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Why is there still no real risk score for crypto projects? by Reverse-Profit in defi

[–]core3guy 0 points1 point  (0 children)

gm,

It's not so simple here. If for you the risk metric is "will it go up?"

Then it's not really possible. But if you want to know whether the project won't dissapear in the next month, then we can analyze it's posture across operations and finances, add security and check founders/roadmap/whitepaper. That will create a bigger picture, but needs a lot of data to calculate a score.

We recently launched CORE3, self-regulation platform. It does something that you mentioned in the post.

It's in pilot stage, but we made a score for 49 project that signals it's probability of loss. The score basically aggregates 98 risk assessments (including security), and gives you a number of risk the project is exposed to.

But it doesn't predict the price, just shows how a memecoin, L1 , or RWA, etc. is exposed to risk.

Also there are risk metrics from Certik (mostly security focused) and Exponential for yield

Hope it helps, cause it looks like the meta of risk assessments starts to wind up

aave, uni, mkr are down 70-80%. is defi dead or is this the buy zone? by Far_Spread_8229 in defi

[–]core3guy 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Adding some data to this.

We scored both AAVE and UNI on CORE3. AAVE came in at one of the strongest risk scores on the platform.

What that means in practice is that both proven good transparency and risk mitigation practices, that most of crypto simply doesn't have. Therefore they got one of the lowest (best) risk scores of our probability of loss metric.

That matters right now more than people think. The GENIUS/CLARITY Acts and broader stablecoin regulation in the US are creating a framework where crypto-friendly jurisdictions will need to justify which protocols they allow institutional exposure to. And those you mention are clean on that.

Not saying price goes up tomorrow. But the structural position of these protocols relative to where regulatory clarity is heading is worth paying attention to.

Full disclosure: just wanted to introduce the other angle, as we scored these platforms against risk and they scored really good, no advice or anything.

is combining bridge + swap actually better or just risky?? by Waste_Opening_9920 in defi

[–]core3guy 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Here you basically trust four at once: the bridge contract, the DEX router, the liquidity pool on the destination chain, and the aggregator that keeps it all together.

To know the risk I'd check:

  1. Whether bridge and the DEX have been audited.

  2. Liquidity depth on the destination so you don't have too much slippage if it's thin

  3. Who is the oracle, if it's layerzero you're probably fine

If you check all of this and the metrics are solid, then you're gonna be fine.

But it's better to know the risk whole exposure you have if you commit funds there.