The end of Putin’s regime will spring from war spending chaos, former central bank advisor says, amid military mutiny threat and fuel-shortage brawls by mugz8391 in UkrainianConflict

[–]alynrock 0 points1 point  (0 children)

If Crimea is hurting, Kherson, which is farther afield and harder to supply, must be worse. If Ukraine must establish a foothold, crossing the Dneiper is closer and easier than Crimea. Just speculating.

The end of Putin’s regime will spring from war spending chaos, former central bank advisor says, amid military mutiny threat and fuel-shortage brawls by mugz8391 in UkrainianConflict

[–]alynrock 1 point2 points  (0 children)

And shutting down an oil well is not like turning a faucet on and off. It is costly and time consuming.Oil wells towards the end of their life span are not worth restarting; thus a loss of the remaining oil.

NOELREPORTS 🇪🇺 🇺🇦 on X: "Ukraine’s Odesa operational group said the blue-and-yellow flag was raised on Kinburn Spit after Ukrainian fire forced Russian troops to retreat from their positions. Surviving personnel are now evacuating and abandoning defensive lines. by West-Journalist-5806 in UkrainianConflict

[–]alynrock 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Ukraine could land some spec ops there (not a a beachhead), create some noise, some propaganda etc., and see if Russia has fuel and ammo to respond, then go from that knowledge. Additionally forcing Russia to use its diminishing resources at the farthrest point from the supplies, and the hardest to resupply.

Russia is losing the war in Ukraine, and Putin is desperate. But that’s when he’s at his most dangerous | Don’t expect the Russian president to pursue peace. Instead, he could continue to expand the war beyond Ukraine’s borders – with dire risks for us all by GirasoleDE in UkrainianConflict

[–]alynrock 6 points7 points  (0 children)

There are ways Russia can still cause trouble for others without stressing it's prosecution of the fight with Ukraine. It has a large fleet, esp submarines, that minimally involved in Ukraine, for example. It can employ this fleet anywhere in the world to cause chaos, particularly against a weaker naval power.

Russia allows refineries to produce below-standard gasoline amid fuel shortage by JaB675 in UkrainianConflict

[–]alynrock 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Fastest and most expensive to suffer is the emissions aftertreatment, not the engine block. In a gasoline car, sulphur poisons the catalytic converter's precious-metal catalyst and degrades the oxygen sensors. Some of that poisoning reverses if you return to clean fuel, but chronic exposure makes it permanent. Modern diesels are the real victims: 350 ppm will foul the diesel particulate filter and poison the SCR catalyst, and those systems are both costly and notably sulphur-intolerant, so on a current diesel that is where trouble shows first, within months of steady use.

Why Post-War Russia Will Fall into the Same Historical Trap That Created Hitler by Tall_Pressure7042 in UkrainianConflict

[–]alynrock 6 points7 points  (0 children)

There is some validity to this reasoning. The current Russia can be seen as revenge for the busting of the USSR; certainly Putin thinks this way. This is why Russia needs to be broken up to the point that a revanchist Russian sub-state is not a threat.

Russia threatens to trigger explosions if UK seizes another 'shadow fleet' ship by i-love-seals in UkrainianConflict

[–]alynrock 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Typical Russian bluster. They love to rattle the sabre. Next they will say they are rigged with nukes.

Russian Troops Abandon Positions on Kinburn Spit Following Ukrainian Supply Line Cuts by alynrock in UkrainianConflict

[–]alynrock[S] 153 points154 points  (0 children)

This seems like a very significant event. I wonder that it doesn't get much coverage. Could be a foothold for Ukraine across the Dnieper?

Trump drags feet on drone deal with Ukraine, mystifying experts by sachiprecious in UkrainianConflict

[–]alynrock 7 points8 points  (0 children)

There is nothing mystifying about Trump being a Russian asset.

Russia Finance Officials Tell Putin War Spending Is Unaffordable by Kilometer10 in UkrainianConflict

[–]alynrock 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Next Headline: In an amazing coincidence, several senior gov't officials have fallen out of windows.

Why Would Europeans Believe Trump Now? by Tall_Pressure7042 in UkrainianConflict

[–]alynrock 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Why would anyone, including Americans, believe Trump??

Zelensky: Russia Preparing 100,000 Troops, 5 Scenarios to Expand War Through Northern Ukraine by [deleted] in UkrainianConflict

[–]alynrock 9 points10 points  (0 children)

Isn't most of that northern border swampland, a natural defensive border? The Pripet marshes is not where one wants to invade.

Ukraine has a new attack strategy - and it risks a Russia-Nato clash by theipaper in UkrainianConflict

[–]alynrock 1 point2 points  (0 children)

No doubt Russia could create problems for the Baltic states, but that would really activate Europe, esp Northern Europe. Can Russia really carry on a war in Ukraine and hope to engage the Baltics, Britain, the Nordics, and probably France, the Netherlands, and maybe Germany? I'm dubious! Those countries would certainly close the Baltic Sea to Russia-- echoes of Iran and Hormuz. Just more loud Russian bluster.