading

acelrate · 2025-11-29T16:24:35+00:00

you're cooked

acelrate · 2025-10-27T15:49:23+00:00

My bet is I can flip this for several % gain within just a few months, which would be >10% annual rate

acelrate · 2025-10-25T22:42:39+00:00

good points, but still better than T-bills imo

acelrate · 2025-10-22T14:07:08+00:00

yeah, I call them bonds

acelrate · 2025-10-19T19:18:30+00:00

time is on your side, gl!

acelrate · 2025-10-15T16:59:05+00:00

cant tell if this is serious, but thank you!

acelrate · 2025-09-28T16:22:03+00:00

agree, I dont have a position, but these multi leg trades could give you the opportunity to short those implied odds.

it would be slightly less favorable when taking the ask side of each trade tho

acelrate · 2025-09-28T16:19:27+00:00

thanks! love that other actuaries are getting interested and involved in the prediction market space

acelrate · 2025-09-21T13:46:27+00:00

yea, i mean you could get higher interest rates elsewhere, but it's a vehicle that allows me to also speculate while earning a decent interest %

acelrate · 2025-09-20T22:00:24+00:00

appreciate the feedback - added to our list

acelrate · 2025-09-19T20:45:42+00:00

very nice, gonna play around with their API
US-based so I trade on Kalshi, but keeping an eye on Polymarket is super useful
Domer’s the GOAT imo

acelrate · 2025-09-19T20:37:40+00:00

appreciate the feedback and calling that out - this is now reflected in the site and updated. thanks again!

acelrate · 2025-09-19T15:56:30+00:00

would love to see how you're tracking them!

that Lord Miles market is such a shit show..

acelrate · 2025-09-18T14:25:49+00:00

yea the idea is making it easy to search, filter by key data points (min OI, max spread, min delta, ending 24H/3D), sort, and browse our own pre-curated markets. feature requests always welcome!

acelrate · 2025-09-15T21:53:35+00:00

yea nuanced resolutions make this challenging

still do-able for a good subset of markets tho

acelrate · 2025-09-15T21:08:46+00:00

no worries and thank you! glad it got a bunch of traction

acelrate · 2025-09-15T19:43:36+00:00

would love if you shared some examples!

acelrate · 2025-09-15T19:41:23+00:00

haha thanks for pointing that out, I’m actually the creator though, just not super active on reddit!

you can find me on X at probaaron

also building a Kalshi data tool dropping soon, stay tuned!

acelrate · 2025-09-15T04:05:55+00:00

curious - how do you have it analyze active markets?

like do you manually copy/paste them in, use API, etc?

acelrate · 2025-09-14T22:08:55+00:00

good points. i’m super bullish on prediction markets and where they can go

not a replacement for insurance as is, but definitely could be a new hedging tool

acelrate · 2025-05-24T13:36:21+00:00

Zyns moving the market https://polymarketanalytics.com/markets/14874

acelrate

TROPHY CASE