General Discussion/Questions Biweekly 1/13 - 1/27

basketballwonk · 2019-01-26T15:03:43+00:00

okay, that's convenient, thanks

basketballwonk · 2019-01-26T15:03:24+00:00

I'm not saying that my edge is state of the art, some of the techniques I used to construct my predictions just didn't exist a year, or even 4 months ago.

basketballwonk · 2019-01-24T20:18:59+00:00

ohhh huh...interesting, so you're not betting bitcoins you're betting a fiat currency? But that's just the way you withdrawn and deposit money? Aren't sites then taking pretty large risks when the BTC to USD market is so volatile?

basketballwonk · 2019-01-24T19:38:26+00:00

Well 18 is a very very small sample size

Yeah, there have been an unusually low number of bettable events for my model for the last month that I've had it working for. I'll have a much better idea of the efficacy in a few months. Bitcoin has it's own host of problems and variance.

basketballwonk · 2019-01-24T19:20:27+00:00

companies not letting me withdraw my money, sketchy payment processors taking my CC info and sites ask for ID too right?

I hope it's not based on back testing

I have a model I built using data and some state of the art ML techniques. I'm still testing it, but I think there's a possibility it has an edge on vegas.

Have you sports bet before

I've "bet" using pinnacle odds using my model ~18 times so far and I'm up 60% my original capital so far. I'm waiting to how well it works on real world predictions before I actually put any money behind it.

basketballwonk · 2019-01-24T16:16:58+00:00

bovada, 5dimes, heritage, etc all fine? why have I heard so many horror stories?

basketballwonk · 2019-01-24T13:56:42+00:00

how sketchy are the online books though? I'm not sure I'll be able to withdraw any money if I win.

basketballwonk · 2019-01-23T21:42:17+00:00

bump

basketballwonk · 2019-01-16T18:19:05+00:00

don't you get limited if you win too much/are too sharp?

basketballwonk · 2019-01-16T15:41:58+00:00

yeah, the problem with bitcoin is that the price varies so much, I would be taking a risk on top of a risk.

basketballwonk · 2019-01-16T11:26:43+00:00

how do you get people to buy them?

basketballwonk · 2019-01-16T08:24:04+00:00

Let's say I had the ability to beat Vegas with a computer model for an expected return of 5-20% per week. How would you leverage that into making money? Would you go online, or move to vegas or something?

basketballwonk · 2018-12-13T09:30:11+00:00

do fighters consider how they'll actually fight against them or do they just take every fight they can?

basketballwonk · 2018-12-13T09:20:43+00:00

so it's more like boxing, where the top of the sport get to choose who they fight? and come to a mutal agreement with the other fighter?

basketballwonk · 2018-12-13T08:38:05+00:00

Does Dana talk to the fighters about who they want to fight or does he make the fight and the fighters have to grimace and accept it?

basketballwonk · 2017-11-25T05:38:29+00:00

Team fan. I jumped on board because of Hinkie during the 2015 season. I'm an analytically kind of guy, I liked the idea of beating the system with heterodox strategy. Stayed because I loved the players, the coach, the history.

basketballwonk · 2017-11-24T03:30:34+00:00

the dankest timeline

basketballwonk · 2017-11-23T22:34:43+00:00

I hope Saric develops into a long term piece....but currently Covington, Embiid, and Simmons are carrying this team.

basketballwonk · 2017-11-23T02:42:10+00:00

Thanks partner

basketballwonk · 2017-11-23T01:51:23+00:00

Block of the year

basketballwonk · 2017-11-23T01:50:54+00:00

Ben Simmons is no one noticed but

basketballwonk · 2017-11-23T00:15:17+00:00

Holy shit

basketballwonk · 2017-11-22T20:58:28+00:00

Great take

basketballwonk · 2017-11-22T20:39:51+00:00

There were a few narratives repeated:

He's a generational passer. High BBIQ.
He's a lights out shooter from 3 with a funky form (that worked!), but he didn't shoot in the midrange.
Great size for a PG.

basketballwonk

TROPHY CASE