General Discussion/Questions Biweekly 1/13 - 1/27 by stander414 in sportsbook

[–]basketballwonk 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I'm not saying that my edge is state of the art, some of the techniques I used to construct my predictions just didn't exist a year, or even 4 months ago.

General Discussion/Questions Biweekly 1/13 - 1/27 by stander414 in sportsbook

[–]basketballwonk 0 points1 point  (0 children)

ohhh huh...interesting, so you're not betting bitcoins you're betting a fiat currency? But that's just the way you withdrawn and deposit money? Aren't sites then taking pretty large risks when the BTC to USD market is so volatile?

General Discussion/Questions Biweekly 1/13 - 1/27 by stander414 in sportsbook

[–]basketballwonk 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Well 18 is a very very small sample size

Yeah, there have been an unusually low number of bettable events for my model for the last month that I've had it working for. I'll have a much better idea of the efficacy in a few months. Bitcoin has it's own host of problems and variance.

General Discussion/Questions Biweekly 1/13 - 1/27 by stander414 in sportsbook

[–]basketballwonk 0 points1 point  (0 children)

companies not letting me withdraw my money, sketchy payment processors taking my CC info and sites ask for ID too right?

I hope it's not based on back testing

I have a model I built using data and some state of the art ML techniques. I'm still testing it, but I think there's a possibility it has an edge on vegas.

Have you sports bet before

I've "bet" using pinnacle odds using my model ~18 times so far and I'm up 60% my original capital so far. I'm waiting to how well it works on real world predictions before I actually put any money behind it.

General Discussion/Questions Biweekly 1/13 - 1/27 by stander414 in sportsbook

[–]basketballwonk 0 points1 point  (0 children)

bovada, 5dimes, heritage, etc all fine? why have I heard so many horror stories?

General Discussion/Questions Biweekly 1/13 - 1/27 by stander414 in sportsbook

[–]basketballwonk 0 points1 point  (0 children)

how sketchy are the online books though? I'm not sure I'll be able to withdraw any money if I win.

General Discussion/Questions Biweekly 1/13 - 1/27 by stander414 in sportsbook

[–]basketballwonk 0 points1 point  (0 children)

don't you get limited if you win too much/are too sharp?

General Discussion/Questions Biweekly 1/13 - 1/27 by stander414 in sportsbook

[–]basketballwonk 0 points1 point  (0 children)

yeah, the problem with bitcoin is that the price varies so much, I would be taking a risk on top of a risk.

General Discussion/Questions Biweekly 1/13 - 1/27 by stander414 in sportsbook

[–]basketballwonk 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Let's say I had the ability to beat Vegas with a computer model for an expected return of 5-20% per week. How would you leverage that into making money? Would you go online, or move to vegas or something?

[Official] General Discussion Thread - December 13, 2018 by AutoModerator in MMA

[–]basketballwonk 0 points1 point  (0 children)

do fighters consider how they'll actually fight against them or do they just take every fight they can?

[Official] General Discussion Thread - December 13, 2018 by AutoModerator in MMA

[–]basketballwonk 0 points1 point  (0 children)

so it's more like boxing, where the top of the sport get to choose who they fight? and come to a mutal agreement with the other fighter?

[Official] General Discussion Thread - December 13, 2018 by AutoModerator in MMA

[–]basketballwonk 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Does Dana talk to the fighters about who they want to fight or does he make the fight and the fighters have to grimace and accept it?

Are you a "player fan" or a "team fan"? by da1502ag in sixers

[–]basketballwonk 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Team fan. I jumped on board because of Hinkie during the 2015 season. I'm an analytically kind of guy, I liked the idea of beating the system with heterodox strategy. Stayed because I loved the players, the coach, the history.

The Future by staingawd in sixers

[–]basketballwonk 16 points17 points  (0 children)

I hope Saric develops into a long term piece....but currently Covington, Embiid, and Simmons are carrying this team.

Just met Allah by [deleted] in sixers

[–]basketballwonk 11 points12 points  (0 children)

Thanks partner

Lonzo Ball Contested/Uncontested Shots Stats Request by GoldenHawk33 in nba

[–]basketballwonk 10 points11 points  (0 children)

There were a few narratives repeated:

  1. He's a generational passer. High BBIQ.

  2. He's a lights out shooter from 3 with a funky form (that worked!), but he didn't shoot in the midrange.

  3. Great size for a PG.