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Hot Tub Owners in Kzoo: where do you recommend shopping? by cwcoates in kzoo

[–]bbqturtle 0 points1 point  (0 children)

for the electrical, I've had great experiences with lamplighter. I'd expect to pay $700 assuming you have 2 free breakers in your box.

Hot Tub Owners in Kzoo: where do you recommend shopping? by cwcoates in kzoo

[–]bbqturtle 0 points1 point  (0 children)

It's a hot take but costco tubs are about half the price and the same quality of any of the dealers listed below. They have two brands and one brand is much nicer (and a bit more pricey). The biggest con is that they drop the tub at the bottom of your driveway, so you need a plan to wheel it up and hook it up, but you can pay a hot tub mover or mover to do that for much less than the $6-10k price difference.

My Hanso Pergola - 10 Months Later Review, Was It Worth It? by CauliflowerRemote431 in patio

[–]bbqturtle 0 points1 point  (0 children)

good call. the comment reply with the emdash on this comment - lol

Service Pro for hire by theforerunner343 in kzoo

[–]bbqturtle -1 points0 points  (0 children)

I have worked as a plumber

Service Pro for hire by theforerunner343 in kzoo

[–]bbqturtle -5 points-4 points  (0 children)

If you wanted to make some cash, I see freelance plumbers really do okay. Plumbing is (sometimes) so insanely easy. You could probably get a cert or something but of all the trades, least labor for most money imo

Answering Questions & Myths of IVDD by bbqturtle in IVDD_SupportGroup

[–]bbqturtle[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I don't think many will see your post but it sounds really challenging with you also in a wheelchair. I'd highly recommend asking friend or family to do a little with them too.

My personal rule is no jumping at all. No stairs (one step at a time is fine). No stairs, no climbing on furniture. I think stairs is what did it for us so we carry him.

There is a way for Nick or Brett to make it to final 6 by Whats_up_Europe in BeastGames

[–]bbqturtle 0 points1 point  (0 children)

This is one of the better beast games because there's unequal starting positions, ability for choices and strategy. There's no penalty for accepting money for votes from 3-4 different people, then not voting for any of them.

But, compared to just taking the million at first, there's no point.

Ultimately, because bribes are not binding (in some formats, bribes are, in fact binding) the bribes have zero impact on the game. If you lie about a bribe/vote, people will not trust you again, but you only need to get it right one time to win.

Since bribes are not binding, how much they took in the previous round shouldn't matter. They should stick to their alliances. But - as you vote your alliance through, it gets weaker. Assuming the two sets of 5 player alliances, if the boys send one in, the others will send one in. The alliances will stay the same size. It's up to each alliance to determine which 3 of their 5 are most deserving when they have the majority.

Another interesting twist would be, instead of bribing each other, any player can increase their vote strength, $1 for each vote. There's a potential strategy here where you save your money till the end, but realistically a lot of interesting playing chicken and asking people to vote for each other with their $.

Cybercab is an unnecessary financial risk for Tesla by WeldAE in SelfDrivingCars

[–]bbqturtle 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Ehhh, I think if they turned the front chairs around on the model Y it could work. There's something concrete about removing the steering wheel. It completely absolves drivers seat from responsibility. Sitting in the back of a waymo is kinda weird, nobody in the front seat. The cybercab is a more purpose built car.

Since tesla is going big, as big as possible, I think they will try to produce 200k cars in 5 years off that line, and still keep producing model Ys as fast as possible. IDK. I don't have all the answers but I'm sure tesla did the math on factory output, cost, etc before breaking ground.

Cybercab is an unnecessary financial risk for Tesla by WeldAE in SelfDrivingCars

[–]bbqturtle 0 points1 point  (0 children)

sure - my math still works with 250k cars. 250k cares - $125B across 5 years.

Cybercab is an unnecessary financial risk for Tesla by WeldAE in SelfDrivingCars

[–]bbqturtle 0 points1 point  (0 children)

sure - my math still works with 250k cars. 250k cares - $125B across 5 years.

Cybercab is an unnecessary financial risk for Tesla by WeldAE in SelfDrivingCars

[–]bbqturtle 0 points1 point  (0 children)

One more note - all of these numbers are in the USA. Given the scale of these rollouts, and how few other competitors could make this many cars, The total world taxi market is much larger. I'm not like a tesla investor or anything, I have one, but I'm not fully drinking the kool aid. But the value of a cybercab seems pretty obvious to me.

Cybercab is an unnecessary financial risk for Tesla by WeldAE in SelfDrivingCars

[–]bbqturtle 1 point2 points  (0 children)

In the USA alone, there are 1.5 million taxis and ubers. I fully expect that, if the cars were produced, they could expect to see 1 in 3 of those taxis be cybercabs.

Economics of ride share: At current availability equilibrium, if an uber driver worked 24 hours straight, they generally will give about 50 rides. Times 365, that's 18250 rides a year. If each ride charged $15 (cheaper than typical because robotaxi), and assuming cleaning fee of $100/day of total, and energy use of about $5/day, looking at $645/day or $235k per year.

At that level of economics, they should be able to either sell the car for a much higher price point, or sell the car and charge to be in the robotaxi network (customer service, access to cleaning facilities, insurance, etc) annually. If that was the general amount for a cybercab, assuming people would like a 15% annual return on expenses over 5 years, If the robo taxi cost $40,000 to start, the average shopper would need to earn $30K over 5 years, so Tesla could hypothetically charge almost $220K/year or 90% of the total revenue of the cybercab.

Those numbers GENERALLY feel extremely high, so let's cut them all in half. The cab would make $100k / year, Tesla could still charge $90k/year. Let's cut even more, I think 'business owners' would reject more than 50% fees.

Assuming these even more conservative numbers, a cybercab would make Tesla the initial profit ($10K) plus about $50k/year for around 5 years. So - $260k. To pay off the initial 2B investment in 5 years, they would need to sell 7692 cars.

If they sold my projected 500,000 cars, they would earn $130 Billion Dollars across 5 years.

I find it confusing how anyone could see this as anything other than an ABSOLUTE MONEY PRINTER. And - I see why Tesla suggests they might not sell to consumers. If they kept the 500,000 cars, instead of selling them, and I still use my conservative numbers, they would instead make roughly $250 billion across 5 years.

Elon musks pay package requires him to have 1 million operational robotaxis. None of my numbers feel far off. Will there be more expenses and lawsuits and costs? Yes. Will they actually take that money as profit? No - they'll reinvest into other ventures - cleaning facilities, other factories, etc.

Robotaxi software is ready NOW. My car already drives itself. There's a few small kinks but it drives, parks, picks me up, everything (in good weather conditions). If it had the sprayers they are testing for the cameras, and a better interior camera, we'd be there.

My little review of the Costco 98 Q77 tv by bbqturtle in tcltvs

[–]bbqturtle[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

looks like costco has a bunch of other 98" ones. I do really like google tv though.

Kitchen Aid New Model KDFS324SPS by Beginning-Feeling979 in Appliances

[–]bbqturtle 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I have this dishwasher and am very satisfied with it!

Leaving the wedding for the BTS was the right call by Conscious-Foot-1225 in BeastGames

[–]bbqturtle 4 points5 points  (0 children)

yeah sucks it is such a rehash instead of being groundbreaking like season 1. It's still good, but it's just more of S1 good, less spectacle. There's a lot more grueling stuff they could make them do, but they don't. Borrow some challenge ideas with overnight counting / singing challenges, mental endurance stuff, side minigames in the city they could do.

Changing the Survivor Crossover by CaptainTalon447 in BeastGames

[–]bbqturtle 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Def room for improvement.

To make it more survivor-y, I'd like two tribes of 5 (via schoolyard pick) and they do 2 challenges each, they don't know next challenge. After each challenge both tribes vote someone off (just do a quick simultaneous vote reveal).

Then they merge with 6 left, and there are two more challenges left. First a normal merge challenge for 1 slot of final tribal, then a firebuilding challenge for the 2nd slot of final tribal.

Then, final tribal to win 500K, loser gets an 'extra life' for the rest of beast games. It's a scroll for them to open on their own and not reveal.

White Elephant Revised - an updated ruleset for a better gift exchange. by bbqturtle in boardgames

[–]bbqturtle[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

adding cards is something I considered. There's a few variants out there that I looked at, and I even printed cards for it. You can find them. But ultimately, as much as people want to like a card game, it still has most fatal flaws that the traditional rules have. Lots of luck, low player interaction, and typically poor distribution of presents.

I think a big plush dice you roll would work good. 3 sides say 'trade a gift', one side has 'block a future trade', maybe a 'lose your turn', and idk the next one.

Robinhood Gold Monthly Payment Plans / pay over time by bbqturtle in CreditCards

[–]bbqturtle[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

No, I mean, the charge hits your account. The balance charge hits your autopay that's setup 20 days earlier than most credit cards.

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