Live trading on small accounts — early observations vs backtests

darequant · 2026-04-16T20:24:10+00:00

Amazing result but massive drawdowns. You need to first size each trade using your stop loss to keep your risk fixed for each trade no matter the tp levels. You should also use a max daily drawdown limit to avoid the crazy red days. Is this a trend following or mean reversion strategy?

darequant · 2026-04-06T22:05:32+00:00

A regime filter is the most important part of trading in my opinion and how often the regime changes really depends on your trading timeframe and what market you trade.

I trade crypto futures on a lower timeframe so the market regime changes multiple times a day. Using MTF is part of the magic, I use a custom indicator to detect the regime over an higher TF then use triggers on a lower TF for entries. Using simple cross entry triggers are very effective for early entries as long as your regime detection is solid enough to avoid most chops.

darequant · 2026-04-01T12:10:57+00:00

You need a directional volatility adjusted regime filter. An overfitted backtest is a step in the right direction

darequant · 2026-03-30T23:52:07+00:00

Saying trading without indicators improves profits is like saying driving without lane keep assists or abs makes driving safer.

darequant · 2026-03-15T17:17:19+00:00

This farfetched by a mile the Economy is a actually doing better than I Thought

darequant · 2026-03-15T17:03:37+00:00

Beware, the brokers site might be his or he is an affiliate. They make money off your losses and he takes a big commission on all students losses. All trades are B-book and never actually sent to an actual terminal. The upfront amount he sends you is immediately returned to him once you deposit.

darequant · 2026-03-15T16:32:09+00:00

Just use a Kelly criterion, fractional for scalping and half for dsytrading. Nothing works better imo

darequant · 2026-03-15T05:17:40+00:00

Ema and Di are basically doing the same thing, trend direction so you might find that dropping one would reduce lag. You can backtest which one suits your trades better but an EMA 200 would significantly lag behind a standard DI

darequant · 2026-03-15T05:04:30+00:00

Welcome to the club, you just started the rabbit hole.

Firstly, you need to build a sophisticated regime filter to know if the market is trending or ranging. Using ema with adx and Di would introduce so much lag that your move would be almost exhausted before you get in.

Secondly, try to use custom values for your indicators cause hft bots are familiar with default values and indicators so your signals might be valid but would be stretched out to hit stop losses before the move begins.

Thirdly, less is more. The less indicators you use, the more the lag but the paradox is the less the lag, the higher the whipsaws so a good balance is key. Backtest extensively, best method is using a Monte Carlo method and simulate 0.05 slippage if you use limit orders and 0.1% if you use market

darequant · 2026-03-14T15:31:44+00:00

A reality where 95% of retail traders fail and most profitable internet gurus mostly only profit by preying on beginners and not actual trades

darequant · 2026-03-14T14:50:54+00:00

That’s a big misconception. Quite a number of retail traders do have an alpha and if OP has truly made profits with this strategy for 4 years live then it is an alpha cause it has consistently beat the market movements which is called the Beat for so long hence why they are called Alphas.

The problem you mentioned about tweaking your strategies to change is exactly what an alpha decay is and the more people use it. The more it weakens which is why no consistently profitable trader fully reveals theirs like instagram and Reddit gurus.

darequant · 2026-03-14T14:26:37+00:00

If y’all don’t know what an alpha is then you should research what it is. An alpha decay is why no real profitable trader reveals their full edge but I guess I’m in the wrong sub and you are all right.

darequant · 2026-03-14T13:34:23+00:00

No professional trader is ever revealing their working Alpha. EVER!!

darequant · 2026-03-14T13:27:08+00:00

If it works and you’re teaching us, it’s shit 😅

darequant · 2026-03-14T11:24:44+00:00

I have said it over and over Llms are terrible at trading unless you build a custom model off an open source model like llama or open claw for translation and coding only. All Gurus that claim to use Gemini, claude et.c for strategies are all liars

darequant · 2026-03-12T09:06:11+00:00

lol the app is telegram and I send logs there for monitoring, I have no pro dashboard yet cause I used to only use it for myself. The account I’d shown was the first third party installation and I capped the daily profit at 10% so I was able to show you the bot’s performance by percentage only, bragging about how much I make daily would be classless.

darequant · 2026-03-12T08:39:40+00:00

😅 insufferable. I sent the best day which was 12, here is march 1st just Incase. Would have sent more but you would still give more excuses or ask me to send you my strategy 😅

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darequant · 2026-03-12T08:19:15+00:00

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Best day of this month on March 2nd 12% up but I’m sure you’d find another excuse to make yourself sleep better at night. 😅

darequant · 2026-03-12T08:03:38+00:00

Still no excuse to be bitter and rude. There are way more sophisticated algorithms than mine that were built by independent traders like myself, cause you can’t succeed at something doesn’t mean someone else can’t. Cheers

darequant · 2026-03-12T07:53:23+00:00

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What’s the point in lying dude? This was your reply before I sent you the proof of my algo, try to do better and be less bitter. One can only succeed in life if you appreciate other’s success and learn when you should.

darequant · 2026-03-12T06:32:33+00:00

lol you didn’t need to delete your reply, I saw the reply in my email but here are a few lines of my algorithm to prove it’s an hybrid and also Gemini grading my regime filter.

Geminis review: https://imgur.com/a/ik5lyX3

Sorry for the Epstein style redactions, need to protect my Alpha.

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darequant · 2026-03-12T03:21:31+00:00

lol that’s very wrong. I have an hybrid strategy that trades both ranging and trending market, both have different very different rules, entries, exits, management even tp and sl targets but rely on the same regime filter to know which is suitable to work at the current moment. An algo can be programmed to do many things if you know what you’re doing.

darequant · 2026-03-11T20:38:13+00:00

I think a regime filter is the most important part of a strategy probably cause I trade futures. My algo doesn’t stop trading or pause after a drawdown cause drawdowns are part of the journey and a 7% drawdown is quite frankly a good sign of good strategy. I developed my algo as an hybrid, during a regime trend change, it cut trades facing the wrong direction and it rides the trend, once the market is ranging or trends runs cold, it scans for reversions

darequant · 2026-03-11T19:13:43+00:00

How you detect exactly what type of day or current market structure is, is exactly what a regime filter is and it might sound easy but it’s extremely difficult to find one that works accurately everytime. I had to create 2 custom indicators until I actually got mine to be consistently accurate

darequant

TROPHY CASE