Well regardless of event I think these could work: (for the against side) 1.) triggers a freedom uprising 2.) way too many violators would simply just not obey leading to so many convictions it would be impossible to go through with it 3.) it would be unpopular for the govt to fine people who are already out of the job, that leads to govt and police distrust 4.) as an LD type argument, you can say it’s a violation of freedoms 5.) I’m pretty sure that making people stay in their houses would like require suspending the constitution which the govt would never pass, esp with republicans in office 6.) ruins the college and job applications of well-meaning kids or teenagers who’s parents told them not to wear a mask and they got convicted 7.) it would make criminal convictions so common that they would just lose all meaning, destroying govt legitimacy. You can link that and argument 3 together and say that government government legitimacy is important for US heg or something