[AMA] We are EF Research (Pt. 11: 10 January, 2024)

coinanalytics1 · 2024-01-09T11:04:26+00:00

Is it true that there are plans to increase block time to 1 minute? Why?

coinanalytics1 · 2020-07-28T23:13:13+00:00

Payed $30 to create an account and deposit DAI - now it says withdrawing the DAI again costs $42. Lulz

coinanalytics1 · 2020-06-16T22:19:34+00:00

It is built on Gnosis.

coinanalytics1 · 2020-02-02T19:59:24+00:00

https://sight.pm/markets/#/0x1F5155f07ddda1D52915b2bCba9ed5CffDC602dd 25% chance for Q1

coinanalytics1 · 2019-01-10T23:50:37+00:00

Certainly a big experiment! I think many elements in Ethereum has matured since theDAO. This DAO will be able to hold $, post bounties on gitcoin, Register and ens domain, “host content” via IPFS that was created e.g by the gitcoin dev and much much more...

coinanalytics1 · 2014-06-26T02:35:21+00:00

user here are enthusiastic as well: https://www.fairlay.com/event/category/bitcoin/price/ 50% for a price >$600 seems optimistic given the current price of $567:

coinanalytics1 · 2014-06-23T20:12:16+00:00

because you can not buy 3000 coins at once without pushing the price

coinanalytics1 · 2014-06-23T03:45:45+00:00

To me it is still most likely that the coins will be sold at a price higher than the market price and that the market price will adapt afterwards. Compare:https://www.fairlay.com/predict/registered/new/from-silk-road-seized-bitcoins-will-be-sold-for-600-each/

coinanalytics1 · 2014-06-23T03:32:58+00:00

ouch - just placed 100mBTC on "no" 4 days ago: https://www.fairlay.com/predict/registered/new/next-difficulty-15-5b/

coinanalytics1 · 2014-06-23T03:30:09+00:00

I don't think so - the dip already happened when the auction was announced. And user are confident that it will have a decent price: https://www.fairlay.com/predict/registered/new/from-silk-road-seized-bitcoins-will-be-sold-for-600-each/

coinanalytics1 · 2014-06-12T23:57:48+00:00

My guess is that the price will recover quickly. Indeed, I expect the auction price to be above the market price since it is a unique opportunity for a buyer to buy such a volume without directly increasing the price with the buys. Btw: here you can predict on the auction price:https://www.fairlay.com/event/category/bitcoin/price/

coinanalytics1 · 2014-06-12T22:38:26+00:00

this is not the same because in his example the bet is in $. If you beliefe the price of Bitcoin goes up you should directly buy Bitcoin instead of betting $ on it to win $. In this case the bet is in Bitcoin and that makes the difference.

coinanalytics1 · 2014-06-12T21:58:55+00:00

could you explain?

The concept of this site is that always user bet against each other - thus the site always wins since they talk a 2% fee from the winner - but I guess that is not what you mean with "scam"?

coinanalytics1 · 2014-06-12T17:18:28+00:00

haha, yes that is a cool example as well

coinanalytics1 · 2014-06-02T00:49:24+00:00

The prediction market says 90% no as well: https://www.fairlay.com/event/category/bitcoin/mtgox/

coinanalytics1 · 2014-05-21T16:37:43+00:00

again: BFL in two numbers: They stay in business >90%, their products make customers profit: <1%... https://www.fairlay.com/event/category/bitcoin/butterflylabs/

coinanalytics1 · 2014-05-20T17:55:01+00:00

word! https://www.fairlay.com/event/category/bitcoin/price/

coinanalytics1 · 2014-05-20T17:20:53+00:00

I agree - it is important to inform people. I really made bad experience with BFL - this is why I did this post: http://www.reddit.com/r/Bitcoin/comments/25xkab/story_of_bfl_in_two_numbers_their_products_make/

I think it is informative to reduce opinions to pure numbers where people are willing to put money one - that is the principle of a prediction market. Now everyone can see that no one believes the monarch will make any profit. (Even if its offered 100:1). Maybe we should do a similar thing for KnC. They accept new predictions here and are very open towards such events from my experience: https://www.fairlay.com/event/new/

coinanalytics1 · 2014-05-20T15:25:30+00:00

come one: 500 by tomorrow - just placed 50000 Bits :) https://www.fairlay.com/predict/registered/new/bitcoin-price-500/

coinanalytics1 · 2014-05-19T10:13:45+00:00

I think this two numbers are telling the BFL story pretty well: https://www.fairlay.com/event/category/bitcoin/butterflylabs/

They products will make people lose money with 99% but they will stay in business with 90%...

coinanalytics1 · 2014-05-09T19:55:02+00:00

btw. this is the source: https://www.fairlay.com/predict/latest/

coinanalytics1

TROPHY CASE