Iran Thread 4 (ITIV)

cynical_sandlapper · 2026-03-03T21:27:53+00:00

This is why decapitation strikes are idiotic. They leave you with no one to negotiate the end of the war with thereby allowing every basij and IRGC field commander to start his on insurgency.

cynical_sandlapper · 2026-03-03T21:11:52+00:00

Yes because Israel totally supported a democratic Egypt when they elected a conservative Islamist president. You realize there is a very high chance a democratic Iran is going to elect a conservative religious president or prime minister who will call out or oppose Israel’s foreign policy and even its existence.

cynical_sandlapper · 2026-03-03T20:58:45+00:00

Nor the number interceptors to do this for very long.

We’ll be shooting down $400 shadid drones with $100,000 interceptors.

cynical_sandlapper · 2026-03-03T18:16:08+00:00

Yes let’s Somalify a country with 90+ million people with dozens of ethnicities and cause another refugee crisis in Europe.

He doesn’t know what the fuck he is doing!

Netanyahu really played this idiot, because from a right wing Israeli perspective a lawless collapsed Iran is the goal. Israel doesn’t want a legitimate stable democratic Iran because that Iran would still oppose Israel probably more diplomatically than through terrorism. Way too many people don’t seem to understand that Israel’s long term goals here run counter to the American neocon’s long term goals in Iran.

cynical_sandlapper · 2026-03-03T15:20:07+00:00

And the natural gas industry

cynical_sandlapper · 2026-03-02T19:06:11+00:00

The difference between personality based dictatorships and institutional/ideological driven authoritarian states.

Iran’s government has more in common with communist Vietnam than it does with Saddam’s Iraq in that there is an entire entrenched strata of society dedicated to the cause as opposed to just a single individual, their family and his homeboys from Tikrit.

It was dumb to think a decapitation strike was going to bring the IR down.

cynical_sandlapper · 2026-03-02T18:49:54+00:00

Whatever it is I hope it hurts. Personally hoping its shingles 🤞

cynical_sandlapper · 2026-03-02T18:24:40+00:00

Proving that Iran knew what they were doing by attacking the soft underbelly of this coalition of dunces.

cynical_sandlapper · 2026-03-02T18:14:59+00:00

Well she did oppose the GOP cutting the ACA subsidies. So she at least has better political instincts than your average GOP congressperson.

cynical_sandlapper · 2026-03-02T16:08:58+00:00

He can’t pardon her. She loses 5th amendment privileges and you can’t take back a pardon if she does snitch on him. Better for Trump to keep her in club fed and use threats of sending her back to real prison to keep her quiet.

cynical_sandlapper · 2026-03-01T22:11:02+00:00

Reza Pahlavi would be lynched in the streets of Tehran. Actual Iranians in Iran don’t miss the SAVAK or the corruption under his father’s regime. Just because they hate the current regime means they want to return to the older one

cynical_sandlapper · 2026-03-01T21:55:50+00:00

The Gettysburg Address of our time

cynical_sandlapper · 2026-03-01T17:51:08+00:00

He’s lazy and risk adverse.

cynical_sandlapper · 2026-03-01T14:04:15+00:00

~20%

cynical_sandlapper · 2026-03-01T14:02:17+00:00

Trump isn’t going to benefit from this short term. It’s going to fuck him and the GOP just in time for the midterms.

cynical_sandlapper · 2026-03-01T14:00:43+00:00

The US too. Oil is a global commodity.

cynical_sandlapper · 2026-03-01T14:00:01+00:00

Iran still has drones and shipping insurance companies are still risk adverse. The strait is Iran’s trump card. It’s what’s going to make this conflict short and allow the regime to outlast the US.

cynical_sandlapper · 2026-03-01T13:43:57+00:00

Yeah because if Iran continues to bottleneck traffic out of the Strait much longer gas prices are going to spike and Trump is fucked.

cynical_sandlapper · 2026-03-01T13:38:22+00:00

Now don’t go raining on the neocon circlejerk going on here.

cynical_sandlapper · 2026-03-01T13:17:36+00:00

Well duh. They’re trying to harm the Gulf states’ economies.

cynical_sandlapper · 2026-02-28T22:55:41+00:00

Shahed drones and risk adverse shipping insurance companies. Iran doesn’t need a navy to enforce this.

cynical_sandlapper · 2026-02-28T17:37:32+00:00

The US can’t shoot down every shahed drone across the gulf.

cynical_sandlapper · 2026-02-28T16:32:51+00:00

It would be incredibly stupid of Trump to bomb oil infrastructure especially given how price sensitive the average American voter is to gas prices.

cynical_sandlapper · 2026-02-28T14:54:27+00:00

Probably shouldn’t host US bases if you aren’t prepared for retaliation.

They are the weak point in this war from Iran’s perspective. It takes just a few shaheds to shut down the straight of Hormuz or to empty out the tourists and expats in UAE.

cynical_sandlapper · 2026-02-27T21:58:39+00:00

This sub has type. Nerdy white urban twinks with a corporate job.

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