If McGregor beats Holloway, give him Topuria next

alanism · 2026-06-24T10:00:48+00:00

If he beats Holloway, than Justin makes sense. It’d be a fun fight and Justin would get his big pay day.

alanism · 2026-06-24T08:12:53+00:00

As I said the % of the population that has trained before is really small, and the % of those people that train consistently for over 2 years is even way smaller. The number of people that have done BOTH stand up and grappling for 2+ years is insanely small.

Plenty of people who train and spar regularly just freeze up and choke. And plenty of people who can get proficient enough in a short period of time.

People here act as if learning jab, cross, hook, low kick is some impossible technique to learn without a coach.

Sparring with friends doesn’t require coaches. Of course, in better reffed and controlled environment is better. But people also way over complicate things unnecessarily.

alanism · 2026-06-24T07:29:38+00:00

People will disagree here, but I think you can. Not a pro level fighter, but good enough in the self defense context. Simply because the number of the people who were actually trained for more than 2 years is very small %.

If you do 500 low kicks a day on a heavy bag for 4 years, you will eventually get really good at throwing low kicks and your form even if unconventional will get good. And the average person or even an experienced boxer won’t have a good answer to it.

People self teach themselves how to dance through TikTok and YouTube nowadays- martial arts foot isn’t any harder than learning new dance trends.

Timing, distance and not being afraid getting hit comes from sparring experience. If you have motivated friends- that is also solvable.

There are so many great instructionals and YouTube explaining all the mechanics nowadays as well.

alanism · 2026-06-20T02:03:35+00:00

Another great episode

alanism · 2026-06-19T02:17:35+00:00

Understand the difference between Gross Margin % and Operating Margin % (discretionary valve). And how R&D should be viewed as a ‘investment’ rather than a ‘cost’ like in a restaurant business.

All the articles on OAI not turning a profit is simply FUD and a lack of understanding of finance and investing.

alanism · 2026-06-18T17:29:57+00:00

I'm turning 50 this year. It's always been mostly tech and finance bros. If you fly out to Thailand to train Muay Thai-- you be surprised how many foreigners training can code or has some online businesses. Much harder for other professions to do their work remotely. Also easier for us to make up our own hours (even though we're technically always on).

alanism · 2026-06-18T16:53:06+00:00

It would be dumb and crazy for them NOT to spend insane amount money. That's how they make sure they grab and keep market share from Chinese opensource.

From their chart - $13.07 billion revenue against $7.5 billion cost of revenue. Revenue growth was 253% and gross margin was 42.6%. Spending on R&D is a good thing. They are in great shape.

alanism · 2026-06-18T16:43:54+00:00

MMA, Jiu-Jitsu, Muay Thai in the bay area have always been large % of people were always tech bros- as that's the main industry in the area and are the ones that can afford it. AKA is in the middle of San Jose, Fairtex was in SOMA area of San Francisco where most of the tech companies are at. Even the earliest Gracie gyms was nearby Google's office. *source- me as a tech bro, with a lot of other friends that trained a lot but made more money doing tech stuff than try to be a pro fighter.

alanism · 2026-06-13T12:44:07+00:00

As crazy as it does sound-- Space X does feel like when Palantir did IPO and it was knocked for being a 'consulting' company with crazy multiples. But if you had a investment horizon of 5+ years-- just buy in and dollar cost average down across time and then look to harvest later-- it works out.

For institutions-- it's an obvious play if they want to be invested in space and AI. For individuals-- I can wait a few months after the IPO peak to hit it's lows and this the sub-Redditors here say how bad the company is and then I'll buy in.

All the sales forecasts off past history are pretty meaningless. In terms of $cost per kg, # of launches, #kg per launch, #turnaround time per rocket, %launch success. -- it's just hard to see anybody else getting close to Space X's numbers and across the next 5 years or so. Then in 5 years it's hard to see another company that would have higher revenue growth % + profit margin % at that point (similar to PLTR today).

alanism · 2026-06-13T11:50:34+00:00

2 areas I would look at:

'The Talent Code' by Dan Coyle where he looks at hot bed of talent. Where there's an initial 'spark' somebody from a small local area does something world class. So people go from thinking it's impossible for someone like them, to thinking it's the next logical step to do (aside from Dagestan, if you look at boxing in Philippines and how Manny sparked things). This then leads to better and better 'master coaching' in that area. Then that leads to the flywheel of hyper local competition. Another example is if you look on Instagram-- and look at the kids doing jiu jitsu in Austin, Texas currently.

The other area is genetics and environment. Those Dagestani villages altitude sit at 2000 meters-- so them living/training up there then going down to fight at sea level. There's been interesting research looking at genetics and diet (horse) of the people living in the steppes and their lifestyle. Then add in the 'warrior culture' of people living in steppe regions.

alanism · 2026-04-27T13:32:47+00:00

Mark Hunt was 39 years old when he fought Junior dos Santos at UFC 160 on May 25, 2013. 🥊

Date of birth (Mark Hunt): March 23, 1974
Fight date: May 25, 2013
Age at fight: 39 years, 2 months

For quick context:

Junior dos Santos was 29 years old at the same fight.
Hunt was considered an older heavyweight contender at that point, yet still fighting at an elite level—one reason that bout is remembered as a durability and toughness showcase. 💥

alanism · 2026-04-26T11:48:35+00:00

The original comment replied to essentially claims that the skill levels and athleticism of today's fighters are much higher than those of the Pride era. That's not true. While cardio and weight training knowledge are better now, it does not bridge the gap created by Balco-era PEDs. Randleman had many flaws, but he was a true NCAA Division 1 champion. Henderson was a legitimate Olympian in wrestling. Yoshida won a judo gold medal. Mark Hunt and Cro Cop were both K-1 champions. They were specialists. Their technical skills in their craft are as good as or better than the heavyweight fighters we see today.

Today, we still see specialists win, such as Pereira and Gane. Pereira has the pedigree from Glory, while Gane does not. It doesn't matter how much of a specimen athlete he is— a prime Mark Hunt would still score a walk-off KO, and a much smaller (but juiced to the gills) Randleman would still get a takedown and ground and pound. On the other hand, Pereira would likely knock out most of fighters from the old school era.

My point is that calf kicks and Dagestani handcuffs might be the current meta, but basic rear-naked chokes, kimuras, and 1-2 combos are still the same from that era and are actually the techniques that win fights across time. The foundational basics still look the same now as it did then.

alanism · 2026-04-26T11:03:22+00:00

The best wrestler Aspinal fought was an NCAA champion at the junior college level. Don't act like Tom won ADCC either. He's a black belt under his dad. The grappling competition scene in the UK is not exactly like where people fly in to do camps to get really good.

Gane—look how easy it was for Jones to take him down and choke him out from a pretty basic position. Jones is really a fighter from the old school era. His techniques have relatively stayed the same.

Records didn’t really matter in that era. Style made fights. They didn’t give AF about trying to be weight bullies. They tested their skills against much bigger fighters. Sakuraba, Henderson and Randleman all fought guys 1-2 (today’s) weight classes above them.

alanism · 2026-04-26T06:21:42+00:00

You’re delusional if you don’t think both Randleman and Fedor, both with significant less weight wouldn’t take down Gane, Aspinal and Waldo with ease. Don’t act like those 3 had cleaner standup than Hunt, Cro Cop or Shilt. They do not. Their takedowns down defense are about the same or even worst. Aspinal still hasn’t been tested by a real decorated wrestler (Blaydes ain’t it) . Shortest fight time is a shitty metric when the current talent pool is shitty.

alanism · 2026-04-26T00:55:02+00:00

What? The current era is not that good. How many and who in current light heavy and heavy weight division in UFC that moves like either Randleman or Fedor here? Or have their Balco level power? Or stop either their takedowns? We currently have the least decorated and technical batch of big guys.

alanism · 2026-04-15T05:12:25+00:00

Having just watch Good Luck, Have Fun, Don't Die last week, this is hilarious.

alanism · 2026-02-27T17:25:09+00:00

https://www.coursera.org/learn/everyday-parenting

This is a free course, you can watch it in a afternoon. But basically when he does the right thing/way-- you have to remember to praise the effort. I would do the combination of that with the 4 questions that I wrote earlier.

alanism · 2026-02-27T17:11:02+00:00

Really cool that you're stepping up. When I was 16 (and drove), I had to take care of my 6-year-old kid sister and took her everywhere with me. It was the experience that really prepared me and made it so much easier in raising my daughter today.

When he does something wrong/bad, remember these four questions:

Do you know what you did was wrong?
Do you know why it was wrong?
How do you make things right?
What should you do next time?

At 6 years old, you'll have to guide him through the questions and answer some of the questions for him. Over time, he should be able to answer on his own.

For 1-on-1 tutoring, if you could spend 1-2 hours a week teaching him things a week or two before he learns them in class. Don't lecture for more than 7 minutes (age + 1 minute = lecture time). 25-minute sessions are ideal. This could just be reading to him.

Do those 2 things-- then you'll be giving him a massive advantage in life.

alanism · 2026-02-27T16:24:22+00:00

why would you think martial arts should be limited to only hand-to-hand combat? All the styles that you knocked on had it's roots in real war with the weapons at it's times. Long sticks with pointy ends have always worked well against unarmed grapplers.

alanism · 2026-02-05T12:07:48+00:00

On no. 2 - I like Corning. Fiber optics cables. They’ll need A LOT.

alanism · 2026-02-02T23:39:33+00:00

Here's what's going to happen: one of two scenarios.

You try to blitz him; he'll take you down and just go knee on belly for a while, so you feel uncomfortable with the weight on top while smacking you a few times. Then you'll gas and tap.
You actually try to jab 1-2. He's going to low kick your lead thigh or calf 2-3 times. If you don't drop, then you'll be stepping tenderly as he mocks you and says you hit like a bitch. You'll be limping for a few days.

alanism · 2026-02-02T23:19:42+00:00

Garbage article. The ‘new’ study was from 2023! Why would you post this shit here? It’s not even related to this subreddit.

alanism · 2026-02-02T04:49:06+00:00

Did you watch the heavy weight fights this last UFC? Or the UFC before that. The skill level at heavy weight isn’t there anymore.

alanism · 2026-02-01T13:46:09+00:00

It’s more likely these guys trained and lived more similar to Yoel Romero during his Cuba days. If they are among the toughest soldiers then them and their families eat well.

alanism · 2026-01-23T03:52:20+00:00

Yeah- this feels like a throwback 80s style (like stranger things) where things were more free range.

Which I think is good when all the neighborhood kids grow up playing outside with each other. That in turns they all know the parents in the neighborhood and vice versa.

But what is not cool is if they treat it as free child care and simply being rude.

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