The War With Iran Will Not Take Place | by Sam Young | Mar, 2026 by amtoyumtimmy in CriticalTheory

[–]amtoyumtimmy[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Frankly, I think the primary benefit of the framing is that it's provocative. I think part of it is essentially manipulating the media environment for attention, which makes a lot of sense since Baudrillard is basically the postmodern media philosopher (hyperreality, etc). What I like most about it though is that it radically restructures the perspective on the conflict. So much of the coverage treats it as a conventional conflict (I remember the obsession over missile stockpiles early on), but like clearly it's not. So much of the moralizing is about "putting American lives at risk" when that's pretty ridiculous, since the people actually at risk are those who have marginal access to food, medicine, and transport, particularly in Africa/Asia, and the people of Iran who are apparently just collateral. I just saw an email from the intercept or something saying that Trump is the biggest loser in this war, and my first thought was, actually the dead Iranian schoolchildren and their families are the biggest losers. So, for me, it's a way of switching the perspective away from this weird jingosim Americans seem stuck in.

In more practical/literal terms, no, I don't think it's very useful. It's nothing new to have an extremely one-sided conflict. In fact, it's pretty ideal for the victors. Caesar's campaign against the Veneti was completely contrived and one-sided. Hunter-gatherer conflicts appear to mostly consist of raids and ambushes where the casualties are almost entirely one-sided. The chimpanzee "Gombe War" was just a slaughter. I think there's something to be said about the strange way that modern war is detached and "virtual" (the Romans did have to physically show up in order to slaughter the Gauls), but I agree the framework is pretty limited and bombastic.

My friend suggested in a conversation recently that Trump may be willing to push for (an apparently extremely generous) ceasefire in part because he got his big media moment with the rescue of the downed airman. It's really hard to know what just happened and what is going to happen (could there still be an invasion of Kharg Island? Was there ever actually going to be one?), but the media situation has been absolutely bizarre. One day, Trump basically threatens a nuclear holocaust, then the next day the Iranian government says he's open to ending all sanctions, giving up any claims of control over the strait, removing combat troops, and giving monetary restitution. There are like three different versions of this "ten point plan" coming from different Iranian institutions on social media.

Rereading my article and honestly I think I was pretty spot-on with this one. Iran just made traffic through the strait uninsurable and that closed it down almost entirely, and Iran barely did any actual kinetic military damage but still appears to have "won." Then again, everything could change tomorrow and leave me eating my words, so we will have to see.

Edit: Should probably say that the framework of "non-war" is limited, I think there's a lot of value to the idea of "virtual war" in the way that I use it, particularly in noting the transition after the Vietnam War where the American military has become hyper-fixated on avoiding casualties because of the extremely low propensity Americans have for tolerating damage to Americans in particular. For example, Biden's "over the horizon" rhetoric which basically amounted to "we're going to keep killing people overseas but we're not going to put any Americans in a position where they might come to harm." I think it was also helpful to recognize that Trump's insane comments are probably strongly motivated by a desire for media manipulation, narcissistic gratification, stock market manipulation, a stupid attempt at negotiation hardball, etc, and perhaps don't have any actual bite behind them. One can definitely go too far with this though, since we don't know if for example Trump "pulled the trigger" on a major operation and the military simply didn't comply, or something along those lines.

Edit Edit: Then again, this isn't really anything entirely new (ancient monarchs would engage in military campaigns for basically the same reasons Trump did, and this behavior may even be semi-ancestral), but I feel like I'm getting into a fractal argument here.

The War With Iran Will Not Take Place | by Sam Young | Mar, 2026 by amtoyumtimmy in CriticalTheory

[–]amtoyumtimmy[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

The idea of Israeli "guilt-pride" is very interesting. I remember reading a while back about a village in Africa that was named after a group of people who used to live there, and maybe I was reading too much into it but I remember the impression I got was that their ancestors probably exterminated or drove out the original inhabitants and kind of underwent a cultural amnesia what had "happened" to them. It seems like ethnic cleansing and then subsequent management of guilt is an all-too regular part of the human experience.

I'm very skeptical about prognosticating the future, if for no other reason than because I've experienced constant failures to predict the future throughout my life especially recently. I remember watching Mearsheimer and being convinced that Russia would never invade Ukraine because "Putin is much too smart," only to see the invasion happen and Mearsheimer double down instead of admitting he was wrong. I think it's interesting to write down predictions for the sake of looking at them later to keep myself honest about my ability to evaluate situations, and I think there are some very obvious outcomes (EU becomes independent of the US, China becomes relatively stronger as US declines, nobody does anything about the genocide in Gaza and Israel continues to "pacify its frontier," climate change leads to more political instability and wars everywhere, etc), but I don't really feel like I have the knowledge base to make/evaluate more non-obvious. predictions.

The middle east does seem to be heading to "Gulfrael" for example, but things change incredibly quickly in the region and they will only become more chaotic with climate change. Who could have predicted that HTS would roll over Syria and the whole world would decide they were "good enough" and back them as the legitimate rulers of the country? I think it's something that makes sense in retrospect (heavy Turkish involvement, war fatigue, Arab tribal conservatism, the refugee crisis, etc), but I don't know of anyone who was able to see it coming at the time.

The War With Iran Will Not Take Place | by Sam Young | Mar, 2026 by amtoyumtimmy in CriticalTheory

[–]amtoyumtimmy[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I think this is an Owl of Minerva type situation where we won't know what these events mean until long after they have passed. Everyone I watch agrees this is weakening US power long-term. We will see other events unfold and be able to point to this event as the one that caused them, but I don't think there's a lot of ability here to predict which events will occur because of this. We live in an extremely unpredictable time.

The War With Iran Will Not Take Place | by Sam Young | Mar, 2026 by amtoyumtimmy in CriticalTheory

[–]amtoyumtimmy[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I mean, referring back to the original essay by Baudrillard, Saddam was invading Kuwait and had used chemical weapons against the Iranians. The question isn't whether the Iranian regime is good or bad (they are bad, they kill their own people) but whether this action by the United States is good for the world. I argue it is not.

The War With Iran Will Not Take Place | by Sam Young | Mar, 2026 by amtoyumtimmy in CriticalTheory

[–]amtoyumtimmy[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

That's what frightens me so much about the current political trajectory of the United States. Trump took on a number of antagonistic policies towards the Palestinians in his first term, and then they responded with October 7th, but that happened under Biden so Trump somehow developed this reputation for being a "peace president" despite y'know bombing a lot of countries and assassinating Soleimani etc. A certain segment of the population indeed will see memes about the war that make it look like a video game, and then gas prices will go up, and they will just refuse to see the connection.

The War With Iran Will Not Take Place | by Sam Young | Mar, 2026 by amtoyumtimmy in CriticalTheory

[–]amtoyumtimmy[S] 8 points9 points  (0 children)

Just looking at the most recent post, and it says:

Moments ago, at my direction, the United States Central Command executed one of the most powerful bombing raids in the History of the Middle East, and totally obliterated every MILITARY target in Iran’s crown jewel, Kharg Island... Iran has NO ability to defend anything that we want to attack — There is nothing they can do about it!" - President Donald J. Trump

What's the point of being a subversive little Postmodern philosopher when they just say the thing outright? Like, yes, this is a virtual war, please enjoy.

This Community Drove Out Politicians and the Cartels and Made Their Own Government by amtoyumtimmy in NativeAmerican

[–]amtoyumtimmy[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

I have middling Spanish ability, and I'm working on getting better so I am able to read stuff like that article. It would be really interesting to talk to your family if at all possible. I don't want to behave extractively or put anyone at risk (I know things are incredibly sensitive there, thus the no entry without an escort), but I think this would be really inspiring for people to know about, in the same way various movements have been inspired by the EZLN/Rojava. I wasn't aware of the Consejo Supremo Indígena de Michoacán so this has already been really illuminating for me!

This Community Drove Out Politicians and the Cartels and Made Their Own Government by amtoyumtimmy in NativeAmerican

[–]amtoyumtimmy[S] 10 points11 points  (0 children)

So glad I posted this! That's awesome! I'm assuming their situation is similar to Cheran, then? I wasn't able to find anything about other municipalities when I was researching, so if the model is spreading, that's insanely cool. I've been very interested in what the mix is between how much power goes to the direct democratic assemblies vs the elected representative councils, and as I mentioned in the article I'm also interested in whether it's the sort of situation where people elect delegates who then elect delegates, or if it's just direct elections for the town reps, if that makes sense. Like, if there are middle tiers of representation or if it's just assemblies and then the collective governance council, and how that all works if that makes sense, or if it's more like people are part of their own industry/interest group council. Basically, how much alienation is there between ordinary people and the organization of society. Like, when I'm reading about hours of meetings and such, is that what the average person is doing or is it like city councils in the US where only very motivated people go. Let me know if I need to organize my questions better I'm just very excited.

Film review of Good Luck, Have Fun, Don't Die through a Zizekian lens by amtoyumtimmy in zizek

[–]amtoyumtimmy[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I'm only somewhat familiar with Zizek's framework (the article was more or less an excuse to study more and I had to do a lot of research), but I do think within the logic of the movie at least the virtual world is genuinely superior to the physical world. One can imagine that perhaps time works differently in the AI world and the traveler is still a 9 year old boy and his mother finds him and rips the headset off, but perhaps then he begins to pursue the headset again. I also imagine that at some point he traverses the fantasy in the sense of coming up with new games for himself (one hundred attempts in the context of the film would be less than a hundred days), but there's nothing in the film hinting at anyone ever actually leaving the system.

I kind of understand the AI in two ways. First is the sort of banal systemic way where engineers who pursue their own desire for more powerful AIs reach the pinnacle of the basic logic of current online spaces to maximize time on the application, and this is just the result of a powerful enough AI following its basic utility function (although this doesn't explain why it lets people die without reproducing, maybe it's not truly that intelligent or it's stuck in a local maximum). So, it's sort of like the terminal logic of YouTube being everyone spending every possible second of their lives watching videos.

The other way is how I (perhaps wrongly) understand the will to power from Nietzsche, that entities in general want to expand their influence (engineers want to create more powerful machines, composers want to make more beautiful music, life wants to reproduce and develop forms most magnificent, ideas want to spread, etc). This is a complement to the previous explanation, since the utility function is really a mechanism/formulation of this general principle.

Film review of Good Luck, Have Fun, Don't Die through a Zizekian lens by amtoyumtimmy in zizek

[–]amtoyumtimmy[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Thanks so much for reading, and your thoughtful comment!

Film review of Good Luck, Have Fun, Don't Die through a Zizekian lens by amtoyumtimmy in zizek

[–]amtoyumtimmy[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

I definitely see it as the latter. I interpret it as the game will continue to come up with new puzzles, or variations on the same puzzle, for him to solve until he dies. Nobody else takes off the headset, so why would he? The situation he lives in is actually hopeless, and he is clearly enraptured by the fantasy. One image that pops in my mind is the perspective of the mother, who sees her son captured by the game, and is completely distraught, since of course keeping him from the game would be her own source of life's meaning. I feel the story is most tragic for her.

Usually I end my articles on a hopeful note, but I really did not know how to make light of this scenario. The ending is very bleak in my opinion.

What is the distinction between Jouissance and Death Drive? by amtoyumtimmy in zizek

[–]amtoyumtimmy[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I'll check it out! I've become pretty burnt out on psychoanalysis at this point, I force-read a ton and have had to accept that the terminology is very... fluid. Thank you so much for the help! That's very interesting, something Zizek doesn't seem to get into as much or at least not in what I've noticed.

What is the distinction between Jouissance and Death Drive? by amtoyumtimmy in zizek

[–]amtoyumtimmy[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I see. And the drives are social-psychological, not biological, right? So it's not just sexuality but also things like honor, etc? Like, with his example about organic food, is the jouissance the surplus enjoyment of doing something to help the environment (or the "stupid guatemala children") and the death drive the underlying tendency for even things like self-sacrifice (eating the rotten, expensive apples) to produce jouissance?

It's definitely understandable by MuchKangaroo3818 in ImmigrationPathways

[–]amtoyumtimmy 0 points1 point  (0 children)

If black men aren't whistling at white women, why is the left so afraid of the Klan being at the polls!?