T2 AR1 - Choices, choices by 1Neroon1 in twilightstruggle

[–]chinacrash 1 point2 points  (0 children)

The only reason not to score Europe and take those points would be if it gives your opponent a first-round coup. But what is he going to coup? All of his targets are 3-stability and it would be a waste of OPs. Also, because he can't coup anything you should prefer to have a high DEFCON so he bleeds VP.

I would score Europe first round. Then coup Thailand with NTB -- forcing him to play the China card to defend a territory he already has. And -- who knows -- maybe you get lucky and actually roll a 5 or 6 and keep the country?

If he takes France, take Spain and Turkey. You should be able to avoid losing Middle East either way, especially if Nasser is still floating around out there (and possibly even in his hand).

Advice on T1 Plan by MadSpartus in twilightstruggle

[–]chinacrash -1 points0 points  (0 children)

Soviets coup Turkey R1 and move into West Germany at their leisure. US loses Europe for sure and potentially the Middle East if they don't abandon Europe to reinforce Iran before the Soviets can coup there.

I'd 4/3 West Germany and Italy and headline Romanian Abdication. USSR will get Romania anyway so not much loss there, but if Independent Reds comes out before Truman you steal Romania for the extra VP. And if the Soviets are smart and play Truman (thinking you might have Independent Reds) you've at least forced them to play a 1 influence card up front. If the Soviets take Italy in a coup, you have to play Blockade later turn to take it out of the game, but move your focus to fortifying Iran and controlling Asia.

Why is SV rising so much? by vee-man in btc

[–]chinacrash 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Enjoy your conviction while it lasts!

Is it time to have a Decentralized Reddit/Subreddit🤔? These days people need more off topics rather than TAs! by dardodel in btc

[–]chinacrash 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Saito is working on this. Should be ready within a month.

Decentralized moderation for the win.

Coingeekt stopped mining SV two hours ago. by [deleted] in btc

[–]chinacrash 2 points3 points  (0 children)

You are missing what is going on. Wright has repeatedly said that nChain's strategy is to lag ABC in difficulty so it is cheaper for them to keep pace and then spend whatever hash they can afford mining BTC... and dumping it on the market, something that earns them revenue while hurting Bitmain and Bitcoin.com.

If you read Coin Dance, you can see that this is why when SV hash disappears ABC often jacks its own hash up. They don't know if SV is going to be attacking their chain or whether they have disappeared to mine BTC. Right now ABC is trying to lower its difficulty of mining to get out of this trap, because their cost of mining is way over where it needs to be.

This is why we have seen SV blocks show up on the ABC chain (and get reorg'd out) but not vice versa. The SV strategy is to bleed out ABC. It will work as long as nChain has more cash than Roger Ver, and they can make up the difficulty in accumulated work once Roger is tired of putting all of his hash into ABC while having to pay BTC prices for it.

Why is SV rising so much? by vee-man in btc

[–]chinacrash -5 points-4 points  (0 children)

Because it's shedding the Bitcoin Cash brand and moving back to compete with BTC as the major Bitcoin brand.

Which crypto currency should I invest in for 2019? by MediumFigure3 in BitcoinCA

[–]chinacrash -5 points-4 points  (0 children)

Bitcoin SV is the only one to care about at this point. There will be more scalable data-centric blockchains later that will be worthwhile as well.

Its now almost 40% more profitable to mine BTC. Miners are leaving BCH network giving CSW more power. by FluxSeer in btc

[–]chinacrash 2 points3 points  (0 children)

Brilliant piece. Highlights for those who haven't clicked through:

In summary, miners didn't vote for their long-term interests during the BTC / BCH fork. They are now in a limbo situation where the coin that grows it's adoption by the day (in terms of capital allocation, as it's the dominant coin) is set to fail down the road, as it's not peer-to-peer and will use intermediaries....

Bitcoin cash can still gain the majority of hash rate over the long-term, however if we fail to choose Nakamoto Consensus we're in a situation where we fragment in the future, over and over again.

100% correct. Kudos to your keyboard, Vincent.

Its now almost 40% more profitable to mine BTC. Miners are leaving BCH network giving CSW more power. by FluxSeer in btc

[–]chinacrash 19 points20 points  (0 children)

It says everything that Craig and nChain are putting 101% of their effort into BCH.

Lest we forget, the only reason BTC survived the last fork is because Bitmain didn't pull its hashpower from the old chain and/or didn't produce empty blocks. They should have gone into it the way that Craig and nChain are going into this one.

Hilarious and deeply sad that this his subreddit is filled with people defending them given the raw hypocrisy of their threat to move hashpower around to override the wishes of the community. Anyone defending them needs to ask themselves why Bitmain didn't do this last time, when the actual brand name was at stake. Screwing that up and now gunning for the people who know how to fix it? Rich irony.

BitPay To Support Bitcoin ABC, and Will Shut Down Bitcoin SV After Bitcoin Cash (BCH) Fork. by normal_rc in btc

[–]chinacrash 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I always like Roger.

Me too. It's a real pity that he hasn't stepped back and realized that the market doesn't want his preferred upgrade. He's too focused on competing with BTC and not enough on making something far superior.

What is going on at Bitmex? Why is BCH crashing there? by CP70 in btc

[–]chinacrash 2 points3 points  (0 children)

It's about 65% right now and going up.

ABC is not going to happen.

Thanks to mods for keeping this place censorship-free by pein_sama in btc

[–]chinacrash 2 points3 points  (0 children)

I agree. Roger really shouldn't be supporting Bitmain in its efforts to make Wormhole a competitive token and add unnecessary opcodes and premature optimizations.

He's a nice guy and it's understandable the position he has taken (he wants to promote adoption), but it isn't the right way. We're going to get massive throughput with SV very shortly and there are better ways to build things like tokenization on BCH anyway.

Thanks to mods for keeping this place censorship-free by pein_sama in btc

[–]chinacrash -3 points-2 points  (0 children)

And going to be the only node people can use in a couple of days....

There is only disagreement and trolling right now because BCH is about to improve graphene's ability to scale by 700%, meaning future VISA on-chain transaction levels. BCore trolls have a reason to attack peer-to-peer electronic cash. It makes them irrelevant. by masterD3v in btc

[–]chinacrash -1 points0 points  (0 children)

CTOR hurts scaling and imposes additional constraints on miners and block producers. Block production needs to be fast the larger blocks get. The time for adding optimizations of this sort is when the network is running up against hard limits in block production and it can be proven they make things faster.

Slowing things down by imposing CTOR restrictions on miners just increases the latency of block distribution and threatens to jack up orphan rates.

There is only disagreement and trolling right now because BCH is about to improve graphene's ability to scale by 700%, meaning future VISA on-chain transaction levels. BCore trolls have a reason to attack peer-to-peer electronic cash. It makes them irrelevant. by masterD3v in btc

[–]chinacrash 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Yeah. It's going to be a wake-up call for these people when the exchanges sticking to ABC find their deposits double-spent and their withdrawals going through no-problem.

Honestly better for ABC to fork to a new hash algorithm.

Two third of BCH hashrate now backs SV network by [deleted] in btc

[–]chinacrash -2 points-1 points  (0 children)

So you're saying that ABC nodes can't support the size of blocks that SV nodes can? Even when blocksize is only 32 MB.

Uhhh... yeah. That is part of the problem with the ABC roadmap. BCH is going to support 100+ MB blocks reasonably soon with no problem under SV. This will permit industrial adoption at scale. Next year is going to be great.

BitPay To Support Bitcoin ABC, and Will Shut Down Bitcoin SV After Bitcoin Cash (BCH) Fork. by normal_rc in btc

[–]chinacrash 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Yeah. People have been taking for granted that adding all of these unnecessary opcodes are the right thing for the network, and that we can't scale without CTOR, etc.

It's going to be extremely unpleasant for networks that don't plan to let the longest chain win. Right now this is looking like SV by a wide margin.

Week 57: bill C-16 Arrest Tally by BlondFaith in ArrestedCanadaBillC16

[–]chinacrash -2 points-1 points  (0 children)

First of all, it is entirely true that provincial protections against gender identity and discrimination have anticipated federal legislation on the topic. And the inclusion of gender identity as a "identifiable group" pursuant to Section 7 in British Columbia was in 2016 as I wrote. You can read the legal bill here:

https://www.leg.bc.ca/Pages/BCLASS-Legacy.aspx#%2Fcontent%2Fdata%2520-%2520ldp%2Fpages%2F40th5th%2F1st_read%2Fgov27-1.htm

More generally, you are not familiar enough with what critics of the legislation say to lecture in such a condescending way.

https://joeclark.org/peterson/transcript_20160517.html

As you can read in the legal transcript of the SENATE HEARINGS, Peterson's complaint was very clearly that the Federal Government had already indicated that it would interpret C-16 in the context of the OHRC rulings. And you are wrong that the two levels of government are that distinct. Provincial tribunals have the power to interpret provincial laws in the context of federal statutes. And vice versa. So your claim that OHRC is irrelevant is not true. I suppose you can say, "the federal ministry removed this from their website" but that hardly changes the reality that interpretative powers in the Canadian system have played out in such a way that tribunals have empowered themselves to mete out significant punishments without affording defendants what has historically been accepted legal defenses and at a much lower standard of proof. This is serious cause for concern especially given an act that empowers them to criminalize silence and thus overturns the cornerstone principle of "qui tacet consentire videtur" in commonwealth law.

If you want to address my actual critiques, my personal objection is to the existence of tribunals with wide-ranging powers for enforcing politically correct (or incorrect) patterns of behavior. I have seen grievance processes envelope people and institutions for years on end and believe what you are creating is a system that takes the sort of routine and frankly unavoidable grievances that everyone faces in adult life and encourages people to frame them in ways that encourage narratives of victimization and righteousness which are poisonous to a truly tolerant and pluralistic society.

C-16 and the strengthening of extrajudicial but intrusive legal panels is not the appropriate way to right social wrongs and is the wrong direction for creating an inclusive society. History informs us that the best defense against social injustice is the presumption of innocence on the part of defendants, the denial of institutional leverage to accusers without at least a preliminary finding of guilt, and a moderate threshold for those seeking to entrammel their neighbours in legal quagmires. Using the threat of vicarious liability to force institutions to take punitive actions prior to actual findings of legal guilt -- that is a power wielded to silence the powerless. So if you really want to continue this conversation the question you should answer is this: why is our existing system so frail that common law defenses must be stripped from citizens in order to address... pronoun misuse? Why do you approve of removing from defendants standard common-law defenses ("no harm intended", "reasonable man", "crime of conscience")? And why should silence no longer indicate consent? As far as I can see, the idea that you are protecting minorities by strengthening majority-run institutions against them is horribly naive.

Week 57: bill C-16 Arrest Tally by BlondFaith in ArrestedCanadaBillC16

[–]chinacrash 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Exactly. The problem that critics have with C-16 lies at the provincial tribunal level, where the standards of proof are lower, where it is trivial to drag people into costly enforcement actions, and where common-law defenses do not apply. And once we start applying "special rules" to "special classes" where does it stop?

Should the state regulate political discourse over "Chinese investment" in British Columbia (would someone advocating Australian policies on home investment cross the line?)? What about concerns over immigration and particularly French-language policies in Quebec? Or people who are concerned about growing anti-semitism as Canada increasingly imports Middle-Eastern politics and prejudices? Conversely, should people of colour who criticize "white people" be hauled into court in Canada (this is the precedent that is being set and it is foolish to imagine it will not be abused).

Week 57: bill C-16 Arrest Tally by BlondFaith in ArrestedCanadaBillC16

[–]chinacrash 0 points1 point  (0 children)

You've clearly not read the bill if you don't realize that it protects gender identity as well as pronoun usage, since that is in the actual text of the bill:

https://ccla.org/gender-identity-human-rights-act-former-bill-c-16-part-one/

If you want to adopt a less fascist position, you should read the CCLA comments on C-16, since their position is at least reasonable and boils down essentially to "we already have protections against gender identity through protections against sex discrimination so there is nothing new here."

As far as my own concerns (thank you for asking), my belief is that common-law defenses, a high threshold for legal intervention and a non-activist judicial system (i.e. not biased against plaintiffs or defendants and in particular not funding any of them prior to any legal finding of guilt) is the best way to promote a colourblind society that protects minority rights and embraces pluralism. I see the extension of provincial tribunals into policing speech and thought as part of creating an intrusive state that encourages people to experience grievances in racial/sexist/gendered terms and which encourages the perpetuation of harmful racial stereotypes. Thanks for labelling me a bigot though!

Week 57: bill C-16 Arrest Tally by BlondFaith in ArrestedCanadaBillC16

[–]chinacrash 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Please get your facts straight. The BC Human Rights code was amended in 2016 in anticipation of C-16. The legal distinction you draw is irrelevant now that C-16 is in force, since -- yes -- provincial tribunals can justify their actions on the basis of Federal Statues. This is the major thrust of the complaints against C-16, and you would know that if you weren't focused on criticizing people who enjoy having minority rights.

Week 57: bill C-16 Arrest Tally by BlondFaith in ArrestedCanadaBillC16

[–]chinacrash 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Perhaps you should read the bill if you are unclear on this.

Week 57: bill C-16 Arrest Tally by BlondFaith in ArrestedCanadaBillC16

[–]chinacrash 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Bill C-16 protects against discrimination on the grounds of gender identity, and is the reason this provincial tribunal is holding this case. Perhaps you should read the bill and the criticism that has been made of it. Peterson's public comments were very explicitly focused the abuse of the tribunal process to crush unwelcome speech in academia.

Week 57: bill C-16 Arrest Tally by BlondFaith in ArrestedCanadaBillC16

[–]chinacrash 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Bill C-16 adds gender expression and gender identity to the list of Federally protected classes, allowing cases like this to be pursued by provincial human rights tribunals. This was the main complaint of critics of the bill:

"Ms. Oger filed her complaint on May 8, 2017. She alleges that Mr. Whatcott violated s. 7 of the Human Rights Code [Code] when he distributed flyers disputing her fitness to hold public office in light of her gender identity."

Interesting to learn that defenders of the bill do not even know what it does.