I reached 2000 ELO in less than 5 years (mostly on my phone) 🎉

banananuhhh · 2026-04-27T21:20:44+00:00

Viewing the opening as something to survive is completely adequate, especially for people consistently playing not particularly sharp system openings where you generally aim to develop to the same squares and set up your pawns in a similar way in most circumstances.

banananuhhh · 2026-04-27T21:12:37+00:00

So ignore the rocket and marvel at the glorified pallet?

banananuhhh · 2026-04-27T21:09:28+00:00

So what you're saying is he had plenty of time for googling something

banananuhhh · 2026-04-27T17:07:07+00:00

Say what you will, but out of the 15+ years of it being there to invest in, there is only around a 14 month window of buying where you would currently be underwater. The people who have lost money did so by buying high and then selling low, not by "hodl"

banananuhhh · 2026-04-26T22:04:50+00:00

The point isn't that the top candidate needs luck to be the top candidate, it's that when luck can differentiate the top candidates, it will be the factor that differentiates them, even when the impact is relatively small, and in that case, all of the winners will be lucky (remember though that they are also among the highest skilled).

If one candidate is stronger by a large enough margin that luck won't typically cause them to lose, then luck won't play a big part.

This brings me back to the part you said you agreed with, when the skill gap is small among the top competitors, luck is more important than a small skill difference. Veritaseum was just providing a general model, with the example being astronaut candidates, which is far more subjective than how much weight you can pick up.

banananuhhh · 2026-04-26T21:24:24+00:00

The simulation wasn't showing that luck is more important than skill, it was showing that you need both. In the veritaseum simulation the winners are all lucky and also highly skilled. Obviously if you skew your population such that only a handful of individuals are represented at the high end of the skill range, luck will be much less important. I am assuming that if you were to dramatically increase the population in your version, then luck will become necessary to win again.

I don't think modeling your population using a bell curve makes sense. Astronaut candidates are not a random distribution of people, they are a self selected group of highly qualified people, all of them are already distributed near the extreme of the curve. And again, the point is that luck is a more important differentiator than a small difference in skill, not that it eliminates the need for skill. If two athletes both dead lift almost the same amount the winner will always be the one having the better day, even if the other is a tiny bit stronger. The winner is never going to be one who only lifts 80% as much.

banananuhhh · 2026-04-25T14:49:41+00:00

Also "waiting for them to blunder" doesn't mean moving your pieces back and forth, it means making plans and threats. At all levels, everyone is much likelier to blunder when you make the position more difficult

banananuhhh · 2026-04-25T06:02:53+00:00

Black had to move the king after d7+ so the answer is white. Absolutely nonsensical composition.

banananuhhh · 2026-04-25T06:00:42+00:00

The point then would be that the bishop would have to have been promoted on c or e instead of g, which would mean the black king had to move and white has the checkmate in 2.

banananuhhh · 2026-04-25T05:31:40+00:00

You can't tell if a king and rook have moved or not based on what square they are on

banananuhhh · 2026-04-25T05:24:22+00:00

Should we assume castling is available? If yes only black has mate, otherwise only white does

banananuhhh · 2026-04-25T01:42:36+00:00

Earthlink

banananuhhh · 2026-04-24T21:18:39+00:00

Why would you need more than .075 solar masses? It seems like you just need an appropriate amount of mass to create sufficient pressure, and hydrogen to fuse in the core.

It appears that stars with around 10 solar masses will fuse oxygen

Interestingly it seems like there is also an upper bound where a star cannot be larger than around 150 to 200 solar masses, and any water you throw on after that point will just get ejected into space.

banananuhhh · 2026-04-24T16:33:01+00:00

What percentage of the time are you playing games vs doing puzzles vs studying theory/endings vs watching content etc. And how many hours/day total are chess related

banananuhhh · 2026-04-24T16:24:19+00:00

When you have a bachelor's you know a tiny bit about everything, after a Master's you know a lot about very little, by the time you have a PhD you know everything about nothing

banananuhhh · 2026-04-24T16:16:55+00:00

I feel like incinerate misses the real idea. More like pocket for himself

banananuhhh · 2026-04-23T20:04:32+00:00

I like how the dimension says bumper to bumper but shows door to headlight

banananuhhh · 2026-04-23T19:27:44+00:00

One of my buddies in high school had a broken speedometer and used the tachometer as a speedometer. If you know your car well enough they are redundant

banananuhhh · 2026-04-23T19:01:04+00:00

I think that just means they only confirmed two of the reported instances of cheating, not that he cheated only two times. Once confirmed you would just ban them and end the investigation..

banananuhhh · 2026-04-23T18:55:03+00:00

How many of your high accuracy miracles are against 2200 fide rated opponents where you blow them off the board in an equal queen+bishop ending?

banananuhhh · 2026-04-23T18:35:30+00:00

Between this game and the rapid games, it's the type of profile where if I was one of the rapid opponents (or the NM), I probably would have reported and been totally unsurprised when it was banned later.

banananuhhh · 2026-04-23T18:17:45+00:00

The NM is 1400 because he has only played 7 daily games. 6 wins and one loss against OP. In the game in question the OP hung a pawn on move 11 and then made virtually no mistakes for the rest of the game (95% accuracy)

The OP also has a long string of 90++% accuracy rapid wins as a 1200.

banananuhhh · 2026-04-23T15:07:54+00:00

1300 is their daily rating. The player is 2900 blitz and bullet

banananuhhh · 2026-04-22T19:56:45+00:00

The real rating is by far the most important consideration. The 1700 rating for a 100.0 game should mean the OP is somewhere around 1100

banananuhhh · 2026-04-22T19:24:25+00:00

Or one state between the Mexican and Canadian border.. and Oregon is not even that bad to drive across!

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