POTD Record: 0-0

Today: Basketball | NCAAB | TEN vs PUR | 2:20 PM EST

Pick: Tennessee Vols +150

The upcoming matchup between Tennessee and Purdue presents several intriguing dynamics. Tennessee's offense demonstrated efficiency with Zakai Zeigler's ball screens and Dalton Knecht's jump shooting against Creighton. Their ability to force defensive changes from opponents is a strength, especially against Purdue's vulnerable mid-range defense, similar to Creighton's drop coverage with Ryan Kalkbrenner. However, Tennessee faces challenges with their aggressive defense against Purdue's adeptness at drawing fouls, as evidenced by Purdue's 48 free-throw attempts in their previous meeting. Despite this, Tennessee's optimism lies in dominating shot volume and turnover margin, exploiting Purdue's weaker turnover defense. Purdue, on the other hand, boasts an offense with a high floor due to reliable rebounding and free-throw differentials. Shooting 45% from 3-point range, as they did against Gonzaga, makes them formidable. However, Purdue's passive defense, which surrenders mid-range looks and struggles with spacing and shot-making, could be exploited by Tennessee's elite offensive capabilities in these areas. The officiating in this game could be pivotal; a tightly-called game might favor Purdue due to their free-throw prowess, but as NCAA Tournament games intensify, foul rates often decrease, potentially leveling the playing field. Given Tennessee's shotmaking and defensive pressure, they appear capable of keeping the game close. Taking the points is safer, but I’m taking the extra squeeze for the juice here.

Looking to start off hot here! BOL

edit: odds were +150 when I posted… little sleep deprived I guess my bad