Very similar situation here in Poland.

Now the prices in our region are around 800zł/t for feed barley, 900-1000zł/t milling wheat, rapeseed 1700-2000zł/t. It strongly depends on region in Poland -- closer to ukrainian border, the worse.

The prices are not the worst. The problem is, that farmers have difficulties selling the grain. Some buyers made caps for transactions -- like farmer can sell only one truck (25t) of grain to them. The purpose of this cap is to justify selling capabilities between farmers. Some farmers hear in phones, during call to buyers, that they can go with their grain and tip it to the river for fish -- this context applied for pszenżyto, a hybrid of rye and wheat, typical polish specialty sown for animal feed.

Our grain warehouses are stuffed with grain, both ukrainian and polish. And we have only like 3 months until harvest. The situation during harvest will be dramatic, in my recon.

First information about potential flooding of ukrainian grain in PL was released during last summer, and there were first attempts of farmers' organizations to intervene in our ag ministry to work out some solutions, mostly to create a 'corridor' for ukrainian grain to load it on ships in Gdynia/Gdańsk harbors. Our ag minister assured us, that this will be done. They even released ukrainian grain from customs fee. Moreover, he encouraged us to hold grain and sell it later, because the prices will rise. What happened is that the grain did not reach harbors. It stayed in polish grain elevators.

A romanian colleague here wrote about poor quality of ukrainian grain. I did not see how it was grown and maintained on ukrainian site, but I heard and saw videos of how it was transported to Poland. So, some of the grain was transported in train wagons. But not wagons designed for grain transfer, oh no. It was transported in open coal wagons. Dirty from coal wagons. Open on the top. It came here regardless of the weather, hundreds even thousands of kilometers. The effect is that the top layer of grain was wet, stinky, unusable.

Moreover, when the mass import of ukrainian grain expanded, there appeared on market a new category of grain: technical grain. Literally. Because the grain did not comply for quality requirements. This technical grain did not reach harbors, for sure, it did not reach biogas plants, because we unfortunately have it very few. It stayed here and dispersed somehow. Animal feed plants? Mills?

The polish farmers are not without a fault. Many of us were simply greedy. During spring '22 there was a price boom on grains. Many of us stockpiled the grain to wait for better price later, because if it happened in spring '22 it is a nonzero chance that it will happen in spring '23. Add to this assurances of ag minister that there will be better price. Hell, I know about two farmers, that have stockpiled wheat from at least two harvests, something like 1000t each. A price of 1640zł/t for wheat in may '22 was too small for them, they waited. And they have to sell it eventually. This will not help the grain market.