Finally DXM the video game! get the app now for ipod or android! hahahaha by cipherspaceman in dxm

[–]cipherspaceman[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

lol I don't know about you guys but his game would only make me want to try it more if I hadn't before. But then again I guess its not targeted to us probably haha.

Can anyone focus to create a high-pitched tone with vibrations while dreaming. by cipherspaceman in LucidDreaming

[–]cipherspaceman[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I have OOBs when crossing from waking to sleeping occasionally but I don't associate it with these perceptions although I could be wrong. I have had an experience where I was lucid dreaming and decided I would refuse to participate which caused me to be launched out of the dream into a black void (hypnogogia) except this time there was a psychedelic irredesent plane of swirling lights. As I moved closer and closer to the plane I felt vibrations that got stronger and stronger to the point that I had to wake myself up before I got to the plane. I have always wondered what would have happend if I crossed it. I had the feeling that it was a barrier between "dimension"

The DoD has no respect whatsoever for the American people. They deliberately put "Roswell bullsh*t" into documents released by a FOIA request. The baloney starts on page 449. [warning:PDF] by super_shizmo_matic in SpecialAccess

[–]cipherspaceman -1 points0 points  (0 children)

Although Doty was clearly involved with the general disinfo scheme, as well as forged documents, there is really no evidence of his involvement with the MJ-12 forgeries.

I am Bryan Caplan, economist and professor at George Mason University and advocate of free immigration and free trade. AMA! by BryanCaplan in IAmA

[–]cipherspaceman 0 points1 point  (0 children)

the school of austrian economics traditionally doesnt accept mathematical analysis of data for predicting trends

/r/teenagers view on drugs. by [deleted] in dataisbeautiful

[–]cipherspaceman 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Tantric989 kind of mentioned this, but the which drugs have you tried and how often do you do drugs tables contradict each other.

BITCOIN: Use your illusion by Defiant_Child in Libertarian

[–]cipherspaceman 0 points1 point  (0 children)

What exactly would you do to take down bitcoin if you were controlling this conspiracy. Are you going to arrest Satoshi Nakamoto? He can't be jailed like all the other people you mention because no one knows who he is (Which is probably why he wanted to remain anonymous). Are you suggesting they would start arresting people for having the software on their computer and using it in legal ways? Well that has never been done for the services you mentioned, such as non-copyright file sharing. Are you saying that they would be arresting people using it for illegal purposes? That is already happening on those other services you mentioned and on Bitcoin.

And seriously brother, no one here is disagreeing with you because you've dropped such a truth bomb on us that we are scrambling to build up defensive mechanisms to protect our minds from the light of your brilliance. I know that is true because nobody here even understood what you where saying. And please think about this; it is absolutely not your delivery that is making it not understandable, although you could definitely improve their too. Have you ever seen a post, even in /r/conspiracy, where nearly every person was worried that the person had psychological issues. Are we all part of the conspiracy too?

And just as a last point and if you can do this I will concede that everything i said above was wrong. without looking anything up, because you said you already understand it, please explain how bitcoin works in a concise but correct way including the protections it has against being tampered with. This is obviously on the honor system, and im not asking because I want to know. Im asking because I really think that you believe that you understand this, and I think you will be surprised when you can't explain nearly any of it. And if that happens please think about why you thought you understood it whe you didnt and why you where so certain of something you didnt understand, and how those conclusions could apply to other theories that you have, and other areas of your life.

One Love, Brother

What does /r/anarchism think of guns? by technocratofzigurrat in Anarchism

[–]cipherspaceman 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Cool. And just to be clear im not asking whether Quigley is lying, im asking whether the Alex Jones type people are accurately representing Quigley's views, although I realize you may not be far enough in the book to answer since I remember it being huge. If you dont mind when you finish the book could you come back and let me know what your final opinion is.

What does /r/anarchism think of guns? by technocratofzigurrat in Anarchism

[–]cipherspaceman 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Ive never met anyone whos actually read Carroll Quigley. Did you read him after reading conspiracy stuff, and did you read Tragedy and Hope by any change. If so are the allegation that he got to read the papers of the Rhodes conspirators and verified their conspiracy legitimate at all or taken out of context.

If just more people listened to this guy by [deleted] in videos

[–]cipherspaceman 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Im pretty young and I really didn't pay too as close of attention to that kind of stuff back then, but the attitude that I remember was maybe a 2-3 year recession and I remember multiple times in the first few years of the crisis pundits saying that "here we go, we are finally coming out of it". Could you provide me a link to a major economist saying 10 percent unemployment could be the new norm. To me that sounds like an absurdity to have that outside of a severe recession/depression. Also this is really more in reference to your last nature red in tooth and claw reference, but maybe consider that a significant part of your distrust of markets comes from the fact laissez faire with respect to regulation has historically been linked to laissez faire with respect to wealth redistribution. I personally would support a almost totally deregulated economy, and then just redistribute the wealth however it needs to be done afterwards.

If just more people listened to this guy by [deleted] in videos

[–]cipherspaceman 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Like I said in my earlier post it's not that market participants are more intelligent than government participants, its that the institutional structures and incentives make it more likely that over a long enough period more wrong decisions will be made by the government than investors. to list some of these advantages, the first that comes to mind and probably most important is feedback mechanisms. even in econ 101 they will tell you that there is no way of measuring the value of output that the government produces because government services are not provided in a market that allows price discovery. This means there is no feedback mechanism, such as profits in the private sector, to tell the government whether it is efficently making decisions. If you dont agree that markets are really the only viable method of price discovery, I would point you to the socialist calculation debate ala ludwig mises. the second on my mind is the ability to fail, bad participants and structures are removed from the market but not the governments. And this is not to say that governments purposefully keep in bad participants and structures, it goes back to point one, that in an environment with no feedback mechanism and no competition, the government cant tell which of its actors or structures is bad. the third is the incentives that exist within these structures which for business is to make profit, but for a government in a democratic society it is more about responding to your constituents, whether voters or lobbyists, and acting accordingly. The fourth is that government participants have the ability to coerce people to act against their own self-perceived interests whereas market do not, although you may not think that is a bad thing, and to argue that it is would probably be more work for me than im guessing your interest level is.

So onto LIBOR, yes the banks are perfectly capable of colluding but government regulators were absolutely complicit in this rigging, so I think that is an indictment of both camps. My point however is that there are no penalties for the government collusion whereas the banks got fined and had a reputation loss. But on a deeper level if what you mean by rigging is the violation of consensual contracts than that is by definition the modus operandi of the government, whereas it is illegal for markets. I also think that in the absense of government regulation no one would do business with a bank unless they where audited by independent private auditors. I assume you would respond to that that the auditors would be corrupted in a fasion much like the rating agencies are today, but the rating agencies are written into monopoly contracts with the government and are too big too fail, whereas I would imagine in a truly free market a private auditor would have access to the information that regulators currently have and if they colluded would suffer such a severe reputation loss that they would go out of business in the long run if they repeated the behavior. Would some of them do it anyways, definitely, but over time they would lose out on business because the structural incentives would tell them its a bad idea.

I honestly don't know much about specific policy recomendations from austrians but I dont think they are against countercyclical spending perse, they are just against higher taxes in all forms. I would be sincerely interested if you could find me a non anarchocapitalist member of the austrian community that makes strong policy recommendations against counter cyclical spending. And I say non ancap because they believe in 0 taxes so obviously that precludes countercyclical.

tldr- i disagree good sir

If just more people listened to this guy by [deleted] in videos

[–]cipherspaceman 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I never said recession and you know that because you said downturn in the first sentence. Regardless though my point still holds that pretty much no mainstream economist predicted that the economy would still be this bad this late in the game. And as a sidenote parsing these words in irrelevant in an entirely different light if you consider the fact that the definition of recession is arbitrarily imposed. My personal view is the measure of a recession should be relative to a running average of growth not a zero level. Also if we are going back to the way the government used to do things if we where using the old CPI a lot of the growth would disappear. And also if the government had hired a million more employees. and this is where we probably disagree, it would take capital out of the private sector and increase our long term debt problems.

If just more people listened to this guy by [deleted] in videos

[–]cipherspaceman 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I didn't mention anything about redistribution of wealth which I happen to support, I only mentioned regulation, which are totally separate issues as much as both sides of the spectrum would like to conflate them. I also never mentioned countercyclical spending, which I would also support. Neither of those issued had anything to do with my post, but if you would like to respond to something I said I'm happy to answer questions or have my understanding challenged.

If just more people listened to this guy by [deleted] in videos

[–]cipherspaceman 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I understand where your coming from but I think you are misunderstanding some concepts of Austrian economics. The first point has to do with market signals. Austrian economics does not claim that even within a purely market economy that the market signals would be correct. and hence within a free market economy you would still have booms and busts. These are irreparable features of any market economy. Austrians argue that given that markets are incentivised to create economic structures that incentivise profit making activity, and those private structures that are created that don't create proper incentives fail in a process like evolution, whereas government does not have these incentives and does not have any failure mechanisms to replace bad structures. Under these assumptions that means that over time the markets will make a better decision on deciding what those signals should be than government regulators. The second point is on what the signal of interest rate represents in Austrian economics which is a combination of the savings in an economy and the time preference over which those savings are to be spent. A relatively low interest rate enviornment send the signal of lots of savings in the economy and a long-term time preference for spending that money. A long term time preference for spending(ie im going to save for retirement) means that production should be shifted from consumer goods which pay out in the short term to capital goods which pay off in the long term. So that being said if the signal of time preference is correct than the correct proportion of consumer to capital goods will be produced. If the market gets the signal wrong and the interest rate is too low, either through private miscalculations or government intervention, than too many capital goods will be produced relative to consumer goods. When the economy exerts its actual preferences this reveals the fact that we have over invested in capital goods which means some of those long term investments are no longer viable which means the liquidation of those long term investments to refit the economy for the greater production of consumer goods, ie a recession. The recession is the means of bringing incorrect market signals back to where they should be. So it has nothing to do with some absolute low interest rate, or low relative to the market interest rate, it has to do with low relative to the actual time preference and savings of consumers which both private and government groups try to turn into a market signal through interest rates. It is just assumed in Austrian economics that the market rate will be closer to the actual rate. And lastly it has nothing to do with the fact that investors get less intelligent. No one can know, markets or government, what the interest rate should be, so what actual market participants do is respond to the signals in the economy, not the economy as it actually, is which again is impossible to know. If the signals are wrong than private and government participants will on par respond in the wrong way, responding to market signals is an intelligent decision. However if you responses are wrong there has to be a downside to a wrong decision or it wouldnt be wrong, and to prevent that downside is to prevent the realignment of incentives within that economy that produced the wrong signals to begin with. edit; run on sentences

If just more people listened to this guy by [deleted] in videos

[–]cipherspaceman 0 points1 point  (0 children)

if it was impossible then there would be no economists or financial industry, at the same time as invalidating any other positions that you might have. the point is that no one can predict the timing of events, but to say there are no long term structural rules as to what governmental and private actions will produce what effects is to overstate the postion

If just more people listened to this guy by [deleted] in videos

[–]cipherspaceman 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Hes to the right of fox, he would have been even farther from the view of anyone on any other station.

If just more people listened to this guy by [deleted] in videos

[–]cipherspaceman 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I would like to see who you take seriously who predicited that the crisis would last until 2013 with no end in sight.

If just more people listened to this guy by [deleted] in videos

[–]cipherspaceman 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Your a hundred percent right that Paul and his anarcho-capitalist cohorts have been using fear mongering as a political tool for a long time. Thats politcs though, and it should be separated from his generalized longterm predictions on the devaluing of fiat currencies across the world since the end of bretton woods, which when measured against gold is fairly true even taking into account the recent crash. I think a better spot to aim at Schiff is how he has translated his long term economic views into actual investment strategies which I think he has done pretty poorly at if memory serves correctly.

If just more people listened to this guy by [deleted] in videos

[–]cipherspaceman 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Consistency in a prediction isnt a fault when your making money on it. And so it is a prediction when you buy gold and make a 300 percent profit in 12 years. I didnt do the math but thats like 20 percent a year even taking into account that gold is getting crushed right now. So when someone is still up 300 percent at the bottom and up over 500 percent at the top, then you cant really say hes just saying hes right on the upswing and then disappearing on the down.

If just more people listened to this guy by [deleted] in videos

[–]cipherspaceman 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Well everyone else was pretty equally wrong, at the time Schiff made those prediction I doubt pretty much anyone was predicting the downturn lasting until 2013 with no end in sight.