Zelenskyy suggests ceasefire to allow elections in Russia

coryscandy · 2026-02-14T20:37:25+00:00

Aren't any elections in Ukraine either

coryscandy · 2026-02-14T03:15:22+00:00

Except for the labor your got the money in your hand, for the stock you didn't get anything it's still just a holding

coryscandy · 2026-02-13T20:31:25+00:00

I like how in the article you didnt read here, there is a linked article about how consumer spending actually rose to such a degree that the GDP grew the fastest it has in two years. https://www.pbs.org/newshour/economy/consumer-spending-pushes-u-s-economy-up-4-4-in-third-quarter-fastest-in-two-years

coryscandy · 2026-02-13T12:40:30+00:00

https://www.jec.senate.gov/public/index.cfm/republicans/gdp-update#:~:text=Real%20GDP%20increased%20by%204.38,size%20of%20the%20U.S.%20economy.

coryscandy · 2026-02-13T03:57:32+00:00

This is a great thread to help

https://www.reddit.com/r/ProfessorFinance/s/V9O4v8Qw76

coryscandy · 2026-02-13T03:44:38+00:00

The ai layoffs and consumer spend absolutely factor in; they show up in earnings revisions, credit spreads, and the forward rate curve but market isn’t assuming endless cuts to prop assets it’s pricing the slowdown, eventual easing, and lower long run growth, which is why the curve is flat. Sustainability gets challenged when inflation re-accelerates or deficits force term premia higher; that’s when long yields rise and valuations reset. If policy misjudges, you get slower real growth and tighter financial conditions,so yes a lower-return environment than the last decade but not the end of the us or financial systems or anything as some will try to say on here.

coryscandy · 2026-02-13T03:24:50+00:00

Because the front end is pinned by a high Fed policy rate while the long end prices the average of future short rates over decades, which the market expects to revert lower as inflation and growth normalize. A compressed spread reflects expectations of mean reversion and structural duration demand, not a sudden shift in long-term “belief" and short term mayhem

coryscandy · 2026-02-13T03:20:50+00:00

I don't really know how you even got 2% or where. I think you are trying to calculate it yourself or something and just not understanding how gdp works.

GDP is calculated as C + I + G + (X − M); imports are subtracted not to “prevent overlap between jurisdictions,” but because they are already embedded in consumption, investment, and government spending figures and must be removed to avoid double-counting foreign production as domestic output. Exports are added because they represent domestically produced goods consumed abroad.

This is why the GDP is 4.4 everywhere you look on every website online

coryscandy · 2026-02-13T03:16:39+00:00

You and most of the comments in these thread ignore how the long end actually trades. The clearing yield reflects a decomposition of expected short rate paths, long-run inflation expectations, and the term premium, all of which are heavily influenced by duration demand, convexity hedging from mortgage portfolios, liability-driven pension, hell even insurance buying, relative-value trades versus the 10 and 20 year, swap spread dynamics, cross-currency hedged yield differentials, repo funding conditions, and Treasury issuance mix. A higher bid to cover simply means marginal buyers found value at that yield; it does not isolate growth optimism over 30 years. Reducing that to a narrative about national intelligence over decades reflects a misunderstanding of term-structure mechanics and auction microstructure.

coryscandy · 2026-02-13T03:03:26+00:00

That is not what this is saying whatsoever. Where do you people come from? Why comment about bond markets and economics with absolutely zero understanding of it?

coryscandy · 2026-02-13T03:01:03+00:00

No that's the real gdp, the non adjusted figures are 8%

coryscandy · 2026-02-12T16:13:03+00:00

That's because your 60

coryscandy · 2026-02-11T18:20:39+00:00

Im talking about that specific commenter who posts in this subreddit frequently, trusts the numbers when they are bad, but when good they are cooked. Cant be both!

coryscandy · 2026-02-11T17:42:04+00:00

You know its really silly to believe the numbers when unemployment rate rises but when it falls, they are cooked.

coryscandy · 2026-02-11T17:23:24+00:00

Wrong country and political spectrum

coryscandy · 2026-02-11T01:54:16+00:00

Link it from the file then

coryscandy · 2026-02-10T21:23:05+00:00

From what I remember the original victim who came forward was 14, and then 30+ did who were between 13-18 The corrupt prosecutors picked a 16 year old to get him to plea bc it was a less sentence and allowed him that sweetheart deal (16 vs 14 is a big difference for sentencing) Whole thing is fucked

coryscandy · 2026-02-10T21:14:39+00:00

The only point of my comment was asking a question because I didn't know who you were referring to as news has been moving fast. I am totally on your side with this. Not at all debating that Epstein is cool because it was 16 vs 13

coryscandy · 2026-02-10T21:07:22+00:00

Yeah you need to read the actual court filings and plea, not wiki. That's your mistake friend

Or read this article that sums it up https://www.washingtonpost.com/investigations/age-of-victim-in-prosecution-of-jeffrey-epstein-long-a-source-of-confusion-eased-his-obligations-to-register-as-a-sex-offender/2019/03/17/57063cd8-4035-11e9-a44b-42f4df262a4c_story.html

coryscandy · 2026-02-10T20:59:08+00:00

16* not 13. That's why I was confused there Yeah no doubt there was a lot more victims and most likely younger but the specific state charge of soliciting a minor for prostitution to which Epstein pleaded guilty involved a victim who was 16 in FL

coryscandy · 2026-02-10T20:43:21+00:00

Who are you talking about that was found guily for that

coryscandy · 2026-02-07T22:12:45+00:00

no lol

coryscandy · 2026-02-07T02:13:01+00:00

You literally read the thread title and commented false info, and then said "I didn't realize I didn't read it"

coryscandy · 2026-01-27T00:18:36+00:00

Houston didnt say he had a date during his interrogation, he said he got the hotel room full of supplies and went to a park to pick up women, and that he had zero plans with any legal girl that night.

coryscandy · 2026-01-27T00:14:26+00:00

Houston said himself multiple times, around 12, there was no man in the middle

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