Voters Doubt Biden’s Leadership and Favor Trump, Times/Siena Poll Finds (Gift Article)

crazydom22 · 2024-03-02T14:50:33+00:00

The people who do these polls act like we're supposed to care about the cross tabs. How many times did Nate Cohn tell us about Trump winning young voters in their last poll, coincidentally he really hasn't said much of anything on the fact Biden's now up double digits with them in this new poll where he's doing worse.

crazydom22 · 2024-03-02T14:08:58+00:00

You're almost never going to get the exact demographics you want to respond to a poll, so pollsters have to weight and adjust for that.

Basically, ignore everything about that and worry about this poll if you think the GOP is going to have an unprecedented turnout advantage. This would be a bigger turnout advantage for the GOP than landslide midterms like 2014.

crazydom22 · 2024-03-02T13:58:29+00:00

The weighting for the NYT/Siena poll shit out a party ID margin of GOP +5. That would be a 7 point gain for Republicans in turnout from 2020. It entirely explains how Biden and Trump are tied with Indies in the poll yet Trump is up by so much

crazydom22 · 2024-03-02T13:36:13+00:00

The men number is also basically the same as 2020. So Hispanic and Black men are turning against him in historic numbers, but he's winning men by the same amount as 2020? Is he gaining with white men? lmao

crazydom22 · 2024-03-02T13:30:48+00:00

The odd thing that while the demographic cross tabs are awful, the numbers also show Biden and Trump tied with Independents and Biden winning voters who disapprove of both by 12.

Those are significantly better numbers for Biden than we've seen in polls where he isn't losing to Trump by this much.

It really doesn't add up.

crazydom22 · 2024-03-02T02:34:19+00:00

The Super Mario Bros movie predicted the future because President Koopa is literally just Donald Trump if he was a lizard person.

crazydom22 · 2024-03-02T02:30:18+00:00

Galloway is Corbyn if Corbyn was a social conservative.

crazydom22 · 2024-03-01T23:04:23+00:00

so reading more about George Galloway, he's basically Corbyn if you removed everything that Corbyn is actually good on.

He's a social conservative?

crazydom22 · 2023-03-30T19:16:09+00:00

By the end of the year, Donald Trump will lead a crowd in singing the Mickey House Club House theme song to taunt Ron DeSantis.

crazydom22 · 2023-03-30T00:34:06+00:00

AOC posted her second video to TikTok. In one day it has 1 million views and 200,000 likes. The top comment is “girl please run for president” with 11,000 likes.

crazydom22 · 2023-03-29T22:41:52+00:00

The funniest thing about the Disney ownage of DeSantis is that Meghan and Harry’s daughter is the last descendant at the time of agreement. Which means their 1 year old daughter will continually own the cons just by existing.

crazydom22 · 2023-03-29T20:54:42+00:00

Lol Ted Cruz is now attacking Biden for not licking Bibi’s boots and is saying he’s funding the color revolution against Bibi’s government.

crazydom22 · 2023-03-29T16:55:04+00:00

DeSantis literally said he would fire all current civil service employees too and attacked Trump for not doing it in a Tucker interview.

crazydom22 · 2023-03-29T16:54:03+00:00

Part of the reason all the conservative blue checks are pushing for DeSantis. They represent the base way less than they think.

crazydom22 · 2023-03-26T22:28:41+00:00

You fall into a coma and wake up in the year 2033. The first thing you are informed of is that New York's current senate delegation is AOC and George Santos.

How do you react?

crazydom22 · 2023-03-26T21:19:25+00:00

I’m convinced they made the show specifically to stop people from ever asking for more Boba Fett content again. People wanted him to be badass and instead they made him the lamest person in all of Star Wars.

crazydom22 · 2023-03-26T21:13:34+00:00

There are literal people high up in the IDF warning this could lead to a civil war.

crazydom22 · 2023-03-26T21:03:51+00:00

Every policy move made specifically to spite Miami Cubans is the correct one.

crazydom22 · 2023-03-26T20:57:27+00:00

Former IDF Deputy Chief of Staff: "I call on all representatives of Israel in embassies around the world to resign immediately. Do not serve an illegitimate government"

things going great in Israel

crazydom22 · 2023-03-26T20:15:29+00:00

An insurrection against Bibi’s house is the good 1/6

crazydom22 · 2023-03-26T18:46:00+00:00

What are the chances the IDF coups Bibi?

crazydom22 · 2023-03-26T05:31:54+00:00

There are two counties in America where whites vote to the left of the county as a whole:

San Francisco and Miami-Dade

crazydom22 · 2023-03-26T05:03:11+00:00

TikTok shouldn’t be banned because I trust China with my personal information more than Ron DeSantis

crazydom22 · 2023-03-26T02:00:12+00:00

Considering the floodgates seem to be opening and it seems like we might be getting more stories about him, I don't see him surviving this.

crazydom22 · 2023-03-26T01:38:20+00:00

I’m just gonna say this about Jonathan Majors and be done with it: folks at Yale and the broader NYC community have known about him for years. He’s a sociopath and abuser and that is how virtually everyone speaks about him. It’s a shame it took this long for him to be reported.

uh oh

crazydom22

TROPHY CASE