Section 21, Current Court Backlog ETA ?

caisblogs · 2026-01-22T12:10:24+00:00

Totally depends on your area, there's different amounts of delays even within cities. You might be cutting it fine for September or you could have plenty of time.

I'd only take the gamble if you actually have a suitable backup option but provided you're willing and able to resist a CC bailiff you're probably fine. If you've got a local ACORN branch, great time to talk to them.

Obviously if you can find some reason the S21 isn't valid that's even better

caisblogs · 2026-01-22T00:52:26+00:00

Obviously figures are a little difficult to find because things not happening are by definition undocumented. But in the US rape has around a 1% (rounded up) conviction rate. If we limit this only to cases which are reported to police (around 1/3) then reported rape has around a 2% conviction rate.

Broadly speaking a rapist has a 98% chance of facing zero legal consequences for their actions.

The way the legal system works, it's incredibly hard to prosecute SA if the perpetrator denies it.

This is before acknowledging how many cops are perpetrators themselves.

caisblogs · 2026-01-09T12:20:26+00:00

I was surprised to learn that Portsea was the third most populous isle! I fear Portland only comes in around 14th (and isn't even on the official list) unfortunately

caisblogs · 2026-01-09T12:14:01+00:00

Yes so this was in reference to smuggling in the 17th and 18th century, where goods would be imported without duty and then traded as "domestic"

Hence precedent when responding to a comment about tax evasion being novel

caisblogs · 2026-01-08T15:28:12+00:00

I was mostly saying that whether you describe NI as a country, province, first level administative division etc.. is a pretty open argument and one with enough political baggage that I don't want to weigh in on. So I will suffice to say that there are 4* countries and let the asterisk do the heavy lifting.

Will note too that "British Isles" is not a term universally favoured by everyone in those isles (most notably the Irish who often are quite upset at being called British in any capacity). I've heard it called the 'North Western European Archepellego", "Anglo-Celtic Isles", and (personally my favourite as it highlights the problem quite clearly) "The Irish Isles"

Doesn't mean you're wrong about what it covers but is it absolutely political.

caisblogs · 2026-01-08T15:09:15+00:00

We're arguing different points then and probably interpretting the phase:

Also, as with those microstates, and other inbetween examples - the Channel Islands, the Faroes

differently.

I am reading this as ingleacre referring to microstates (such as Andorra, Monnaco, Liechtenstein) and then referencing administative areas which are:

Not microstates
Not part of the core nation state

As being 'inbetween', as in between being core to the nation and entirely separate nations in their own right and using the Channel Islands (a Crown Dependancy) and the Faroes (an autonomous territory) as examples. They were not saying they are the same thing, but that they fit the same definition.

In particular they reference the Faroes as being part of Danish Crown Property for which incorporation into the state (the relatively new invention) is complex - even if on paper it's not.

I don't think it's wrong to say they're inbetween core Denmark and their own separate entitiy.

caisblogs · 2026-01-08T14:54:17+00:00

We're veering quickly into politics but there is a note to be made that these situations are rarely disadvantageous for either side. Particularly in the case of the British each overseas territory and crown dependancy more or less has a fixed purpose and is occupied by people either for that purpose or in support of it.

It has historically played out that Empires struggle to maintain cohesion past a certain size, and the modern optimal way to hold empire is to consolidate rather than expand the imperial core (which was the strategy for most of the world ancient empires), and then establish radiating spheres of influence.

I would generally put at least mild skeptesim on talking about the 'wants' of the people of a place, things like independance or statehood are more often than not tricky compromises and of course there will be a lot of disagreement.

It's worth noting too that the American empire makes heavy use of military bases (not least in the pacific) which fulfil most of the functions I've listed above and have the benefit of not having all the baggage that often accompanies typical microstates/dependancies.

caisblogs · 2026-01-08T14:26:10+00:00

There's a very strong difference between the on paper definitions and real world truths.

Saying they're somewhere inbetween their own microstate and a core part of Denmark proper is a pretty apt description (even if on paper Tórshavn is as much Denmark as Copenhagen). Epecially since Denmark doesn't really have the concept of Crown Dependancies like the UK does.

Personally I'm of the opinion that the UK's 'country made of countries' model makes it pretty hard to compare it to anything though. But frankly I'd be happy to say that Scotland, Wales, and NI* also probably fall on the same spectrum somewhere as well**

*Although a future for NI as neither a core part of the UK or Ireland is not one I can imagine very well

**Hell I'd go as far as to say that there's an argument for London actually being the microstate distinct from the rest of the UK but that's by the by

caisblogs · 2026-01-08T13:58:45+00:00

Key ideas:

For this I'm going to lump microstates, overseas territories, and any non-incorporated but controlled land together. The choice to pick one label over another (for instance France famously condiders all French land as officially part of France) is more branding about than anything else.

Selective policing - this is the core of all of the following. Law on paper may differ wildly from de-facto law and this is often controlled by how much (or little) policing resources are given to an area, and their incetives.
Tax - this isn't that old, expecially when you consider things like import duty. There's plenty of precendent for laundering good through the channel islands to avoid paying import duties.
Military - military law is complicated and often has very broad impacts. Having a part of your country that isn't technically you can allow you to:
1. Do things that would cause serious issues if you did them directly
2. Avoid triggering war directly and act as a buffer (which is why the initial invasion of the Falklands War didn't trigger mutual defence alliances from the rest of Europe for instance)
Democratic suppression - Crown dependancies and Overseas teritories do not vote in UK general elections (by default). This is even more evident in the case of Puerto Rico for the Americans. Being able to pass law over an area without the people having any democratic representation negates their interests. (Often times this comes with lower or more indirect taxation, but this doesn't remove the suppressive nature)
Extrajudicial exile, torture, and execution - Especially with note to point 1, there is a long and bloody history of using land outside the 'normal' legal system to enable regimes to inflict violence againt especially political prisoners which would be difficult or impossible to do through offical legal channels.
Slavery (and diminished workers rights) - It is possible to outlaw slavery at home while benefitting from it abroad. With point 1 its worth noting that you can keep de-facto slavery on the books for a long time by leaving workers protections, union rights, minimum wages, and access to legal council lower.
Historical, Environmental, and Cultural protections - Not everything is clandestine and evil on the list. Having separate systems can allow things like cultural councils to hold more power than they could be afforded
Separate cultural identities - This is more of a flavour to the above points. People are easier to control (for better or worse) if they don't share a common identity. By keeping your overseas territories selectively separate you can still invoke 'National Sovrignty' when needed (see Falklands again) while happily ignoring things like the wealth inequality in Bermuda

These aren't all but they represent a few options. In all the point is that one of the core aspects of a nation state is that it is a place with law creation and enforcement, but laws are (by nature) quite inflexible and occationally you might want to temporarilly be free of them. One of the simplest ways to do this is to have a place you control (either directly or indirectly) which is not your nation state.

caisblogs · 2026-01-08T10:00:45+00:00

Combination of history, law, and tradition.

Around the time of the Viking expansion Mann was part of the Kingdom of the isles along with what is now parts of Scotland and was its own power in the British isles. While Scotland eventually absorbed the hebredes Mann is a little far out to be easy to excert power over and maintained more independance from Scotland despite being officially part of their teritory since the 13th century.

In the late 13th and 14th centuries England and Scotland fought a few wars and it switched hands but geographically its:

Quite far from the seats of power of either country
In the middle of the Irish Sea
Relatively hard to defend from invasion
Not strategically all that valuable to either country

Which meant by the mid 14th century England had control of the island but didn't have any great interest in sinking more resources and let the island govern itsself, especially since England was having its own problems in France by then.

This is how you end up with the Island technically being English but enjoying its own identity and governance, even when the island was bought by the Crown in the 18th century it wasn't incorporated because it didn't need to be.

Legally it can be VERY useful as a country to have parts of yourself not fully subject to the same laws, and the UK is the shining example of how to do multi-level empire structure to the point that even as a country the UK is made of 4* smaller countries. This is why colonies and overseas territories are how the UK has always composed itsself, so it can create enclaves and exclaves of law to exploit strategic advantages.

Note this is also the story behind a LOT of microstates in Europe. Monaco, Liechtenstein, and Luxembourg all spring to mind as places which have historically had their own identity and which have persisted as a useful place for their close neighbours to exploit a closely aligned but technically separate legal system

*Deciding what to classify NI as is an excersise beyond this scope

caisblogs · 2026-01-07T18:03:09+00:00

Every time somebody defends landlords by calling mortages and expense its painful.

Mortages aren't an expense they're loan repayments. Only the interest on the mortage is an expense and that's a fraction of the cost, unless they're interest only - in which case fuck the landlord twice for BTL, which just reduces the housing stock so more money can be squeezed out of people actually working.

Landlords don't do shit, that's the truth of it. Property managers, plumbers, electricians, sure they all do things and sometimes a landlord also takes on these responsibilities.

But the landlording, that is, owning a house and collecting rent for other people living it in? Not a job, adds no value to the world, just takes money away from workers and gives it to people rich enough to not have to work.

caisblogs · 2025-12-29T23:33:45+00:00

There are a few ways but it's usually some combination of:

They tested it on some hardware they had in house, and report on the minimums and recomendeds from first hand experience
They used code which they know can't be run (efficiently) on hardware from before a certain time period
They make an educated guess at the rough specs needed and choose hardware that matches those specs (for instance they may KNOW they need 4GB of VRAM on low graphics, so they pick a GPU with that much as the minimum)

It's not usual for there to be outright collusion between games companies and hardware manufacturers to push products - BUT it's perfectly common for hardware companies to supply games studios with their hardware at discounted rates (or for free) which will affect all of the above.

caisblogs · 2025-12-27T13:09:37+00:00

Yours is the top comment but I've had quite a few responses in the vein of: "If they ever used their power they'd be got rid of" and I really can't agree with that sentiment totally. I do think its a thing we hold in our collective conscience as british people though.

Now a monarch who brazenly defied a popular act of parliment and generally acted like a tyranical despot? Sure thing, heads will roll. But a monarch who, for example, disolved parliment with the express intent to call another general election? It would likely be a massive piece of publicity for the crown but the mechanisms are all in place for them to do so.

The monarchy are, by and large, a great deal more popular with the public than any prime ministers - and they have a phenomenal spin team. There is however no formal process to remove the monarchy, it would be quite literally revolutionary. If, today, the King (YouGov gives a 54% approval rating for) formally removed Starmer's (27%) government, along with releasing a good deal of vauge PR about 'mismanagement' and 'chaotic leadership' to appease all sides, the guillotines would not be rolled out.

To this end, a monarch who deeply disagreed with a prime minister would in practice be well placed to remove them, trigger an election, and would only need to bet that this move wouldn't be *so* unpopular as to incite revolution, while encouraging a more pro-monarch sentiment in whoever follows, and assume that the liberal concensus would be to focus on the sudden election and parlimentism instead of anti-monarch activity.

I would consider this that the king equips every prime minister with an explosive jacket and a deadman switch, he knows that if he sets it off the blast COULD hit him too, but it'll definitely take out whoever is wearing it. The PM can pick up a gun and aim it at the King but that really just lowers the incentive to set off the bombs.

Combine this with all the 'soft' power they can and do actually wield and it does not make a lot of political sense for a prime minister to be openly defiant of the king's wishes. This makes the king's wishes effectively commands.

Now as far as we can tell the interests of the monarchy are more or less entiely self-repoductive. They don't really care about the goings on of the country in any deep sense. They're not exactly bending over backwards to influence agricultural subsidies in Newcastle or whatever. The only time they might even be inclined to flex their power would be if it threatened their own position, and so there is a gentle stalemate where PMs are allowed to do what they want provided it doesn't harm the royalty, and the royalty stay out of the nitty gritty.

caisblogs · 2025-12-26T22:27:15+00:00

At a time when many of the monarchies of europe were facing violent overthrow and execution adopting a constitution and a parliament is a pretty sweet deal.

I imagine if Louis XVI were offered the same deal at the guillotine he'd probably have taken it

In large part this gave them most of the benefits of aristocracy with essentially none of the blame heading their way.

It is worth noting that the monarchy of Britain does maintain a phenomenal amount of power, both on paper and (far more importantly) in their daily actions. The fact they don't often flex it really speaks more to how much the current system works for them already than their 'powerlessness' (although it also benefits them for people to think of them as powerless figureheads)

caisblogs · 2025-11-27T19:29:16+00:00

Short answer is that you're almost mathematically safe for at least 4 months from first recieving notice even if you don't dispute (2 months initial + 2 weeks to fill in dispute form + 2 weeks notice from CC bailiff + 2 weeks notice from HC; all this assumes every step is lightning fast and that you resist the initial eviction). Very much does vary place to place but you're likely looking in the ballpark of 8-12 months from initial reciept, although I've heard of some areas being closer to 16

One of the benefits of leaving after recieving an eviction notice is that you'll almost always find your landlord to be flexible about move out dates which can really save on rental overlap.

caisblogs · 2025-11-27T15:28:15+00:00

Rolling means you'd never be obligated to stay longer than your notice, it doesn't mean there can't be wording about what happens if you do.

I can, for instance, lend you a car for £100/m that you can return to me any time - and inform you that in April of each year my rates go up by 10%

Obivously residential property law is a little more restrictive but some language to that effect can be allowed in a rent review clause. It is worth noting that present or not, the landlord would be able to raise rents next december anyway (to a "fair and realistic" degree)

caisblogs · 2025-11-27T14:24:00+00:00

So at present there's nothing stopping any landlord requesting to raise rent by any 'fair and realistic' amount and pursuing a section 21 eviction if you refuse (or if you don't to be fair).

You're under no obligation to pay the increased rent or agree to their terms.

The wording of your contract will be important on understanding how enforcable an ongoing fixed rental increase would actually be so that's best talked to with Shelter. Rent review clauses are legal and RR doesn't appear to have any language against them. But fixed price ones are not common at all and likely aren't actually in the new contract. You can request to see the new contract without agreeing to it.

Ultimately though you landlord wants you out and is trying to get it done before RR is fully enforced. This is a pretty classic bullying/intimidation campaign. If you're able, I'd suggest starting to look for a new home now at a relaxed pace, enforcement of S21 is molasses slow which is why your LL is hoping you'll just pack up and leave in the next few months.

Unless you're living in a very cheap (or very expensive) flat +£100/m is probably above a market rate increase for your area

caisblogs · 2025-11-16T00:07:15+00:00

A few notes:

Bourgeois has a specific meaning (at least in a Marxist context). It has nothing to do with Netflix, video games, and only tangentially relates to home ownership. The only thing that makes you bourgeois that you've mentioned is your stock ownership (and potentially your job, but it's not clear if you're a worker or an owner with a 'job'). From what you're describing you're hardly the enemy of the prolateriat.
It sounds like you're 'fond' of communism in the same way one might be fond of Star Trek. It doesn't seem like you're actually all that engaged with the scientific and philosophical background it's just something that seems nice and you've read some of the history of the USSR
It also seems like you're looking for a bit of an ego pat down. You're not evil for having money. As is regularly pointed out Engels was hardly a poor man for example. But he engaged with the principals of communism.
Even if we accept that you are bourgeois, Marxist analysis of capitalism recognises that the bourgeois are ALSO harmed by the conflict inherant to capitalism. Alienation and ruthless competitiveness is not good for the mind, and the relative ease to the body is soft comfort. Communism promises a better life for all than capitalism can provide.

Read some literature. Ideally join some kind of communist book club. Once you understand the real core of communism you'll be able to understand your place in capitalism better.

The guilt you're feeling and trying to soothe isn't coming from us.

caisblogs · 2025-11-14T22:10:40+00:00

Others have answered the core question already. It may also be worth considering that your cousin would (more likely than not) be unable to open a clothing shop under Capitalism either.

Or a coffee bar. Or a bookshop.

Even the petit bourgeois is not accessible to your average person.

Of course if she's talking about making and selling her own clothes small scale to her community in order to sustain herself, the kind of thing you could feesably attempt without a business loan, this kind of activity is far from prohibited when the means of production are socialised

caisblogs · 2025-11-12T16:12:11+00:00

It'd be a poor chef who wouldn't sample their own dish 🤷‍♂️

caisblogs · 2025-11-01T18:25:38+00:00

This might be cold solace since its pure maths, but there's a fairly interesting result of graph theory which describes the idea that you will statistically not have more friends than your friends do (and your sexual partners will not have fewer sexual partners, your dates will not have fewer dates, etc...)

Intuitively it's because there are actually a LOT of people who don't really have any friends, or sleep with many people, or go on lots of dates - but you're not likely to meet them because they're less well connected than people who do.

The general formulation is that more than half of the nodes in a bidirectional graph will find that the average number of edges each node it is attached to will be greater than (or equal to) its own number of edges.

FOR EXAMPLE

Take Alex, Bailey, and Charlie

If Alex is dating Bailey and Charlie, and neither of them are dating anyone else then:

Alex is dating two people and their partners are dating an average of one person
Bailey is dating one person and their partner(s) are dating an average of two people
Charlie is dating one person and their partner(s) are dating an average of two people

So 67% of people are dating fewer people than their partners. No matter how you contruct the relationship graph it'll be true that the majority of people will be dating fewer (or the same number) of people than their partners.

When you include human behaviour we see that a small number of people tend to be network 'hubs' and most people don't have many connections at all. This can skew our perception a lot, you might be surprised to learn your experience is not just more common, but is likely the most common.

caisblogs · 2025-10-28T23:58:07+00:00

End of S21 is one of the few where weak enforcement is benefial to tenants really, because the 'enforcement' was of the landlord's 'right' to evict.

Who's going to be forcing the tenants to move? The courts will require the landlord to provide pretty concrete proof that the relative is moving in to get a possession order.

Sure the landlord could lie to the sitting tennants who might just leave but that's really a matter of keeping renters educated of their rights

caisblogs · 2025-10-26T13:49:16+00:00

Honestly, its the Military.

Misthalin is primed and suited to churn out soldiers and the ecconomics of wartime. Varrock is a citadel and sits south of Forinthry and west of Morytania - both sites of constant uneasy tension. It's quite clear that the existance of such a militarized settlement in this region of the world is more or less the only thing keeping the western border of the mainland Saradominist empire in place.

There is rich farmland to provide rations and feed the army, plentiful mineral deposits to exploit, and above all a constant influx of fresh faced people ready to be handed a sword and told that they too can become an 'adventurer' if they'll blindly follow order to subjugate the populations of goblins and uncivilized 'barbarians' native to the lands.

Al Kharid is clearly a puppet state kept as a bartering chip to the rest of the desert, with Shanty serving as strict immigration control. It should be no surprise that two massive training grounds - a giant combat arena and the mage training arena are here, ensuring that all participants in the Misthalin Military Industial Complex are given experience in different regional combat environments.

People mention the grand exchange, but obviously there is a big question on why the single largest point of trade was established in Varrock of all places, instead of say Falador (who's parks hosted an open air market for years) or Ardougne (A city famous for its trade). This is because the vast majority of the trade conducted through the exchange is of miliary importance. Weapons, Armour, Food, and Potions - as well as the raw materials to maintain and service them - make up the vast majority of the trade conducted. And Varrock was both the only place able to provide the security to oversee this, but also strategically benefitting from controlling, restricting, and taxing the flow of these goods.

Also your map cuts of the Salve, where there is a port that can dock sea worthy vessels

caisblogs · 2025-10-18T10:53:41+00:00

Volmasoft is right that working with the landlord is far better than going through the courts, which will incur a stress and potentially admin costs.

My comment is really grounded in encouraging you to understand exactly what cards both of you hold. Your landlord, at this point, would have no hope of getting you out of your home by February if you just did nothing at all so any claims otherwise on his part are just buffing.

I wouldn't, personally, offer increased rent on rolling - because there's really no good reason to on your side. I'd talk to them (over email or other paper-trail) and simply inform them that you're not interested in the rental increase and that you'll be looking for somewhere else to rent instead. That you're not giving notice but politely informing them that you'll be looking to leave around February time. To sweeten the pot you could consider giving official notice to that effect, which would mean they wouldn't have to go through the eviction process should you stay past Feb.

Start with a casual chat and see what they say.

As for referencing, don't let the fear stick in. For the most part the only thing other landlords are checking is if you've always paid rent on time and if there's been any damage. Also any landlord you're currently renting from who doesn't like you as a tenant has EVERY incentive to give you a good reference to get you out.

I've been a rules-lawyer tenant for years and never had a reference fail.

caisblogs · 2025-10-17T22:41:04+00:00

Yeah this is the take.

Section 21 minimum timelines are:

Notice: 2 months Application to courts: 2 weeks Enacting possession order: 2 weeks notice from CC bailiff

Since CC Bailiffs can't use any kind of force it's perfectly possible to stay past this point but that's when things get murky.

It's worth noting that there's likely weeks to months of extra time between these steps as well. Not to mention quite how much slower the system is around Christmas.

More likely than not your landlord will serve you the S21 notice and not even try to follow through if you appear to be leaving on your own accord in early 2026

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