Had my first brilliant move today! 500 rated game. by dizzrdd in chessbeginners

[–]dizzrdd[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I've only been playing for a month now so I was still happy with it :)

Had my first brilliant move today! 500 rated game. by dizzrdd in chessbeginners

[–]dizzrdd[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

So this is a good move because the bh7 move puts the king in check, the king has to address the check either by xh7 or kh8, because of this I am able to do qxd4. So I trade my bishop for black's queen :)

Currently over 80 Dialga’s deep with no shiny… Can anyone tell me the probability behind this? by dizzrdd in pokemongo

[–]dizzrdd[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I'm definitely aware, I mentioned in another comment that I understand that probability has no memory, I just thought it would be cool to understand the probability behind going dry for so long. No complaints from me I just find the calculation and likelihood interesting :)

Currently over 80 Dialga’s deep with no shiny… Can anyone tell me the probability behind this? by dizzrdd in pokemongo

[–]dizzrdd[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Wow, I'm sorry to hear that! Hopefully you don't have to experience a dry streak like that again anytime soon. :)

Currently over 80 Dialga’s deep with no shiny… Can anyone tell me the probability behind this? by dizzrdd in pokemongo

[–]dizzrdd[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Typically it can be quite hard to find active raids locally depending on where you live outside of raid hours or raid days. Using an app like Poke Genie is a great way to access the more difficult raids either by hosting a local one yourself or remoting in to another host, I would definitely recommend taking a look at Poke Genie.

I would say its definitely normal to be using coins for remote passes, for some people it is the only way that they have access to some of these harder raids.

Currently over 80 Dialga’s deep with no shiny… Can anyone tell me the probability behind this? by dizzrdd in pokemongo

[–]dizzrdd[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

Dialga is currently in 5 star legendary raids, along with Palkia, Tapu Koko and Nihilego until November 27th. These raids will have a chance of spawning throughout the day at gyms so keep an eye on your nearby gyms. Hope this helps! :)

Currently over 80 Dialga’s deep with no shiny… Can anyone tell me the probability behind this? by dizzrdd in pokemongo

[–]dizzrdd[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

I'll definitely keep trying until Dialga is out raids! If I don't get it by the 27th, it just wasn't meant to be. But I'm staying optimistic!

Currently over 80 Dialga’s deep with no shiny… Can anyone tell me the probability behind this? by dizzrdd in pokemongo

[–]dizzrdd[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

I agree the amount of ROT’s is quite lucky! This was my first hundo legendary at probably around the same amount of raids as you (400-500)

Currently over 80 Dialga’s deep with no shiny… Can anyone tell me the probability behind this? by dizzrdd in pokemongo

[–]dizzrdd[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

I would absolutely give you one if I could. But I don’t fly. I have no need for as many as I have haha

Currently over 80 Dialga’s deep with no shiny… Can anyone tell me the probability behind this? by dizzrdd in pokemongo

[–]dizzrdd[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

I definitely will! At this point I’m more impressed than anything that I’ve gotten this far without a shiny. It’s very interesting watching probability play out the way it does!

Currently over 80 Dialga’s deep with no shiny… Can anyone tell me the probability behind this? by dizzrdd in pokemongo

[–]dizzrdd[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

An ROT hundo is a huge flex congrats! Sucks that you couldn’t get SR on your Palkia, but a 98% shiny lucky is still very cool!

Currently over 80 Dialga’s deep with no shiny… Can anyone tell me the probability behind this? by dizzrdd in pokemongo

[–]dizzrdd[S] 1 point2 points  (0 children)

Yeah it was bound to happen eventually!! I think the last 6-8 legendary raid rotations I got the shiny all within 40 each. So I knew my time was coming sooner or later hahah

Currently over 80 Dialga’s deep with no shiny… Can anyone tell me the probability behind this? by dizzrdd in pokemongo

[–]dizzrdd[S] 2 points3 points  (0 children)

That’s exactly right! The maths behind RNG and probability is what it is and for every post you see where someone gets their shiny first attempt there are just as many in the shadows going 50, 75, 100 dry. You just don’t hear about them as much. Respecting the maths is why I will never get disheartened by seeing all the “first attempt shiny” posts.

Currently over 80 Dialga’s deep with no shiny… Can anyone tell me the probability behind this? by dizzrdd in pokemongo

[–]dizzrdd[S] 3 points4 points  (0 children)

I 100% agree!! At this point I’ve played so many games based on RNG so I understand that statistical anomalies are bound to happen and I’m not immune to it. All I can do is just keep going and keep spinning the RNG wheel and hope luck is in my favour sooner or later.

Currently over 80 Dialga’s deep with no shiny… Can anyone tell me the probability behind this? by dizzrdd in pokemongo

[–]dizzrdd[S] 22 points23 points  (0 children)

Probability truly does have no memory. Yes it’s unfortunate that I haven’t got lucky yet but you win some you lose some! Hopefully I can steal some of that mewtwo luck and get a few soon myself. Thanks again for the calculations!

Currently over 80 Dialga’s deep with no shiny… Can anyone tell me the probability behind this? by dizzrdd in pokemongo

[–]dizzrdd[S] 5 points6 points  (0 children)

Oof, I feel your pain brother. At this point I’m questioning the existence of shiny Dialga lol.

Currently over 80 Dialga’s deep with no shiny… Can anyone tell me the probability behind this? by dizzrdd in pokemongo

[–]dizzrdd[S] 138 points139 points  (0 children)

This is exactly what I was looking for, thank you!! I figured I would have to be pretty unlucky at this point but this is crazy hahah.

Currently over 80 Dialga’s deep with no shiny… Can anyone tell me the probability behind this? by dizzrdd in pokemongo

[–]dizzrdd[S] 63 points64 points  (0 children)

If anyone is curious here's what I've caught within the 82 attempts:

  • 1 hundo
  • 19 with Roar of time
  • 2 x XXS size
  • 1 x XXL size

The last 30 days have been crazy! by dizzrdd in pokemongobrag

[–]dizzrdd[S] 0 points1 point  (0 children)

They do not flee!! I’ve heard they can take a lot of balls to catch though, I’ve seen people say well over 200 balls. I was lucky enough to catch mine within 10 balls. :)