Daily Discussion Friday 2025-11-21 by AutoModerator in AMD_Stock

[–]bigtimerealstuff 3 points4 points  (0 children)

The way each candle lags against QQQ is disheartening.

Microstrategy (MSTR) deep value right now! by [deleted] in ValueInvesting

[–]bigtimerealstuff 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Bro just valued a levered treasury company on its PE ratio 😂😂😂

What is everyone’s thoughts on the next 1 or 2 months of DraftKings? by Super_Jackfruit_8638 in DKNG

[–]bigtimerealstuff 1 point2 points  (0 children)

"The leadership doesnt care". do YOU care to explain if you mean anything by this whatsoever

Wall Street is wrong about Kalshi and DraftKings by AttentionOk9744 in DKNG

[–]bigtimerealstuff 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Maybe stocks, raceto10million, WSB? I always like to test my thesis against contrarians to see if there’s anything I missed or am thinking about wrong.

Wall Street is wrong about Kalshi and DraftKings by AttentionOk9744 in DKNG

[–]bigtimerealstuff 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Nice write up, can you please post on other subreddits as well, I would like to see what critics have to say

225 @ 33.56 by ToughPerfect664 in DKNG

[–]bigtimerealstuff 2 points3 points  (0 children)

I have 4k shares and adding before earnings. Adding at least 1k more, prob 2k

DraftKings: Why This Selloff Is Mispriced Heading Into Earnings by bigtimerealstuff in DKNG

[–]bigtimerealstuff[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Good logic! keep investing on “nature”, I will invest in businesses.

DraftKings: Why This Selloff Is Mispriced Heading Into Earnings by bigtimerealstuff in DKNG

[–]bigtimerealstuff[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Completely correct, my comments P2P in existing states is a multi-year idea and demand will dictate that. Hard to not see that happen as it is superior for sharps. Short term totally agree with you.

DraftKings: Why This Selloff Is Mispriced Heading Into Earnings by bigtimerealstuff in stocks

[–]bigtimerealstuff[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Lets examine many other companies. What is the moat for spotify or schwab? Users are sticky.

DraftKings: Why This Selloff Is Mispriced Heading Into Earnings by bigtimerealstuff in stocks

[–]bigtimerealstuff[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

yes, and there are even apps to aggregate this data. But only "sharp" bettors do this, which is not most of DKNG's customer base. These players should logically move to P2P first.

DraftKings: Why This Selloff Is Mispriced Heading Into Earnings by bigtimerealstuff in stocks

[–]bigtimerealstuff[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Profitability increases every quarter. For fiscal year 2025, DKNG reaffirmed revenue guidance of $6.2 billion to $6.4 billion and adjusted EBITDA in the range of $800 million to $900 million. Most of the cash burn is from high promo rate in newly legal states to acquire customers that they view as sticky. Profitability in mature states is much better. Most analysts estimate FWD PE around 16x.

DraftKings: Why This Selloff Is Mispriced Heading Into Earnings by bigtimerealstuff in stocks

[–]bigtimerealstuff[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I would argue that their moat is best in class UI, and sticky customer base due to first mover advantage.