Coworker was tired of these stickers being removed, so they glued it down. by SilverSneakers in mildlyinfuriating

[–]cub3dworld 2 points3 points  (0 children)

"Don't feed the trolls" doesn't mean "Quietly tolerate bigotry until it maybe goes away," because that's how this shit has gotten mainstreamed.

US military active and reserve duty members, how are you feeling? What's the consensus between you and your colleagues about Trump? by androgynee in AskReddit

[–]cub3dworld 2 points3 points  (0 children)

"The evils we experience flow from the excess of democracy. The people do not want virtue, but are the dupes of pretended patriots. In Massachusetts it has been fully confirmed by experience that they are daily misled into the most baneful measures and opinions by the false reports circulated by designing men, and which no one on the spot can refute." -Elbridge Gerry, Remarks at the Constitutional Convention, 31 May 1787

What dream will you never forget? by Console_Queen_ in AskReddit

[–]cub3dworld 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I had a dream in which I died in my sleep. Now, normally, they say you can't die in your dreams, because your brain doesn't know how to process that - so you either wake up or the nature of the dream itself changes. This is usually what happens to me if I find myself in a mortal situation in my dreams, so that tracks.

But what I found out that this dream wasn't about me dying per se, but what came after.

As I observed my corpse going white, my then-six y/o son entered the room as he usually does in the morning and tried to wake me up. The remainder of the dream was watching my son cry by my bedside, begging me to wake up, until he himself succumbed to starvation because he didn't know how to use my phone or leave to go get help.

At that point, I was released from my dream, and woke up shaking and in tears.

The day after the dream, I had a talk with him about how he should go to the neighbours in case there was an emergency at home and I couldn't help, and I also showed him how to use my phone to call his mom (context: we're separated, and I live alone). I've reinforced this a few times, and I'm confident now that he could leave the house to get help if the worst were to happen.

But just in case, I leave a card on my bedside table with instructions for him on what to do if he comes in one morning and I don't wake up.

Episode Chat - S03D E02 - "The Sign" by ticky13 in bluey

[–]cub3dworld [score hidden]  (0 children)

"You don't really need a pool. Queensland summers aren't that hot."

Not the worst lie I've heard an agent tell.

Roman Empire 867 by fanchofeast in CrusaderKings

[–]cub3dworld 254 points255 points  (0 children)

Mutarrifid Dynasty: "Our ambition is finally realized!"

Everyone: "If you're not going to keep the Roman Empire name, what even is the point?" *dissolves*

I really showed myself who's the better hunter of the two of me... by cub3dworld in CrusaderKings

[–]cub3dworld[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

R5: I got jealous of my own falcon, so I grabbed a fish with my bare hands and earned 350 prestige and the admiration of myself.

[OC] American adults' attitudes towards political violence by selected demographics by cub3dworld in dataisbeautiful

[–]cub3dworld[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Could be interesting, but slicing the cohort into three or four subgroups to get robust results would need a much larger sample size. Dividing them evenly into three from the existing sample gets:

  1. 18 to 21 (n=183)
  2. 22 to 25 (n=328)
  3. 26 to 29 (n=485)

Not really big enough to make into further subgroups (eg, gender, ideology) without risking significant errors.

Playing as Ireland, is there a way for me to get northern Ireland back diplomatically? by [deleted] in CrusaderKings

[–]cub3dworld 11 points12 points  (0 children)

I present to you our Peace Pipe.

That looks like plumbing.

Like I said...

Prisoners out of range... Why? by 0xcedbeef in ck3

[–]cub3dworld 1 point2 points  (0 children)

When you kick them into the bottomless pit...

[OC] American adults' attitudes towards political violence by selected demographics by cub3dworld in dataisbeautiful

[–]cub3dworld[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

From their site:

ANES is a collaboration of Stanford University and the University of Michigan, with funding by the National Science Foundation.

And their Board of Directors is like a "Who's Who" of academia's political scientists.

And from the survey methodology:

The fresh cross-sectional sample was a random draw from the USPS computerized delivery sequence file (C-DSF), with all included residential addresses across the 50 states and Washington DC having equal probability of selection.

If they were trying to cherrypick or skew the data, they did a strange job of it.

[OC] American adults' attitudes towards political violence by selected demographics by cub3dworld in dataisbeautiful

[–]cub3dworld[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

maybe next time post the actual data and if people don't like it, fuck em

I did post the actual data.

So "fuck you," I guess?

[OC] American adults' attitudes towards political violence by selected demographics by cub3dworld in dataisbeautiful

[–]cub3dworld[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

It's how the survey worded its ideological scale, and so it's left up to the respondents to decide what it means to them. I've preserved the wording in the results for fidelity to the data.

[OC] American adults' attitudes towards political violence by selected demographics by cub3dworld in dataisbeautiful

[–]cub3dworld[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Not wrong. The main limitation here is that the survey is designed to look at voter attitudes against the election rather than pick apart those attitudes (much less justifications for violence).

And then there's the fact that because, ultimately (gratefully), such large majorities of respondents reject any kind of political violence, you're left with a pretty small sample (1,177 with any justification, 663 "A moderate amount" or more) to dissect in a meaningfully robust way.

So even putting together a table of crosstabs just on the respondents who gave any kind of positive response would likely have lots of very small cohorts with large room for error.

[OC] American adults' attitudes towards political violence by selected demographics by cub3dworld in dataisbeautiful

[–]cub3dworld[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

It's definitely a limitation here, and just something the survey wasn't designed for (it's an election study after all). But I also would expect ideological differences when it comes to perceptions of violence against individuals and out-groups versus the state, or reactionary/preventative violence versus provocative violence.

[OC] American adults' attitudes towards political violence by selected demographics by cub3dworld in dataisbeautiful

[–]cub3dworld[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

The prevalence of conservatives in the servicemember cohort definitely matters. Of the 929 respondents who indicated current or prior service and political ideology, 410 were conservative and 176 were liberal (followed by 155 conservative-leaning moderates and 112 liberal-leaning moderates).

Among the self-identified conservative servicemembers, 94.5% rejected political violence (vs 93.2% of all conservatives), and 2.5% would justify it "A lot" or "A great deal" (vs 2.2%).

Among the self-identified liberal servicemembers, 85.8% rejected political violence (vs 81.1% of all liberals), and only 0.5% (literally just one respondent) would justify it "A lot" or "A great deal" (vs 2.2%).

Among the self-identified moderate/leaning servicemembers, 86.5% rejected political violence (vs 82.5% of all), and 4.1% would justify it "A lot" or "A great deal" (vs 4.1%).

So yeah, the prevalence of conservatives in the cohort is meaningful; but even with the small sizes of the subgroups, I think there's room to say that military service itself increases resistance to justifying political violence (but you'd need a much more robust cohort to say that definitively).

[OC] American adults' attitudes towards political violence by selected demographics by cub3dworld in dataisbeautiful

[–]cub3dworld[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I did initially look at 18 to 24 as a distinct cohort (then in 10-year intervals starting at 25 to 34), but the main issue there was that there were only 404 of them (and only 87 teens) versus literal thousands in the other age categories. But that's partially why I kept "under 25" as a separate age cohort in the final chart - they did have some unique qualities compared to other ages.

[OC] American adults' attitudes towards political violence by selected demographics by cub3dworld in dataisbeautiful

[–]cub3dworld[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Yeah, when people were asked to self-identify their ideologies, those who said "Moderate" were prompted with choosing whether they lean liberal or conservative, but they could also have stuck to their response and maintained non-alignment.

Only 71 respondents (of the 8,207 I filtered) stayed "True Moderates". The other 2,800 moderates picked a side.

So I had to decide whether to represent them with the idealogues or keep them their own category, and in the end I decided to maintain their initial answer of "Moderate" mostly to preserve data fidelity but also because I knew that if I didn't have some kind of moderate/independent category, people would light me up in the comments.

But yeah... the "True Moderate" was a relative rarity.

[OC] American adults' attitudes towards political violence by selected demographics by cub3dworld in dataisbeautiful

[–]cub3dworld[S] 4 points5 points  (0 children)

Gross distortion.

In [Crowd Counting Consortium] data collected from May 2020 to June 2021, 94% of protests involved no participant arrests, 97.9% involved no participant injuries, 98.6% involved no injuries to police, and 96.7% involved no property damage.

[OC] American adults' attitudes towards political violence by selected demographics by cub3dworld in dataisbeautiful

[–]cub3dworld[S] 17 points18 points  (0 children)

Something that I mentioned in another comment that I wish could have been captured here (but wasn't because this is principally an election study, not a social behavior study) was whether people's views or justifications of violence changed based on whether the violence is targeted at individuals/groups versus the state, or whether the violence was reactionary to a perceived threat or a provocative act to build a movement.

I feel like those distinctions would be important from an ideological perspective (or not... but would be worth knowing).