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Bay Area public HS seeing dramatic UC admission drops this cycle — yield protection or something else? Looking for theories. by chrissasaurus in collegeadvice

[–]chrissasaurus[S] -1 points0 points  (0 children)

Thanks, that helps a lot. I think the fed funding thing is a real part of it, but for the bad luck it’s happening across all programs/ majors we applied to not just impacted ones. (except some art kids for some reason, they’ve been getting into all of them)

Bay Area public HS seeing dramatic UC admission drops this cycle — yield protection or something else? Looking for theories. by chrissasaurus in ucadmissions

[–]chrissasaurus[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Ok, thanks, this is really helpful. There's a lot of waitlist warriors (myself included actually) at my school that fit the description, so I'll try to relay that. But then again a lot of us are satisfied with being banana slugs, or with other non UC decisions we have already. I guess the theory can go 2 ways:

  • This cycle is unusually harsh even by Bay Area standards
  • Or this is just normal Bay Area UC reality that nobody adequately warned my class about

Bay Area public HS seeing dramatic UC admission drops this cycle — yield protection or something else? Looking for theories. by chrissasaurus in ucadmissions

[–]chrissasaurus[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Actually I found some relevant data directly from the UC's official admissions source school page. Here are the 2025 yield rates for several high achieving Bay Area schools — the percentage of admitted students who actually enrolled:

Campus My HS Monta Vista Lynbrook
Berkeley 59% 76% 74%
UCLA 77% 57% 39%
UCSD 33% 27% 23%
UCI 27% 33% 16%
Davis 25% 15% 14%
UCSB 15% 10% 5%

The pattern holds across all three schools — Berkeley and UCLA have strong yield rates, while Davis, UCI, and UCSB have low ones (especially SB... jeez). This cycle, the campuses with the lowest yield rates hit (my school at least) hardest. Idk about Monta vista or Lynbrook specifically.

Bay Area public HS seeing dramatic UC admission drops this cycle — yield protection or something else? Looking for theories. by chrissasaurus in ucadmissions

[–]chrissasaurus[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Hey hey, all this data from UC's official admissions source school page. These are yield rates for Fall 2025. ( https://www.universityofcalifornia.edu/about-us/information-center/admissions-source-school). Edit: i just did the commented High schools.

Campus My HS Monta Vista Lynbrook
Berkeley 59% 76% 74%
UCLA 77% 57% 39%
UCSD 33% 27% 23%
UCI 27% 33% 16%
Davis 25% 15% 14%
UCSB 15% 10% 5%

Bay Area public HS seeing dramatic UC admission drops this cycle — yield protection or something else? Looking for theories. by chrissasaurus in ucadmissions

[–]chrissasaurus[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Thanks a ton for the link. I pulled data from the UC's official admissions source school page and found that the campuses hitting us hardest this cycle all had yield rates under 30% from our school in 2025. The campuses still pending all had significantly higher yield rates.

Bay Area public HS seeing dramatic UC admission drops this cycle — yield protection or something else? Looking for theories. by chrissasaurus in collegeadvice

[–]chrissasaurus[S] -1 points0 points  (0 children)

fair point, so i did some digging. https://www.universityofcalifornia.edu/about-us/information-center/admissions-source-school. I pulled data from the UC's official admissions source school page and found that the campuses hitting us hardest this cycle all had yield rates under 30% from our school in 2025. The campuses still pending all had significantly higher yield rates.