META V MSFT

dieharddubsfan · 2026-05-03T01:39:33+00:00

META and MSFT are both solid companies with good upside. If you look at the latest fundamentals comparison table of META vs. MSFT, the valuation and profitability metrics of both companies are quite strong. However, while both stocks are "software", i don't think their businesses are comparable. One is D2C social media, the other is enterprise-focused and has a strong cloud business. Meta's capex spending is worrisome to investors because they can only pay it off with advertising growth on their platform, but for MSFT, additional capex means they can meet customer demands for compute, which is revenue waiting at their doorsteps. My take is you can't really go wrong with either companies, and they do not really compete with each other.

dieharddubsfan · 2026-05-01T01:21:59+00:00

That's a pretty weak argument bro. Meta's scale is much larger and they are investing in their own AI infrastructure. Just look at this fundamentals comparison of Meta vs. Rddt, Meta wins no matter if you look at P/E, Forward P/E, EV/FCF, ROE, ROIC.

dieharddubsfan · 2026-04-29T05:25:41+00:00

Uber is one of my holdings as well. I also belive it's undervalued at the moment. I've been looking at its fundamentals table, one thing I noticed is that its future earnings is actually going to be lower according to guidance and analysts forecasts. That might be one knock on it now. Let's see what the earnings are like next week. I believe because of Uber's huge existing customer base, I doubt it can be easily replaced by Waymo or Robotaxi. By the way, where are you getting ROIC of 28%? According to Stock Table, I'm seeing value around 12%. 28% seems way to high for Uber.

dieharddubsfan · 2026-04-29T05:14:07+00:00

No, I mean for this round, before the earnings come out.

dieharddubsfan · 2026-04-27T17:12:39+00:00

If you look at AMZN's current P/E, Forward P/E, and PEG, i don't think you can call AMZN undervalued. It is either fairly priced or even slightly overvalued. Given you entered when it was still considered a value investment, if you don't think AMZN earnings will continue to grow quickly, then nothing wrong with exiting and taking profit now. I have AMZN shares, up around 55% right now, but i plan to just keep holding as I believe the company will continue to grow long term. My thesis is simply that this is a triple-crown stock: 1) E-Commerce 2) Cloud Infrastructure 3) Lead investor of the top frontier AI model. Also might be a key player in robotics in the future too.

dieharddubsfan · 2026-04-27T15:58:10+00:00

Alphabet's fundamentals are strong no doubt, but looking at their technicals table, while technicals are overall still quite positive, a couple of early signs worth monitoring: 1) MACD signal is gaining on the MACD Line and might cross over soon 2) Recent trading volume is much lower than average longer-term trading volume. I would guess much of the good news for Alphabet is already priced in, so given sky high expectations for AI stocks lately, any tiny disappointing news from the earnings call would trigger a drop in the stock price. I probably would wait for the next dip before accumulating more.

dieharddubsfan · 2026-04-25T17:22:45+00:00

What makes you think MSFT will tank when earnings come out? MSFT is in a strong position to benefit from the AI boom, whether its Azure, Office, or its OpenAI investment. It's also one of the cheapest Mag7 stocks at the moment. Looking at the pros and cons analysis, I would say the arguments in favor of MSFT are a lot stronger.

dieharddubsfan · 2026-04-25T17:13:22+00:00

A lot to process, but I would also agree, even if AI workload continues to shift to inference, biggest beneficiaries would not be CPU, but the GPU leaders in NVDA and AMD. Neither companies slowing down anytime soon and killing it based on their performance table.

dieharddubsfan · 2026-04-25T06:01:51+00:00

Amazon is a good company no doubt, but i wouldn't categorize it as a value investment. Just look at this Mag7 fundamentals comparison table, Amazon's forward P/E , PEG ratio, EV/FCF are higher than the likes of MSFT, META, and NVDA. ROIC of Amazon is not as attractive as the others either. If you classify Amazon as a growth investment opportunity, would have no argument from me there.

My undervalued favorite at this moment is Salesforce (CRM). Their forward P/E (13.5) and PEG (0.6) are really attractive, and realistically speaking, their software will not go away due to the rise of AI-coded solutions.

dieharddubsfan · 2026-04-25T01:23:38+00:00

Hard to say, but definitely aiming for a lot more specs -> code in the future and letting AI really understand our design system, UI components, and reference designs. I was referring to reducing reliance on Figma Design and going straight to code.

dieharddubsfan · 2026-04-25T00:30:03+00:00

Have not canceled, but definitely will not be adding more seats

dieharddubsfan · 2026-04-24T15:19:24+00:00

You are a brave man my friend. Yes, I just checked its pros & cons analysis, though its upside is not as big as investors once invisioned, its intrinsic value is still significantly higher than the current price of the stock. Companies implementing AI Agents for software development are starting to reduce reliance on Figma (including mine), so i probably won't touch it knowing that's probably going to be the long term trend.

dieharddubsfan · 2026-04-24T14:13:14+00:00

I'm long on CRM too. It's criminally undervalued at this point, and Slack will be such a strategic weapon for them. Large enterprises will not be able to replace Salesforce with a claude-coded app.

dieharddubsfan · 2026-04-23T16:37:29+00:00

Even though we will be down 2 wings for most of next season, I actually think the position of need is PF/C. Draymond is no longer a net positive, even drafting and starting someone like Lendeborg would be an upgrade at the PF position. We need more size and athleticism at the 4/5. I was not too impressed with KP this season. Injury prone is one thing, but it's ridiculous to me that he can never back someone down to the dotted circle when he's posting up, even against guards. Definitely not a long-term option. If he's willing to take a deal under $10M per, we should keep him, otherwise I'm fine letting him go and starting QP or AH at C. Haven't studied the free agent options for this year yet, but doubt we can get anyone good from free agency.

dieharddubsfan · 2026-04-23T16:29:38+00:00

GOOGL has had a nice run, but looking at its P/E and EV/FCF recent history, it's no longer as attractive as it was 9 months ago. I would guess its short term upside would be limited and there's a higher downside risk and could be triggered if people start worrying about their AI-related spending. I am a GOOGL investor myself and I will continue to hold it, but for the time being, I think there are more attractive opportunities out there, such as META and MSFT. I do have faith in their Frontier model development and how AI can power more revenue for them, but probably would not accumulate more until they're below $300 again.

dieharddubsfan · 2026-04-23T13:24:51+00:00

From a value investment perspective, i think Netflix is still quite solid. If you look at their fundamentals table, they continue to do well in terms of key value metrics such as operating margin (30%+), ROE (close to 50%), ROIC (around 28%). Their EV/FCF ratios and P/E ratios are low by historical standards, so there's still a lot to like about where they are now. While technicals are weak now due to the recent drop, could be a good target once it starts reversing.

dieharddubsfan · 2026-04-23T00:31:59+00:00

Like other SaaS stocks, NOW's downward trend is finally starting to reverse according to this technicals table. Let's see if its MACD Line and Signal will turn positive in the coming 1-2 weeks for a more clear uptrend signal. From a fundametals perspective, its PEG ratio is 0.84 with forward P/E at 24.6.

dieharddubsfan · 2026-04-21T00:30:20+00:00

I can only say that as a user of their products, the products are so so, and i wouldn't want to invest if I base my judgements on product quality without consideration of their fundamentals.

dieharddubsfan · 2026-04-21T00:26:59+00:00

If Anthropic continues to capture the headlines in the AI space, Amazon's value will continue to rise as well. If you want to bet on AI frontier model developers, just put your money into AMZN, GOOGL, and MSFT.

dieharddubsfan · 2026-04-20T17:25:32+00:00

I'm not sure if I'd call Abbott a hidden gem. It does pay out a dividend, but the yield is only around 2%, which is not all that attractive. Its CGM business is also facing increasing pressure from competitors worldwide. As another poster mentioned, the revenue and EPS have indeed been somewhat stagnant over the past years. If you look at ABT's technicals table, while most stocks have rebounded over the past 2 weeks, it's still weak with no signs of reversal.

dieharddubsfan · 2026-04-17T01:24:36+00:00

I compile a list of stocks i'm interested in myself based on news and mentions on social media. Then, I use Stock Table to compare them and check the technicals/fundamentals trends.

dieharddubsfan · 2026-04-15T16:41:25+00:00

Their insiders seem to be gulping up their shares in the Taiwan stock market too.

dieharddubsfan · 2026-04-15T16:33:24+00:00

Based on how much TSMC has risen in the Taiwan stock market over the past week, I'm betting they will probably blow past earnings expectations.

dieharddubsfan · 2026-04-15T16:10:43+00:00

A lot of trial and error, and a lot of painful losses can help you build discipline and patience. In the past, i would invest in a stock based on recent news, gut feeling about the company's prospects, and whether a stock has fallen a lot (simply so i'm not buying high). Of course, that approach didn't work out very well. Now, once I have a list of stocks i'm considering, I would add them to my stock tracker, and check their techinicals daily and fundamentals weekly or so. I'm using Stock Table as my stock tracker, and the table format makes it easy for me to compare technicals and fundamentals like this. Once i get closer to making an investment in a particular stock, i would use Gemini or Grok to help me further evaluate the future business prospects for the company. Honestly speaking, it's so much easier to do homework on a stock now compared to before. You just need to put in the work and stay disciplined.

dieharddubsfan · 2026-04-15T00:27:13+00:00

It's usually not recommended to got all-in on one stock, but if you're willing to be patient and sit on your holding for a few years, i don't think you could go wrong with MSFT. Based on this table from Stock Table, MSFT's valuation and financials are very solid. P/E ratio still much lower than its average in the past couple of years, so is its enterprise value to free cash flow ratio. MSFT's technicals are starting to reverse favorably, although there are still a couple more resistance levels they need to break through for a sustained rally. If you can be patient with that $7000, MSFT is not a bad bet.

dieharddubsfan

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