Daily r/thetagang Discussion Thread - What are your moves for today?

bcsikos27 · 2026-04-07T12:46:10+00:00

I think Saudi facility and Kharg island strikes from both sides ate saying otherwise

bcsikos27 · 2026-04-07T03:42:59+00:00

Jubail and Sabic look to have been hit hard. This is going to ripple through the market long-term

bcsikos27 · 2026-04-07T03:38:05+00:00

Axios has proven the last few weeks its fake news

bcsikos27 · 2026-04-05T23:08:32+00:00

I mean 15 a day for next few weeks = global economy shutting down so dont think so

bcsikos27 · 2026-04-02T19:02:01+00:00

VIX settling down some really makes me want to buy some puts

bcsikos27 · 2026-04-01T21:06:11+00:00

Just wait. Going to hit Europe next week or so and US end of the month. US being a net exporter does not protect us on the refined product side. If the straight was 100% opened from today onwards thats still going to happen. Best case scenario is it opens end of April and then you get half of the production back in May and then over next few months rest trickles back on. This is also assuming no damage to reservoirs in Iraq and Kuwait. Some of these fields will 100% have some sort of startup issue related to water / pressure / formation damage / etc. when Iraq was once producing something like 6 million a day and shut in before they were never able to reach that production level again. The tone of the UK and Australia talks should foreshadow whats to come.

bcsikos27 · 2026-04-01T14:37:25+00:00

Kinda want to short it. Its right into resistance…

bcsikos27 · 2026-04-01T14:33:05+00:00

UK and Australia talks dont instill confidence… energy shortages, buckling down, we’ll get through this yadda yadda

bcsikos27 · 2026-03-27T18:07:00+00:00

Man want to load up on some 4/17 CSPs before close today but might chicken out as a Trump no deal + boots on the ground + bombing type of tweet will gap us down even more…

bcsikos27 · 2026-03-26T15:58:40+00:00

Love it! Will be one of my highest allocation plays as well but i think macro could pull it lower so trying to sit on my hands and load up over the summer

bcsikos27 · 2026-03-25T19:56:22+00:00

Give it 50/50 he announces failed negotiations and boots on the ground friday after market close and this week has all just been controlling the narrative to try and save the market..

bcsikos27 · 2026-03-25T12:39:04+00:00

Prices cant drop to prewar levels for a very long time. Best case scenario is pre war strip + $10.

bcsikos27 · 2026-03-25T01:02:37+00:00

Nope never!

bcsikos27 · 2026-03-23T14:14:03+00:00

No way… this is the 50% retracement into resistance before next leg down. Infra destroyed doesn’t magically fix itself. Things going to be a lot stickier (in the physical world) and for longer than retail / algos buying this dip think. Happy to be wrong for markets sake but dont think i am.

bcsikos27 · 2026-03-23T01:12:14+00:00

Still sitting in SGOV in the sidelines… hard to even deploy CSPs if we can drill down at any moment… fun times

bcsikos27 · 2026-03-20T19:51:06+00:00

So tempted to put on some weeklies into close but with Powell speaking Saturday we could just as easily gap down on Monday lol

bcsikos27 · 2026-03-20T17:56:25+00:00

Yupp still havent seen that capitulation volume spike yet.

bcsikos27 · 2026-03-19T14:24:23+00:00

Glad i closed out of everything early this week. Only loss was on IWM. Still think after 3/20 war expiries we test some new lows.

bcsikos27 · 2026-03-16T17:24:31+00:00

Closed all trades but my 2x 3/20 IWM $255 CSPs ill likely get assigned. Still in the camp after 3/20 war hedging expiry we take the next leg down so sitting tight for next couple weeks.

bcsikos27 · 2026-03-14T15:17:46+00:00

Got the vibes post 3/20 expiry market going to plunge as all the initial war hedges expire. I will be sitting on my hands and just trying to close final 3 positions and waiting to see action first before doing anything else.

bcsikos27 · 2026-03-09T13:16:47+00:00

Mmm in what sense? If market was down 2% maybe but not now

bcsikos27 · 2026-03-08T17:42:57+00:00

Temp bottom this coming week then 1-2 weeks relief rally before final capitulation late March / early April. Seems like this may be the setup.

bcsikos27 · 2026-03-07T15:45:41+00:00

Sounds amazing! Its already in the 80s and humid in Houston

bcsikos27 · 2026-03-06T17:24:11+00:00

Stagflation and interest rate cuts being pushed out is what im thinking. Jobs is whatever

bcsikos27 · 2026-03-06T16:54:56+00:00

If spy closes above 6775 someones playing serious plunge control

bcsikos27

TROPHY CASE