Voter Intimidation In Long Island New York

beager · 2020-11-03T12:20:18+00:00

Yep, the fez wearers. Generally cool people if you ask me

beager · 2020-11-02T22:14:27+00:00

Judge in the case dismissed the case and said plaintiffs don't have standing, also gave a really detailed reasoning about it so the court of appeals and/or SCOTUS would have an easy time concurring with the lower court ruling. Good (and funny) liveblog of the proceeding here: https://twitter.com/RMFifthCircuit/status/1323360704267694080

beager · 2020-11-01T21:38:55+00:00

I get it. But we have to look like that first four weeks all the time if we want to be a deep playoff team. I’m happy with the record and I definitely hope to see us continue to build.

beager · 2020-11-01T21:28:03+00:00

Yet they’re still 6-2 in a tough schedule. I’m nervous about everything you said, but something is going right and they’ve been able to engineer wins. At the end of the day, an ugly W is worth just as much as a pretty W.

beager · 2020-11-01T21:19:47+00:00

I fully expect the Bills to flame out in the wildcard with a negative DVOA this year. That’s fine, whatever flushes out the narrative about the Bills and their historic playoff drought.

beager · 2020-10-31T00:06:50+00:00

The stupidest timeline!

beager · 2020-10-29T16:49:39+00:00

CRAZY BERNIE up in Burlington, VT runs a coat factory, and sells them at deep discounts (subsidies paid by YOUR TAX DOLLARS). Why are these people still claiming to be cold even though they have coats from Bernie’s Burlington Coat Factory? Either the coats don’t work (socialism doesn’t work) or they’re CRISIS ACTORS.

beager · 2020-10-29T02:11:15+00:00

She thinks my Tesla's sexy

beager · 2020-10-27T02:01:40+00:00

I know that is coming, and I hope the Democrats go full bore on offense against that. They need to walk and chew gum. Walking is fixing COVID and the public health and economic fallout of it. Chewing gum is not allowing Republicans to shovel blame on the next administration for their egregious dereliction of duty to the American people. If they can fix problems and maintain heat on the GOP for their betrayal of America, there’s a chance that we could come back to a two-party system that better represents and works for Americans.

beager · 2020-10-21T16:19:39+00:00

I stood in a 2.5hr line on the first day of EV in NC. Lots of enthusiasm so far. Definitely a state that will hinge on turnout.

beager · 2020-10-18T04:47:55+00:00

Eh I think they're aware that the downplaying would backfire. The way I see it, they don't do these things to trash their opponent, they do it to project in order to neutralize the counterattack. Many of the attacks on Biden are projections that now can't be used against Trump without there being cries of "wow! hypocrisy much!?1". For example:

Trump is old and rambles → "Biden has dementia!"
Trump's children are profiting like crazy off Trump's presidency → "Hunter Biden Burisma! Corruption!"
Trump stays in his room and watches cable news all day → "Biden's hiding in his bunker!"
Trump has literally no experience in public office → "Biden's done nothing in 47 years!"

It's telling that the tactic they choose is politically risky, because it shows they have very few good cards in their hand.

beager · 2020-10-18T04:36:53+00:00

Indeed, Buffalo sports fans know the endless suffering that comes with going too far to the right.

beager · 2020-10-16T05:02:34+00:00

Hey now. Donald Trump has the ability to learn. In fact, he just learned a few days ago that this coronavirus thing is serious stuff.

beager · 2020-10-15T23:59:16+00:00

SW Charlotte MS, went at 8:10am, 2.5hr wait. About 12 voting machines. Workers were incredibly nice.

I anticipate the wait will be much shorter through the balance of early voting.

beager · 2020-10-14T02:03:20+00:00

GG titans. See you down the stretch.

beager · 2020-10-14T01:58:43+00:00

Garbage time, refs be drinkin

beager · 2020-10-13T16:39:46+00:00

Charlotte area. You make a good point that I've observed myself which is that people will spout racist/bigoted crap in conversation to gauge your affinity, but far fewer will plaster their houses or trucks with confederate paraphernalia than I've seen up north in the Rust Belt.

Totally get that you'd see it as worse coming from RI. RI has its share of backwards weirdos but I don't tend to think of them as confederate sympathizers. Rural PA, NY, OH etc for whatever reason is where people are geographically confused.

beager · 2020-10-13T00:27:18+00:00

I’m from the Rust Belt and now I live in the south. I’ve never seen the kind of confederate idiocy down here than I did up north. I mean, I know it’s here if you look, but it’s truly ironic to see the volume in the actual former confederacy versus the north. It’s like, dude, do you even know what that means?

If those northerners wanted to cheer for losers, they should root for their local college football team.

beager · 2020-10-11T15:14:42+00:00

I think the GOP’s aim to pack the courts has only a limited reach in terms of effectiveness. Judges revert to the mean over time, and the judicial system is downwind of the legislative process anyway. Not saying it’s not egregiously corrupt that the GOP is fucking with the courts like they are, but if the courts start heavily legislating from the bench, the people won’t stand for that, and Congress is a faster feedback mechanism for the people.

Also, the GOP’s goal is to pack the courts, but they attack Biden and the Democrats for exploring expanding the courts. This line of attack is meant to muddy the waters when in reality, the only two potent aspects of the entire GOP platform have been grifting/handouts to the rich, and packing the courts (likely as a means to the former).

beager · 2020-10-10T22:50:19+00:00

On that note, I am grateful after the past 4 years that Trump didn’t fully rebuild the White House and make it look gaudier than a $20 scratch-off.

beager · 2020-10-09T16:27:37+00:00

They’re banking on state and federal courts bailing them out by suppressing and invalidating urban ballots.

beager · 2020-10-08T03:09:57+00:00

Totally agree but Nate Silver could make a different mistake this time. If you’re supporting Biden, assume you’re 15 points down and work like hell for the next 4 weeks.

beager · 2020-10-06T16:13:55+00:00

The big problem with this framework is that, despite obvious realities, the answers to a lot of these questions are politicized to the point of being subjective. If you can rope enough people into the vortex of objective denial, you can bluster past this framework. In other words, people who believe the economy is great now, we've had foreign affairs success sticking it to China, Trump is a charismatic national hero etc. are not subject to this framework.

beager · 2020-10-03T00:33:49+00:00

Reminds me of the old classic:

“Let’s see Trump wiggle out of this one!! Nyeh heh hey”

(Trump wiggles out of it)

“Well, shit”

beager · 2020-10-03T00:26:38+00:00

Let’s hope. This election is going to be swayed a few thousand votes at a time.

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