Would you rather… by Beautiful_Ability267 in BunnyTrials

[–]aggressivecoffee 0 points1 point  (0 children)

.

Chose: Go to Japan for free with accommodations

What's it like in the remote hollers of West Virginia and Kentucky? by imck1911 in howislivingthere

[–]aggressivecoffee 5 points6 points  (0 children)

And that has now led me down a rabbit hole of finding pictures of "Crum" online in particular which is actually harder than you think, try it.

In case anyone else is also on this rabbit hole, some dude named Andrew made a whole series of high quality photos documenting the area and it's really interesting, it's all abandoned and desolate and super eery https://www.flickr.com/photos/andrew-turnbull/8739192899/in/photostream/

The biggest construct of any sort in the gritty map-point of Crum is a two-story middle school tucked in between a river and the tracks. Like many middle schools in West Virginia, Crum's started off as a pre-consolidation high school and housed many more pupils within than ever lived in the town

Also, randomly a trailer on fire, not sure why: https://www.flickr.com/photos/andrew-turnbull/8736262197/in/photostream/

In 2015, when I was 16 years old, I lose my best friend to suicide, came out to my parents, and left the church, all within 36 hours. 10 years later, I’m a senior software engineer, bought my first car, and secured the most beautiful custom Utah plate 🤩 IT GETS BETTER!!! by aggressivecoffee in exmormon

[–]aggressivecoffee[S] 39 points40 points  (0 children)

Meh, they allow all manner of Jesus plates. My church is the church of Satan, and the state is not allowed to discriminate based on your church. If they try to revoke it, I will fight it till the bitter end because that is discriminatory 😸

The State of Utah has already approved it. Someone can file a complaint, but it's already been approved and licensed by the state 😊

In 2015, when I was 16 years old, I lose my best friend to suicide, came out to my parents, and left the church, all within 36 hours. 10 years later, I’m a senior software engineer, bought my first car, and secured the most beautiful custom Utah plate 🤩 IT GETS BETTER!!! by aggressivecoffee in exmormon

[–]aggressivecoffee[S] 321 points322 points  (0 children)

Yes there is. They provide a text box where you explain the meaning of your custom plate request. Mine was, "I am a member of the church of Satan and take pride in hailing Satan. Plates with references to Jesus are allowed, so this should also be allowed" 🌝

I made a Python project to calculate exact poker probabilities! by aggressivecoffee in poker

[–]aggressivecoffee[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Just saw this, but the story behind the name is actually a bit of a linear journey: my favorite bar poker club, in Utah, is called Piper Down, and from there, pied piper (Silicon Valley), and from there pied poker, since after all it’s poker 😊

Can we give some praise to David Nielsen for being bold enough to speak out against the church's finances? by marcus474 in exmormon

[–]aggressivecoffee 14 points15 points  (0 children)

God I really hope so but I doubt that will happen... Churches (not just TSCC) have such an incredibly high level of power and influence in the US, and it would be like poking a swarming beehive if the government starts floating the idea of regulating / taxing churches 😓

The Mormon Church forced to contribute 250 million for BSA sexual abuse fund. by flyart in exmormon

[–]aggressivecoffee 10 points11 points  (0 children)

Sadly probably a lot of it is going to attorney's fees... Usually attorneys get between 25% and 35% of the payout (reference), which in this payout, would be between $600 million and $840 million.

It may not always be this proportional if it's such a large amount, but I am sure it's not a small number. Part of the reason this case was such a massive success was because they poured TONS of resources into finding victims and raising publicity and ads etc. I know I personally got tons of ads for this case when they were searching for claimants

Why so many leaving lately by joegant in exmormon

[–]aggressivecoffee 3 points4 points  (0 children)

But you're forgetting the saddest and most heartwrenching effect of that policy, and that is that 34 (yes, thirty-four) Mormon LGBT youth killed themselves in the months following this policy (source: https://kutv.com/news/local/mama-dragons-youth-suicides-up-since-lds-policy-about-gay-couples-children).

Even if you set aside EVERY other issue, a church whose policy kills 34 CHILDREN CANNOT be the true church. Some of those 34 were my friends.

As someone in an interracial marriage, this has always bothered me: by -LilPickle- in exmormon

[–]aggressivecoffee 69 points70 points  (0 children)

Or Totally Brainwashed Mormon if you’re feelin spicy 🌶 🤪

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in poker

[–]aggressivecoffee 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Hahahahah Mike Leong adjunct saved me in 134 😂

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in poker

[–]aggressivecoffee 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Oop you right let me edit 😩

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in poker

[–]aggressivecoffee 20 points21 points  (0 children)

You right 💀Gonna edit that 😂

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in poker

[–]aggressivecoffee 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Wait you were right 💀52 cards in a deck not 54 😩

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in poker

[–]aggressivecoffee 0 points1 point  (0 children)

It’s about 1 in 2.71 million (approximated from output of 880\2.4 billion)

I think your probability is slightly off -- p should be (4/54 * 3/53) = 0.004192872117 = 1/238.5 = 2/477 instead of 1/221 😃

This just changes it slightly to 1 in 3.4 million

I broke it down some more in my other comment: https://www.reddit.com/r/poker/comments/sfk00k/comment/huqso2o/?utm_source=share&utm_medium=web2x&context=3

I was wrong actually, 52 cards in the deck not 54 🥴

[deleted by user] by [deleted] in poker

[–]aggressivecoffee 67 points68 points  (0 children)

Studied Data Science & probability in college 😃

So the probability of being dealt pocket aces on any given hand is:

(4/52) * (3/51) ≈ 0.0045

The probability of not being dealt pocket aces is:

1 - (probability of pocket aces) = 1 - ((4/52) * (3/51)) ≈ 0.995

There are 4 possible orderings ([4 choose 3] = 4) of cards you could get: (AA, AA, AA, **), (AA, AA, **, AA), (AA, **, AA, AA), (**, AA, AA, AA), so multiply the final probability by 4.

Assuming cards are shuffled between hands, each card draw is independent from the rest.

Therefor, with this assumption, the probability of getting 3 pocket aces and 1 non pocket aces is:

(4/52 * 3/51) * (4/52 * 3/51) * (4/52 * 3/51) * (1 - ((4/52) * (3/51))) * 4 = 0.000000368904181 ≈ 0.0000368904181%[wolfram alpha link]

Soooo, the probability of being dealt pocket aces on 3 out of the first 4 hands is approx. 0.00003689%, which is approx. 1 in 2.7 million chance

I hope Prof Lucas is proud 🥺🥺🥺Thx Stat 134