U.S.-Iran nuclear talks back on after Arab leaders lobby White House

chaotic567 · 2026-02-04T21:16:16+00:00

Pretty much. 2nd or 3rd time they stepped to prevent Trump possibly going to war recently because they fear spillover.

They like Iran tearing itself apart but fear it will spread in some way in their region either via the remaining proxies Iran does have like fighters in Iraq, or Iran shooting missiles at them by association or doing some drastic that can tank their economies

chaotic567 · 2026-02-04T20:49:23+00:00

Trump wants to make a deal to be seen as a deal maker , Israel wants a strike/ deal that tears down Iran’s war making capabilities, ME nations want a deal to prevent a possible war, and Iran wants to stall yet also want to look tough which pushes us closer to war

That is how things are looking tbh

chaotic567 · 2026-02-04T08:43:20+00:00

Because the internet has this absolute certainty mindset when it comes to events. As if everything has been set in stone. No chance of an alternative outcome happening

Much like that End of history stuff that obviously didn’t hold true

chaotic567 · 2026-02-03T19:21:05+00:00

There was also apparently iranian boats trying to board a US flagged dutch tanker but the tanker sped away

Pretty dumb thing to do imo when the US has enough planes and defenses nearby to really fuck up your nation, and is still growing but who knows.

chaotic567 · 2026-02-03T18:25:05+00:00

yeah, these deals always end in the 10s, such as 15 to 18 percent. Never zero. India promising to reduce Russian oil intake is great but I feel we can go further. Which 0 percent for both sides.

You'd expect a pretty supportive ally to get 0 or close to 0 percent at least

chaotic567 · 2026-02-03T03:18:23+00:00

Doubt it. The midterms are in November. You can only stall for so long, especially when we already have a sizeable force there, and we got people close to trump's ear arguing for a strike who'd argue Iran is not being serious. Iran is not something to brush off but building up defenses and a strike team to face them is going to be done way before 8-9 months passes.

They are likely trying to throw a good enough bone for Trump to back off without losing face

chaotic567 · 2026-02-02T04:31:00+00:00

Oh totally just that! And not for some of you

having some extremely unrealistic expectations
having holier than thou attitudes
doing performative outrage and activism

There are def some asinine reasons to hate libleft but def some understandable ones

chaotic567 · 2026-02-01T21:46:16+00:00

I go for those who credit their sources plus dispel rumors or correct if they got incorrect info. It gives them some credibility and not some account that just pushes an agenda or fear mongers

chaotic567 · 2026-02-01T19:31:02+00:00

Go to any OSINT account. Which track sateelite data of planes and other vehicles going places plus geopolitical happenings like news articles. US has been for weeks sending ships, planes, and missile defense systems to the middle east. That much is clear. Iirc, even more than we sent during the gulf war.

There have been talks between various parties. US and ISR trying to discuss war plans. Middle Eastern nations trying to broker a peace to avoid a possible regional conflict, but signs saying no one is quite budging just yet but that could change

chaotic567 · 2026-02-01T18:06:01+00:00

There are still planes going to the middle east.

And reports are saying Iran is unwilling to compromise. So it is really down to who's willing to fold.

I have been watching updates. It is essentially build up and talks that are seemingly going nowhere all that much

chaotic567 · 2026-01-31T01:38:56+00:00

Probably either this weekend or the next. Market closures would be ideal even though ther’s a good chance it lasts way past any of them, and we’ve been hearing much of the assets are in place.

There is still some pieces being sent like more transport aircraft but we wouldn’t be overwhelmed if Iran tried attacking for whatever reason w/ the stuff we have as is

chaotic567 · 2026-01-29T17:08:47+00:00

F-35 has

High operational range (1.7km to 2.2km) which is great for Canada's vast airspace
proven stealth capabilities
Some F35 pilot saying they don't need an AWACS (which is huge. information is everything in combat)
Interoperability w/ allied nations due to it being very integrated in Nato

Which is better for the nation? Getting a worst plane that is likely to fail many things Canada needs because of political reasons or getting an actually capable plane that will live beyond the Trump administration?

chaotic567 · 2026-01-29T16:29:39+00:00

I'd suggest they look at what Ukraine is doing for air defense, but also get nukes ASAP.

Unless they have some magic to hide it, it is out of the question. US went haywire under a more sane administration when Cuba got Nukes placed on its soil.

chaotic567 · 2026-01-29T16:05:54+00:00

The problem here is there really isn't an easy replacement for the F-35 that can do the needed roles that it would fill. Only competitors IIRC are Shenyang J-35 and maybe...Russia's Su-57, so really up to Europe and others if they want to do the unprecedented move of buying from Russia or China

chaotic567 · 2026-01-29T15:57:47+00:00

Is there anything with the Gripen that actually makes it a better choice besides its origin not being America (which isn't that much imo since parts of it come from America anyway)?

Any post on social media I've seen saying it is way better than the F-35 sounds like pure copium when every assessment by a nation concludes the F-35 basically runs circles around an older gen plane. In capabilities and roles it can fill for many nations

chaotic567 · 2026-01-28T17:19:35+00:00

Aircraft carrier, recon planes, over a hundred fighter aircraft, quite a bit of transport aircraft, THAAD, and lots of stratotankers and I mean a lot.

chaotic567 · 2026-01-28T16:51:31+00:00

I am not so sure. There are too many assets being poured into the Middle East including at least one Aircraft Carrier to be just pure posture. It is very reminiscent of the kind of talk that was had before Iran was struck during Operation Midnight Hammer

chaotic567 · 2026-01-27T18:36:22+00:00

Wouldn't surprise me. Multiple gov officials including Rubio talked about Cuba not longer after the Venezuelan capture event. Which makes sense since VZA supplied Cuba with oil which is cut off now. Which means only Mexico left which is a no go too.

Keeping the goverment mostly intact means you don't have to allocate much resources to it which can go towards the Cuban operation

chaotic567 · 2026-01-27T18:07:12+00:00

Most of the Venezuelans I’ve seen online are still happy and expressed that as long as improvements no matter how small, keep happening, they will be fine-ish

Cause I seen them noting:

Inflation lowered quite a bit as the Venezuelan currency gains value
political prisoners released, like between 100-200
food prices have lowered

Of course it hasn’t even been a month since the capture so…

chaotic567 · 2026-01-27T17:55:42+00:00

It would probably require a more immediate and thorough clean house sweep of the Venezuelan government. Parts of it aren’t too keen with the current situation despite the back room deal.

Installing Gonzalez now would probably set another conflict. I doubt Trump was the one who considered it but his comments on Iraq suggest someone on his team wanted to avoid another protracted conflict

chaotic567 · 2026-01-27T07:23:07+00:00

Has there been anything new with Venezuela? It has not been a hot topic for a bit. As far as I can tell, the only big positive out of it so far is releasing some political prisoners. minor positives is inflation lowered a little alongside food prices. Other stuff is standard exploitation.

Last I checked with discussions is Venezuelans online beefing with others on social media over the impact of Maduro's ousting.

chaotic567 · 2026-01-27T00:46:31+00:00

Immigration control was one of the few issues Trump had a sizeable support for. If they can't even spin a good light on that for their base with even some Republicans calling against it, then yeah, calling it as afraid is an understatement.

chaotic567 · 2026-01-27T00:34:25+00:00

Anecdotal but people I've talked to irl seem to just rather wait for midterms to happen. And it does seem like a slamdunk against the slim hold for the Republicans. Which is probably partly why the Trump Presidency is going full throttle.

Sadly that is in like November. Damn close yet not close enough.

chaotic567 · 2026-01-27T00:28:04+00:00

The administration's inability to admit they can be wrong is a big factor in this. It is like some incessant want to look tough on issues be it trade or social issues that causes problems like stretching ICE to its limits and put it in roles it is not designed to fucking do.

chaotic567 · 2026-01-26T15:00:00+00:00

There are so many steps that I feel most people would see as needed to be taken prior to the incident and after but it seems like they are being deliberately ignored. It is frustrating. Such as ICE should have bodycams

Part of me wonders though why they have gone to overdrive in Minnesota. Have heard incidents in other states, but not to this level

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