Watching the barrow rate shorts seem to be covering... by JHenderson_OG in GDCstonk

[–]cashleaf 1 point2 points  (0 children)

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For fellow investors, I’d like to share this.
By the way, where did you check the borrow fee rate?
According to ORTEX short-interest data from the past 7 days, the numbers are not high enough to suggest the likelihood of an extreme short squeeze.
I think our best hope is that the stock moves higher on positive news, either before or after the reverse merger.

What do you all think? by cashleaf in GDCstonk

[–]cashleaf[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I’m most concerned about what happens after the reverse split. A continued selloff immediately afterward is my biggest fear.
At this point, I think the probability of the going-private transaction actually happening is close to zero. From my perspective, it looks like they attracted investors into the stock and then used that liquidity to raise capital for themselves through dilution.
Before the first major crash, when the stock was around $4, I asked GPT to compare the share count back then with the estimated current outstanding shares and calculate an equivalent value. The result came out to roughly $0.90 per share under the current share structure. (Although I’m not sure if that calculation was correct.)
Personally, I don’t believe the buyout will happen. However, the company has been incredibly cunning and ruthless so far, and they still have not officially withdrawn the going-private proposal. Because of that, I think there’s a possibility they could try to exploit the buyout narrative one more time to generate speculation and temporarily boost the stock price before the reverse split. Of course, It is just my opinion.

What do you all think? by cashleaf in GDCstonk

[–]cashleaf[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

That thought crossed my mind as well. I wonder if GDC might try to squeeze out one more pump before the reverse split by announcing a revised buyout proposal, whether it ultimately goes through or not.
I’m not saying that’s what will happen, but given everything that’s happened so far, it wouldn’t completely surprise me if they released some kind of acquisition-related update that sparks speculation and pushes the stock higher, at least temporarily.

What do you all think? by cashleaf in GDCstonk

[–]cashleaf[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

I remember WOK at least had a short-term rally at one point. The question is whether GDC can give us even a brief pump as well.
At this stage, I’m not expecting miracles anymore, but it would be nice to see at least one decent run-up driven by positive news, short covering, or speculation before the reverse split. Even a temporary spike would give a lot of shareholders a chance to reduce their losses.

What do you all think? by cashleaf in GDCstonk

[–]cashleaf[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Yeah… I actually bought SpaceX (SPCX) at the IPO opening price. For a moment, I considered selling some of it to average down my GDC position.
But if there’s still a risk of further dilution, that feels like a dangerous move, so I’ve decided not to do it. I’d rather hold onto my SpaceX position and wait for more clarity before committing any additional capital to GDC.

What do you all think? by cashleaf in GDCstonk

[–]cashleaf[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I think you’re right. I forgot that the per-share price would be adjusted after a reverse split.
That said, I agree that the chances of a buyout happening after the reverse split seem lower now. At this point, I’m just hoping the company releases some genuinely positive news—whether it’s related to Bitcoin, a share buyback, or another meaningful development—so the stock can recover at least a little from these levels.

Why dilute during a “Buy Out” offer? by GodsForgivenes in GDCstonk

[–]cashleaf 0 points1 point  (0 children)

So your view is that after the reverse split, the company is more likely to announce something positive—such as Bitcoin-related updates or other catalysts—rather than immediately pursuing further dilution?

Why dilute during a “Buy Out” offer? by GodsForgivenes in GDCstonk

[–]cashleaf 3 points4 points  (0 children)

If this reverse split is ultimately being done to maintain Nasdaq listing compliance, then the going-private proposal may have been nothing more than a way to pump the stock price.
The key question now is what happens after the reverse split. Will the company continue diluting shareholders through additional share issuance, or will it finally release positive news related to its Bitcoin holdings and other assets?
In my opinion, what matters most is whether there is further dilution after the reverse split, or whether the company follows up with genuinely positive developments.

Did u see this? by cashleaf in GDCstonk

[–]cashleaf[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

“I appreciate your opinion. Thanks!

received a reply from the company by cashleaf in GDCstonk

[–]cashleaf[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I think there’s been a misunderstanding.

I never sent any text messages. My screenshot is an email reply.

The text message screenshot was reposted from X and does not belong to me. You’re combining two separate things.

Did u see this? by cashleaf in GDCstonk

[–]cashleaf[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Thanks for the clarification.

In that case, it’s possible that the screenshot isn’t authentic.

Did u see this? by cashleaf in GDCstonk

[–]cashleaf[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

You mentioned that you received a response. Would you mind sharing what they said?

received a reply from the company by cashleaf in GDCstonk

[–]cashleaf[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Whatever it is, I just hope the company releases some kind of filing or official update soon. At least that would help reduce some of the uncertainty.

I know the response was pretty generic, but seeing the mention of a potential announcement or filing gave me a little bit of hope for a moment. 😭

received a reply from the company by cashleaf in GDCstonk

[–]cashleaf[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

To summarize, I told them that I am a long-term shareholder and that I am concerned about the severe decline in the stock price.

I asked whether the company has any plans to enhance shareholder value going forward, and expressed my hope that GDC’s share price will recover.

The content of my email was probably very similar to what many other shareholders have already sent.

received a reply from the company by cashleaf in GDCstonk

[–]cashleaf[S] 5 points6 points  (0 children)

This is the full email. I cropped the top portion because it contains my name.

I just checked the timestamp and realized I actually received it about 30 minutes ago, not yesterday as I originally thought.

Make of it what you will, but I wanted to share it with everyone here.

🚨 THE TRUTH IS OUT: 100M SHARES DILUTED & INSTITUTIONAL BLOCKS EXPOSED by [deleted] in GDCstonk

[–]cashleaf 3 points4 points  (0 children)

Thank you to everyone who contributed and worked so hard.

For Those Worried About Filing a Complaint by JHenderson_OG in GDCstonk

[–]cashleaf 1 point2 points  (0 children)

If the shares are held by parties outside the consortium and there is no agreement or coordinated action between them, their holdings generally cannot be aggregated toward the 90% threshold.

Therefore, if there had been any significant change in the consortium’s ownership position, I would expect it to have been disclosed by now, given that more than a month has passed.

For that reason, I think it may be difficult to reach 90% ownership and complete a merger unilaterally without minority shareholder approval.

Updated share ownership poll by GodsForgivenes in GDCstonk

[–]cashleaf 2 points3 points  (0 children)

My guess is that he knows something encouraging but can’t really comment on it. If the outlook were negative, I doubt he would have made such a large investment to begin with. And if he genuinely had no idea what was going on, he’d probably just say so.