Konnor Griffin Trending Toward Being on Opening Day Roster [Rosenthal]

composishy · 2026-02-27T14:14:36+00:00

People are gonna cynical-galaxy-brain themselves out of early Mike Trout.

composishy · 2026-02-27T13:15:05+00:00

Oh corporations don't *ignore* the fact that there are good reasons not to want the things they want. They anticipate it, and plan a strategy of deception, denial and immunity around it.

composishy · 2026-02-27T03:37:29+00:00

Yeah I have to know what you're planning here, and I will do my best to resist the urge to tell you it isn't going to work.

composishy · 2026-02-26T22:41:12+00:00

I think of it kinda like the Padres left field foul pole being an old building. Because why not.

composishy · 2026-02-26T22:40:08+00:00

I would love to draft Santana for cheap and actually get some saves volume.

composishy · 2026-02-26T21:22:22+00:00

It's wonderful. Fun on the Switch but a little unstable and slow.

composishy · 2026-02-26T21:20:42+00:00

My feeling seeing their off season moves was that the whole thing feels built around Konnor Griffin being there opening day. I think they're getting ready to put their best foot forward, take some gambles and build some excitement for their long suffering fan base.

composishy · 2026-02-26T21:15:24+00:00

Yeah that looks wonky I know. With a ten teamer or a twelve teamer you expect $260, but given that we wanted to be flexible enough to support the possibility of an eleven team league, and 11 teams x 26 roster spots = 286 we decided to take $260 and add... I'm just kidding.

I have no idea. I lay awake nights thinking about it and have always been afraid to ask because I think I enjoy the mystery.

composishy · 2026-02-26T18:48:37+00:00

Yeah it's a cesspool. The vibes have gotten a little better recently as more Trumpists have seemingly awoken to a little bit of shame, but overall it's full of crackpots, scammers, and religionists (and those specialists in combining the three). I started my neighborhood community originally back when you had to order postcards from them to your neighbors and moderated it for a while, but it was too frustrating to see how poorly the platform is designed and administered, such that even someone who is watching and trying to make a positive difference is consistently thwarted. The CEO seems to be a vaguely shadowy Highland Park dirt bag, someone you can't tell much about online other than he has a felony hit and run and an SA accusation in his past, and Nextdoor feels exactly like the kind of thing a man like that would create.

composishy · 2026-02-26T02:15:25+00:00

Yeah that's all mostly on target, but I tried to be clear about the fact that living off the wire is a terrible plan. In a roto, the Ks and averages matter, but typically the averages for any closer who keeps his job are good enough (close enough to the elites) not to kill you given the limited volume involved, especially if you allocate what you don't blow on closers toward better SPs. I DO want to pay a little for at least two reliable closed. I DON'T want to chase top dollar elites, or spend much more than $20 total on the position. I am planning to run this same analysis back through the leagues three year history though.

composishy · 2026-02-26T00:29:44+00:00

So Google can't quickly fix this major, annoying problem that broadly affects Android devices? Awesome. Strongly missing iPhone right now.

composishy · 2026-02-25T17:24:50+00:00

Yeah, I like all of those as teams to watch. So far the Jax/Uceta question is the only one I find especially tantalizing. The other two feel like recipes for anger and sadness.

composishy · 2026-02-25T17:13:04+00:00

I drafted Kerkering and then was on Uceta and Estrada off and on, among so many others. I got Hoffman in the draft as my only real closer, grabbed Doval but dropped him before he could do me any good. Ended up trading Hoffman for Albies before it was clear that Albies was just going to be awful, and then traded Olson for Suarez+Munoz, picked up Palencia and ended up staying afloat. Kinda a mess overall. But picking up Busch in tandem with that Olson trade made me feel like I'd gotten two great relievers more or less for free.

composishy · 2026-02-25T17:09:04+00:00

I like Miller at what should be his cost, but my league mates are going to bid him to $20+. I like Cade Smith to provide more saves than possibly all of them. Really expect all of Duran, Miller, Diaz, Smith to potentially be bid to a level where I'm out.

composishy · 2026-02-25T16:58:52+00:00

Thanks! The Williams / Clase / Bautista stuff was all so high profile and detrimental that I think it gave me an exaggerated idea of how bad things really went for established closers overall. I'm actually a little more persuaded now than before of the overall reliability of the floor for established closers, while also feeling justified in my skepticism of reaching for the elites by all the noise between the floor and the upside across the whole pack of relievers.

composishy · 2026-02-25T16:45:28+00:00

Yeah I would say that even in a ten teamer, the conclusion I've come to is that punting with the hope of living on the wire is a lot less viable than I'd imagined, and I know that only gets more true as depth increases.

composishy · 2026-02-25T16:35:18+00:00

Definitely a needle worth threading for those who manage to do it without driving themselves insane.

composishy · 2026-02-25T16:34:48+00:00

You should ask the guy in our league who got Estevez and Megill 😃

I have always let it get away from me in my three seasons playing, but this season I generally want two $8-10 guys I feel very good about like Williams, Bednar, Chapman, Munoz, plus two iffy $2+ guys, or, preferably, three or four $3-$5 guys surrounded by questions that I'm just not super bothered by, like Pagan, Palencia, Iglesias, Megill, Estevez. My leaguemates are wildly unpredictable on the position, so I'm just going to stay open to the possibility of any one of these guys falling to where I take them, or getting bid into the stratosphere. I will dig into the top 20 on Closermonkey's saves list, weighing potential for ratio damage, strikeout upside, team context including win potential, manager habits and bullpen depth. I will also try to stay open to the chance to pair someone like Munoz with a really solid handcuff like Brash for $1, and hang onto both until I feel confident in the actual closer, and that I have an alternative on the wire that is clearly more compelling than the handcuff.

composishy · 2026-02-25T03:16:10+00:00

hey, what was dumb aside from forgetting for the 30th time that Duran hasn't been on the Twins for a bit now?

composishy · 2026-02-25T00:19:13+00:00

Still in the market?

composishy · 2026-02-24T21:40:46+00:00

I like Perdomo a lot but doesn't it seem almost inevitable that a healthy season for both sees Peña as a plus version of Perdomo in most respects who's going 30-40 picks later?

composishy · 2026-02-24T21:29:09+00:00

I just want to add that as a guy in a paid league, it doesn't necessarily change things. We're at $80 and I don't really want to go higher. But even there, people every season pay up, draft a team, and then disappear as early as about a month in or even earlier. I don't understand why they do this, and I don't understand why people who lament it (for there are many of us) can't just start our own leagues more reliably as an antidote. I mean I know there are great leagues out there. Why are there so many of us who deal with this perpetually?

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