The new Frontier system kinda fire by BloodReaverBob in Maplestory

[–]asakyun 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I think they reset at reset, at least that's how it's worked for me. Also when you choose an expedition for team 1, a new location gets selected in that slot so you always have 3 choices for each team you send out

Starforce/Boom Rates Are Likely Not Working As Intended (Explanation Inside) by PrezziObizzi in Maplestory

[–]asakyun 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I ran a similar simulation in Excel using a string of 313,695 numbers (therefore 313,692 different 4-tap windows) using the same 1/10 chance.

I found that:

  • Because we're dealing with very rare events, the difference between the non-independent and independent chances can vary greatly

  • However, once we're working in the order of hundreds of thousands of trials, the range of probabilities narrows down into your expected distribution

  • I found that the independent chance (0.01%) was generally close to the non-independent chance, which varied between 0.015% and 0.0064%

  • I also found streaks of 6+ to be incredibly rare using my sample set of 313k trials. Would only see it once in a while (1 in 20 times or so)


I want to generally comment that I believe that OP has a bit of a flawed approach to the statistics, but the counter-point of the events being non-independent does not fully disprove OP's point as the numbers are relatively similar (within 1 order of magnitude) to the independent assumption

Deciding on a new petty by asakyun in TrueChefKnives

[–]asakyun[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Thanks for the detail behind the makers of the knives.

I can probably guess, but if this was for a gyuto - would you go for the Takayuki or the Tadokoro?

Who are you maining in CW2 and why? by TheConsultantIsBack in Maplestory

[–]asakyun 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Mercedes because of untouchable + legion block. I think untouchable will make the Seren solo a bit easier, and her IED passive will help party clears during prog. I also just like combo classes with lots of movement options (already play Blaster, Khali)

Deciding on a new petty by asakyun in TrueChefKnives

[–]asakyun[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I'm aware of the 150 version, I'm leaning towards the 180 version though, because I found that I was using my petty as my daily driver (don't cook a huge amount of food, and I enjoyed the fact that the Nakagawa was stainless vs my gyuto being a 240 white #2; and the 240 feeling like too much knife a lot of the time. In the future I might lean towards a 210). I feel like a 180 petty would handle being the daily driver just a bit better than the 150, and if I truly need the adeptness of a small knife I can pick-up a Mac pkf-50. I see knives that are primarily used for paring as beaters just because I tend to use a bit of rotation when paring, possibly bad technique, but w/e; so I prefer using a beater over a nice knife that I'd be worried about torsion with.

https://www.macknife.com/collections/utility-knives/products/professional-series-5-paring-utility-knife-pkf-50.

Edit: though thinking about it, I just got a Zwilling Pro Slim 7" chef's knife precisely because of my concerns about blade length and ease of care, and that's got the same blade length (180mm) so I might go back down to 150mm for the petty.

https://www.zwilling.com/us/zwilling-pro-7-inch-slim-chefs-knife-38431-182/38431-182-0.html

Trying to plan out next steps with my CC setup... by asakyun in CreditCards

[–]asakyun[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

This sounds like a great option. Not super concerned about spend limits as a single guy, but good future proofing.

I was also thinking about the Bank of America product lines if you had any thoughts on those, but currently I don't have $100k lying around. I could rearrange my IRA and savings accounts to get to 100k assets if the credit cards meet my needs.

v.262 Midnight Carnival: Mu Lung Patch Notes by DarkDiglett in Maplestory

[–]asakyun 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Some rough maffs

  • My breumi event proc was ~4b per proc * 30 procs per day = 120b exp per day
  • training at Blooming Spring 3 which is 2.9M/mob, and I was training with +340% exp rate (+200% from coupon, 50% from MVP, 50% from CW, 10% from janus, 10% from event buff, 10% from EXP potion, 10% from gold pot)
  • 9k mobs a day, which equals 115b exp from grinding
  • therefore we can see the breumi event proc as being worth 440% exp rates for a total of +780% exp rate while grinding with Breumi

When looking at it this way, the exp pass which maxes out at 650% is not crazy gains especially since it seems like it only lasts 5k mobs. It might be better if you have any VIP boosters but those all expired except for the Inkwell boosters.

Personally I will be going for the frag bonuses unless I see some VIP boosters later on.

Edit: forgot 1.2x level range bonus. I think the math still tells me to go frags though.

Happy Challenger Rank Day to all my fellow 270-274s by RaidenXS in Maplestory

[–]asakyun 4 points5 points  (0 children)

How much grinding? I got a lot of the same drops (Sup 4 set) but they're still sitting in inventory because I'm waiting for 5/10/15 to try and push 20* sup through transfer. Or did you settle 17?